390 Curtis Rd · Gum Springs, AR
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +12.1/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +6.9/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
$40,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment property. Fixer Upper. Presently houses renters.
Key facts
- 0.25 acre lot
- Built 1940
- Listed 199 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $509 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($948 rent vs $40k).
- Recommended offer: $35k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#308 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, schools F, crime F.
- Arkadelphia School District (town): math 28% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #167 of 238 in AR (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 12 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($277 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 200 days — a 12% lower offer ($35k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 200 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.37% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- 54.58%
- DSCR
- 3.43
- GRM
- 3.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $44,511
- List price
- $40,000
- Delta
- -10.13%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 122 Curtis Rd | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,008 (+6%) | 16mo | $56,000 | $56 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.76% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 60.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.47×
- Total profit
- $38,877
- Equity at exit
- $19,712
- IRR
- 59.3%
- Equity multiple
- 9.12×
- Total profit
- $90,979
- Equity at exit
- $31,794
Cash invested: $11,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71743
- Home prices YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 22
- Price-to-rent
- 3.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $948 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$210
- Tax from tax record
- −$13 /mo · $153/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$199
- Net cashflow
- $509
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $10,000
- Closing costs
- $1,200
- Reserves months
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- Total cash needed
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Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
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- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
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- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
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Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
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- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
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- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
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2026-06-19days on market $40,000 Active 200 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $40,000 Active 199 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $40,000 Active 198 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $40,000 Active 197 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $40,000 Active 196 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $40,000 Active 194 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $40,000 Active 193 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $40,000 Active 190 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $40,000 Active 189 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $40,000 Active 188 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $40,000 Active 187 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $40,000 Active 184 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $40,000 Active 183 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $40,000 Active 182 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $40,000 Active 181 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $40,000 Active 180 DOM
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2026-05-15price $40,000 65-char remark
Show marketing remark (65 chars)
Great investment property. Fixer Upper. Presently houses renters.
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2026-05-15$40,000 Active
Show marketing remark (65 chars)
Great investment property. Fixer Upper. Presently houses renters.
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2025-12-01$50,000 New Listing 65-char remark
Show marketing remark (65 chars)
Great investment property. Fixer Upper. Presently houses renters.
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2025-11-14historical
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2025-06-11$35,000 New Listing
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2008-07-25soldstatus $65,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $153 · $13/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $256 · $21/mo
- Expected delta
- +$103/yr (+$9/mo · 67.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,371
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,241
- − Property taxes
- −$153
- − Insurance
- −$200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$910
- − Management
- −$910
- − Depreciation
- −$1,164
- Taxable income
- $5,794
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,391
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,722/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Arkadelphia School District
- NCES district ID
- 0502430
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,116
- Composite
- 23.13/100
- National rank
- #7954
- State rank
- #167 of 238 in AR
Livability — Gum Springs
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #308
- US rank
- #20583
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,252
Population outlook (Clark County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 22,335 people
- By 2030
- 22,306 · -0.1%
- By 2040
- 21,839 · -2.2%
- By 2050
- 21,961 · -1.7%
- By 2075
- 24,186 · +8.3%
- By 2100
- 25,897 · +15.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Black 23% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 7% Slovak 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 9% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Clark
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.5) · D 38.6% · R 59.1% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.7pp toward R · 2008: -3.8pp · 2024: -20.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.5 2020: R+14.0 2016: R+9.5 2012: R+6.4 2008: R+3.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.76%
- Current HPI
- 149.1405
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
-38.5% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $40,000 CARMLS
- 2026-05-15 Listed $40,000 HSBOR
- 2025-12-01 Listed $50,000 CARMLS
- 2025-11-14 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2025-06-11 Listed $35,000 CARMLS
- 2008-07-25 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $153 · +5.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…