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4410 Westside Rd #68
D+ Composite 49.04
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.4/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$29,990

4410 Westside Rd #68 · Redding, CA 96001
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 680 sqft · Manufactured · 68 Days on market
Built 1976 Good condition ↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this well cared for 2 bedroom 1 bathroom home located in a desirable family park in Redding. This home features thoughtful updates throughout including durable LVP flooring, a mini split heating and air system for year round comfort, Painted kitchen cabinets. Natural light fills the space creating a bright and inviting feel. The interior and exterior have both been recently painted, and the roof has been resealed for added peace of mind. Enjoy outdoor living with a covered patio and a generously sized fenced yard, perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Priced extremely well, this is an opportunity you do not want to miss.

Key facts

  • Fenced yard
  • Covered patio
  • Lvp flooring

Tags

LVP FLOORINGPAINTED KITCHEN CABINETSCOVERED PATIOFENCED YARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (1 car)
  • Home design: Manufactured in park (mobile home); Model: United States; Aluminum skirting
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Other roof; Other foundation; Built as a mobile home
  • Exterior features: Partial fencing; Asphalt road access; Downsloping to level topography; Located in Reddingwood park (manufactured home in park)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Oven
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Has heating
  • Interior features: Range and oven; No fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $30k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $920 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
  • Recommended offer: $28k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 43.1% vs local median 3.3% in Redding — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#106 in CA, #3,726 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, cost of living F.
  • Shasta Union High (urban): math 41% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #122 of 517 in CA (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Juniper (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #917 of 1,571 statewide, top 60%, 248 students, 79% FRL); Sequoia Middle (math 31% / reading 45%, grade F, #162 of 498 statewide, top 33%, 411 students, 69% FRL); Shasta High (math 53% / reading 76%, grade B-, #165 of 1,170 statewide, top 15%, 1,333 students, 44% FRL) — zoned schools average 64% FRL vs 16% district-wide (48 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.5%/yr); 338 active listings in the ZIP; 246 units permitted in Shasta County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $208 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $900 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Shasta County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.5% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($28k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $28,190 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.76%
Cap rate
43.09%
Cash-on-cash
131.43%
DSCR
6.85
GRM
1.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.55% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
8.21×
Total profit
$60,571
Equity at exit
$4,472
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
19.94×
Total profit
$159,054
Equity at exit
$2,593

Cash invested: $8,397 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 96001

Rents YoY
7.5%
Active inventory
338
Price-to-rent
1.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,427 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$157
Tax est. 1.5%
$37 /mo · $450/yr
Insurance
$12
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$300
Net cashflow
$920

Break-even live

Break-even rent $262
Max offer price $29,990
Occupancy floor 31%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $940 -5% $930 +0% $920 +5% $909 +10% $899
Rent -10% $807 -5% $863 +0% $920 +5% $976 +10% $1,032
Rate -1.0pp $935 -0.5pp $927 base $920 +0.5pp $912 +1.0pp $904

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,498
Closing costs
$900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $29,990 Active 68 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $29,990 Active 66 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $29,990 Active 65 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    price $29,990 Active 64 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $35,000 Active 64 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $35,000 Active 63 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $35,000 Active 62 DOM
  8. 2026-06-14
    days on market $35,000 Active 60 DOM
  9. 2026-06-13
    days on market $35,000 Active 59 DOM
  10. 2026-06-10
    days on market $35,000 Active 57 DOM
  11. 2026-06-09
    days on market $35,000 Active 56 DOM
  12. 2026-06-08
    days on market $35,000 Active 55 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $35,000 Active 54 DOM
  14. 2026-06-05
    days on market $35,000 Active 51 DOM
  15. 2026-06-03
    days on market $35,000 Active 50 DOM
  16. 2026-06-02
    days on market $35,000 Active 49 DOM
  17. 2026-06-01
    days on market $35,000 Active 48 DOM
  18. 2026-05-31
    days on market $35,000 Active 47 DOM
  19. 2026-05-30
    days on market $35,000 Active 46 DOM
  20. 2026-05-06
    price $35,000
  21. 2026-04-14
    listed $38,500 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 37 unhealthy d/yr today · 40 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,119
− Mortgage interest
−$1,680
− Property taxes
−$450
− Insurance
−$150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,370
− Management
−$1,370
− Depreciation
−$872
Taxable income
$11,228
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,695
After-tax cash flow
$8,342/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained mobile home features updated interiors, a mini split HVAC system, and a recently painted exterior, making it a great investment opportunity.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace air filters — Improves air quality and HVAC efficiency

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace air filters — Improves air quality and HVAC efficiency

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Shasta Union High
NCES district ID
0636600
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
67% ▲ 9.00%
Median HH income
$50,080
Composite
46.01/100
National rank
#2532
State rank
#122 of 517 in CA

Livability — Redding

Score
76/100
State rank
#106
US rank
#3726

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment C- Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Redding, CA
County
Shasta County · 147,641 people
City population
112,523
Metro
Redding, CA
Population (ZIP)
33,817
Household income
$72,484
Rent vs Own
39.0% rent · 61.0% own
Severe rent burden
1458.0

Population outlook (Shasta County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
179,231 people
By 2030
176,953 · -1.3%
By 2040
169,982 · -5.2%
By 2050
162,547 · -9.3%
By 2075
145,649 · -18.7%
By 2100
123,025 · -31.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 10% Asian 2% Native American 1% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Shasta

2024 margin
Solid R (+36.5) · D 30.5% · R 67.0% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
-10.7pp toward R · 2008: -25.8pp · 2024: -36.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+36.5 2020: R+33.1 2016: R+37.4 2012: R+30.3 2008: R+25.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -199.25%
Current HPI
291.6191
Rent YoY
▲ 7.55%
Metro
Redding, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-9.1% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Price Changed $35,000 SAOR
  • 2026-04-14 Listed $38,500 SAOR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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