1960 Marine Terrace Dr Unit K · Maryland Heights, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.3/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +6.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.8/5.0
$152,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home to the top floor, 2 bed, 2 bath condo. 1960#K Marine Terrace with soaring vaulted ceiling, that give plenty open look and feel. Freshly painted interior. Laminated floors throughout. Updated kitchen features newer appliances and granite counter top, ceramic tile floor. Sliding door in living room leading to the balcony with corner storage room. 3 Ceiling fans. HVAC 2021. water heater 2019. All electric home. Move in ready, where comfort meets convenience. In unit laundry for added ease, refrigerator stays. Passed Occupancy Inspection in City of Maryland Heights.
Key facts
- Vaulted ceiling
- Balcony
- Granite counter top
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $152k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $27 ($320/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $152k).
- Recommended offer: $134k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 4.3% in Maryland Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#101 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Parkway C-2 (suburban): math 49% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #18 of 324 in MO (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-3.0%/yr); 170 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 156 days — a 12% lower offer ($134k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $77k; list at $152k implies a 97% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 156 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.75%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $148,590
- List price
- $152,000
- Delta
- 2.30%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.88×
- Total profit
- $79,933
- Equity at exit
- $136,934
- IRR
- 20.2%
- Equity multiple
- 6.31×
- Total profit
- $225,936
- Equity at exit
- $295,303
Cash invested: $42,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63146
- Home prices YoY
- 4.9%
- Rents YoY
- -3.0%
- Active inventory
- 170
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,600 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$797
- Tax from tax record
- −$107 /mo · $1,279/yr
- Insurance
- −$63
- HOA
- −$270
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$336
- Net cashflow
- $27
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $113 | -5% $70 | +0% $27 | +5% $-16 | +10% $-59 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-100 | -5% $-37 | +0% $27 | +5% $90 | +10% $153 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $103 | -0.5pp $65 | base $27 | +0.5pp $-13 | +1.0pp $-53 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,000
- Closing costs
- $4,560
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2037 Chablis Dr Saint Louis, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 780 | $1,588 | $2.04 | 2d | 68 | 0.21mi |
| 2207 Summerhouse Dr St. Louis, MO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 804 | $1,304 | $1.62 | 4d | 21 | 0.52mi |
| 1951 Oberlin Dr St. Louis, MO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 993 | $1,684 | $1.70 | 2d | 23 | 0.55mi |
| 1895 Boulder Springs Dr St. Louis, MO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1083 | $2,258 | $2.09 | 2d | 6 | 0.96mi |
| 2050 Lakerun Ct Maryland Heights, MO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1213 | $1,615 | $1.33 | 2d | 15 | 0.96mi |
| 12401 Boulder Springs Pkwy St. Louis, MO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1006 | $2,294 | $2.28 | 2d | 10 | 1.03mi |
| 1432 Glenmeade Dr Maryland Heights, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $2,176 | $2.00 | 11d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 12545 Markaire Dr St. Louis, MO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–4.0 | 1420 | $2,188 | $1.54 | 11d | 5 | 1.24mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $270 · $3,240/yr
- Likely covers
- waterelectric
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $152,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $152,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $152,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $152,000 Active 153 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $152,000 Active 151 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $152,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $152,000 Active 147 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $152,000 Active 146 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $152,000 Active 145 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $152,000 Active 141 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $152,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $152,000 Active 139 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $152,000 Active 138 DOM
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2026-01-13$155,000 Active 581-char remark
Show marketing remark (581 chars)
Welcome home to the top floor, 2 bed, 2 bath condo. 1960#K Marine Terrace with soaring vaulted ceiling, that give plenty open look and feel. Freshly painted interior. Laminated floors throughout. Updated kitchen features newer appliances and granite counter top, ceramic tile floor. Sliding door in living room leading to the balcony with corner storage room. 3 Ceiling fans. HVAC 2021. water heater 2019. All electric home. Move in ready, where comfort meets convenience. In unit laundry for added ease, refrigerator stays. Passed Occupancy Inspection in City of Maryland Heights.
-
2025-10-19$155,000 Active
-
2025-10-18historical
-
2000-09-18soldstatus $77,000
-
1989-06-01soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,279 · $107/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,474 · $123/mo
- Expected delta
- +$195/yr (+$16/mo · 15.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,196
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,514
- − Property taxes
- −$1,279
- − Insurance
- −$760
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,536
- − Management
- −$1,536
- − HOA
- −$3,240
- − Depreciation
- −$4,422
- Taxable loss
- −$2,091
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$502
- After-tax cash flow
- $822/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Parkway C-2
- NCES district ID
- 2923580
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 62% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $83,551
- Composite
- 50.5/100
- National rank
- #1851
- State rank
- #18 of 324 in MO
Livability — Maryland Heights
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #101
- US rank
- #6808
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Maryland Heights, MO
- County
- Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
- City population
- 21,924
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,678
- Household income
- $84,756
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1156.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,028,023 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 1,020,940 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 1,007,280 · -1.8%
- By 2075
- 987,277 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 921,984 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Asian 17% Black 13% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 3% Romanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · China, South Korea, Canada
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 7% Other Indo-European 4% Chinese 3%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 33.10%
- Current HPI
- 711.49
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.96%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+101.3% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-13 Listed $155,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-19 Listed $155,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-18 Coming Soon — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2000-09-18 Sold (Public Records) $77,000 Public Records
- 1989-06-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2022): $1,279 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…