6315 Bienvenue St · New Orleans, LA
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.6%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.9/10.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$112,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
LOCATION, LOCATION, LOCATION! This charming 2-bed, 1-bath Cottage is situated in the desirable Holy Cross Neighborhood, just one block from the Mississippi River and adjacent to Jackson Barracks. With fantastic access to the historic French Quarter, this property offers an incredible opportunity. While it needs some renovation and TLC, this is the perfect canvas for a buyer or investor ready to customize and unlock its full potential in a highly sought-after area. The 870 lvgsqft home features a raised foundation and fenced, off-street parking.
Key facts
- Mississippi river
- Jackson barracks
- Raised foundation
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $112k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $284 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $112k).
- Recommended offer: $111k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 4.4% in New Orleans — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#3 in LA, #1,383 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D.
- Orleans Parish (urban): math 11% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #69 of 98 in LA (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 581 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 710 units permitted in Orleans Parish in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $778 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orleans County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($111k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $29k; list at $112k implies a 288% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.33%
- DSCR
- 1.59
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $224,637
- List price
- $112,500
- Delta
- -49.92%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 430 Lebeau St | 0.49mi | 2/2.0 | 996 (+2%) | 4mo | $228,000 | $229 | 70 |
| 6039 Dauphine St | 0.31mi | 2/1.5 | 1,024 (+5%) | 23mo | $177,000 | $173 | 56 |
| 521 Center St | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 | 993 (+2%) | 19mo | $210,100 | $212 | 50 |
| 5721 Burgundy St | 0.46mi | 2/2.0 | 1,051 (+8%) | 22mo | $225,000 | $214 | 47 |
| 1048 Lebeau St | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 | 1,020 (+5%) | 21mo | $135,000 | $132 | 44 |
| 622 Lizardi St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 926 (-5%) | 9mo | $140,000 | $151 | 41 |
| 405 Center St | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,019 (+5%) | 18mo | $160,000 | $157 | 41 |
| 1325 Angela Ave | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 855 (-12%) | 5mo | $155,000 | $181 | 40 |
| 1426 Tupelo St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,104 (+13%) | 4mo | $100,000 | $91 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.49% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-839
- Equity at exit
- $16,774
- IRR
- 8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.63×
- Total profit
- $19,817
- Equity at exit
- $9,727
Cash invested: $31,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70117
- Rents YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 581
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,395 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$590
- Tax from tax record
- −$116 /mo · $1,387/yr
- Insurance
- −$47
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$293
- Net cashflow
- $284
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,125
- Closing costs
- $3,375
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 716 Delery St Unit 716 New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 23d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 637 Tupelo St New Orleans, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 663 | $1,100 | $1.66 | 23d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 6530 Royal St Arabi, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 860 | $1,550 | $1.80 | 43d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 6019 Royal St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 790 | $1,200 | $1.52 | 23d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 6608 Dauphine St Unit 6608 Arabi, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 989 | $1,325 | $1.34 | 3d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 6608 Dauphine St Arabi, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 989 | $1,395 | $1.41 | 10d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 6038 N Rampart St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,795 | $1.66 | 23d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1015 Government St Unit 11 Arabi, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $999 | $1.39 | 43d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 1030 Gordon St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $12,000 | $17.78 | 43d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1030 Gordon St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $1,200 | $1.78 | 3d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1030 Gordon St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $1,200 | $1.78 | 3d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 6002 Saint Claude Ave New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 965 | $1,275 | $1.32 | 21d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 5434 Chartres St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,150 | $1.44 | 23d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 5805 Saint Claude Ave New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,200 | $1.50 | 23d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 713 Community St Arabi, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,200 | $1.41 | 3d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 713 Community St Arabi, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,200 | $1.41 | 3d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1334 Tricou St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1117 | $1,500 | $1.34 | 21d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 18 Saint Claude Ct New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,200 | $1.39 | 11d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 505 Center St Unit A Arabi, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 811 | $1,300 | $1.60 | 43d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1301 Lamanche St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,600 | $1.47 | 3d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1301 Lamanche St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,600 | $1.47 | 3d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1333 Angela Ave Arabi, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,850 | $1.70 | 2d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1420 Delery St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 11d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 5109 Burgundy St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1122 | $1,474 | $1.31 | 17d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 816 Forstall St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,600 | $1.88 | 23d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 920 Forstall St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,600 | $2.00 | 23d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 918 Forstall St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,290 | $2.86 | 23d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 4950 Dauphine St New Orleans, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 612 | $1,750 | $2.86 | 10d | 16 | 0.86mi |
| 1414 Alexander Ave Unit B Arabi, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 43d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 5900 N Derbigny St Unit 1 New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,950 | $1.95 | 3d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1227 Flanders St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 23d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1422 Andry St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 3d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1449 Andry St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 833 | $1,300 | $1.56 | 23d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1313 Flanders St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,295 | $1.44 | 20d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 924 Deslonde St Unit B New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 658 | $1,250 | $1.90 | 23d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 4801 Dauphine St Unit B New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,100 | $1.26 | 23d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 4826 N Rampart St Unit 4826 New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,200 | $1.41 | 23d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 4824 N Rampart St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 606 | $1,450 | $2.39 | 23d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 4824 N Rampart St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 606 | $1,450 | $2.39 | 3d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1200 Southlawn Blvd New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,725 | $1.82 | 23d | 1 | 0.99mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $112,500 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $112,500 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $112,500 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $112,500 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $112,500 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $112,500 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $112,500 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $112,500 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $112,500 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $112,500 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $112,500 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $112,500 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $112,500 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $112,500 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-20$112,500 Active 550-char remark
Show marketing remark (550 chars)
LOCATION, LOCATION, LOCATION! This charming 2-bed, 1-bath Cottage is situated in the desirable Holy Cross Neighborhood, just one block from the Mississippi River and adjacent to Jackson Barracks. With fantastic access to the historic French Quarter, this property offers an incredible opportunity. While it needs some renovation and TLC, this is the perfect canvas for a buyer or investor ready to customize and unlock its full potential in a highly sought-after area. The 870 lvgsqft home features a raised foundation and fenced, off-street parking.
-
2026-05-20$112,500 Active 550-char remark
Show marketing remark (550 chars)
LOCATION, LOCATION, LOCATION! This charming 2-bed, 1-bath Cottage is situated in the desirable Holy Cross Neighborhood, just one block from the Mississippi River and adjacent to Jackson Barracks. With fantastic access to the historic French Quarter, this property offers an incredible opportunity. While it needs some renovation and TLC, this is the perfect canvas for a buyer or investor ready to customize and unlock its full potential in a highly sought-after area. The 870 lvgsqft home features a raised foundation and fenced, off-street parking.
-
2026-04-08price $112,500
-
2025-11-14$125,000 Active
-
2024-05-24price $109,900
-
2024-04-10price $124,900
-
2024-02-02price $129,900
-
2023-12-29$109,900
-
2003-10-03soldstatus $29,000
-
2003-06-30$34,650
-
2003-06-30$34,650
-
1993-04-16soldstatus $24,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,387 · $116/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,387 · $116/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 60% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,745
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,302
- − Property taxes
- −$1,387
- − Insurance
- −$1,360
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,340
- − Management
- −$1,340
- − Depreciation
- −$3,273
- Taxable income
- $1,744
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$419
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,983/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orleans Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201170
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -52.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -46.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,011
- Composite
- 15.78/100
- National rank
- #9271
- State rank
- #69 of 98 in LA
Livability — New Orleans
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #1383
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Orleans, LA
- County
- Orleans Parish · 338,817 people
- City population
- 338,817
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,652
- Household income
- $45,764
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1988.0
Population outlook (Orleans County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 513,025 people
- By 2030
- 575,781 · +12.2%
- By 2040
- 700,174 · +36.5%
- By 2050
- 826,541 · +61.1%
- By 2075
- 1,123,374 · +119.0%
- By 2100
- 1,355,609 · +164.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (60%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 60% White 30% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Orleans
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+67.0) · D 82.2% · R 15.2% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.7pp toward D · 2008: 60.3pp · 2024: 67.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+67.0 2020: D+68.2 2016: D+66.2 2012: D+62.5 2008: D+60.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -177.22%
- Current HPI
- 184.6061
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.49%
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+359.2% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Listed $112,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-05-20 Listed $112,500 GSREIN
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $112,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-11-14 Listed $125,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2024-05-24 Price Changed $109,900 GSREIN
- 2024-04-10 Price Changed $124,900 GSREIN
- 2024-02-02 Price Changed $129,900 GSREIN
- 2023-12-29 Listed $109,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2003-10-03 Sold (MLS) $29,000 GSREIN
- 2003-06-30 Listed $34,650 GSREIN
- 2003-06-30 Listed $34,650 AcadianaMLS
- 1993-04-16 Sold (Public Records) $24,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2026): $1,387 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…