4410 Westside Rd #68 · Redding, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 37 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 40 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$29,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this well cared for 2 bedroom 1 bathroom home located in a desirable family park in Redding. This home features thoughtful updates throughout including durable LVP flooring, a mini split heating and air system for year round comfort, Painted kitchen cabinets. Natural light fills the space creating a bright and inviting feel. The interior and exterior have both been recently painted, and the roof has been resealed for added peace of mind. Enjoy outdoor living with a covered patio and a generously sized fenced yard, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Priced extremely well, this is an opportunity you do not want to miss.
Key facts
- Fenced yard
- Covered patio
- Lvp flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 car)
- Home design: Manufactured in park (mobile home); Model: United States; Aluminum skirting
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Other roof; Other foundation; Built as a mobile home
- Exterior features: Partial fencing; Asphalt road access; Downsloping to level topography; Located in Reddingwood park (manufactured home in park)
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Oven
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Has heating
- Interior features: Range and oven; No fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $30k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $920 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
- Recommended offer: $28k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 43.1% vs local median 3.3% in Redding — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#106 in CA, #3,726 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, cost of living F.
- Shasta Union High (urban): math 41% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #122 of 517 in CA (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Juniper (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #917 of 1,571 statewide, top 60%, 248 students, 79% FRL); Sequoia Middle (math 31% / reading 45%, grade F, #162 of 498 statewide, top 33%, 411 students, 69% FRL); Shasta High (math 53% / reading 76%, grade B-, #165 of 1,170 statewide, top 15%, 1,333 students, 44% FRL) — zoned schools average 64% FRL vs 16% district-wide (48 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.5%/yr); 338 active listings in the ZIP; 246 units permitted in Shasta County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $208 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $900 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Shasta County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.5% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($28k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.76% ✓
- Cap rate
- 43.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 131.43%
- DSCR
- 6.85
- GRM
- 1.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.55% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 8.21×
- Total profit
- $60,571
- Equity at exit
- $4,472
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 19.94×
- Total profit
- $159,054
- Equity at exit
- $2,593
Cash invested: $8,397 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 96001
- Rents YoY
- 7.5%
- Active inventory
- 338
- Price-to-rent
- 1.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,427 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$157
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$37 /mo · $450/yr
- Insurance
- −$12
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$300
- Net cashflow
- $920
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $940 | -5% $930 | +0% $920 | +5% $909 | +10% $899 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $807 | -5% $863 | +0% $920 | +5% $976 | +10% $1,032 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $935 | -0.5pp $927 | base $920 | +0.5pp $912 | +1.0pp $904 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $7,498
- Closing costs
- $900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $29,990 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $29,990 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $29,990 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $29,990 Active 64 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $35,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $35,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $35,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $35,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $35,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $35,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $35,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $35,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $35,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $35,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $35,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $35,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $35,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $35,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $35,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-05-06price $35,000
-
2026-04-14$38,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 37 unhealthy d/yr today · 40 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,119
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,680
- − Property taxes
- −$450
- − Insurance
- −$150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,370
- − Management
- −$1,370
- − Depreciation
- −$872
- Taxable income
- $11,228
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,695
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,342/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained mobile home features updated interiors, a mini split HVAC system, and a recently painted exterior, making it a great investment opportunity.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Replace air filters — Improves air quality and HVAC efficiency
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace air filters — Improves air quality and HVAC efficiency ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Shasta Union High
- NCES district ID
- 0636600
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 67% ▲ 9.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,080
- Composite
- 46.01/100
- National rank
- #2532
- State rank
- #122 of 517 in CA
Livability — Redding
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #106
- US rank
- #3726
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Redding, CA
- County
- Shasta County · 147,641 people
- City population
- 112,523
- Metro
- Redding, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,817
- Household income
- $72,484
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1458.0
Population outlook (Shasta County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 179,231 people
- By 2030
- 176,953 · -1.3%
- By 2040
- 169,982 · -5.2%
- By 2050
- 162,547 · -9.3%
- By 2075
- 145,649 · -18.7%
- By 2100
- 123,025 · -31.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 10% Asian 2% Native American 1% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Shasta
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.5) · D 30.5% · R 67.0% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.7pp toward R · 2008: -25.8pp · 2024: -36.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.5 2020: R+33.1 2016: R+37.4 2012: R+30.3 2008: R+25.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -199.25%
- Current HPI
- 291.6191
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.55%
- Metro
- Redding, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
-9.1% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $35,000 SAOR
- 2026-04-14 Listed $38,500 SAOR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…