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304 Williamette Ave
C Composite 55.83
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,900

304 Williamette Ave · Alma, MI 48801
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,159 sqft · SingleFamily · 25 Days on market
Built 1960 5,227 sqft lot $78/sqft · 33% below area Est $134k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Excellent investment property or starter home, quiet corner lot on dead end street, lots of exterior updates, new roof in last few years, vinyl siding on house and garage, vinyl windows, one car garage with addition, new door wall to rear deck, electrical panel, gas forced air furnace, nice yard that is mostly fenced in, one bedroom main floor, two upper bedrooms, a little TLC can go a long way on this home, great opportunity to own a home, owner is licensed real estate broker in the state of MI

Key facts

  • Quiet corner lot
  • Vinyl windows
  • Dead end street

Tags

QUIET CORNER LOTDEAD END STREETEXTERIOR UPDATESNEW ROOFVINYL SIDINGVINYL WINDOWS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot approximately 0.12 acres (84 x 62)
  • Financial info: Annual property tax listed

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Sewer and water available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half stories; Ground-level entry with steps
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; Deck; Paved road access

Interior

  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
  • Interior features: Crawl space basement; Five total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $87 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $90k (0.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $89k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 4.2% in Alma — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#345 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Alma Public Schools (town): math 28% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #288 of 540 in MI (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 89 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 47 units permitted in Gratiot County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Gratiot County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $64k; 42% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $88,551 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.00%
Cap rate
7.45%
Cash-on-cash
4.14%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$133,948
List price
$89,900
Delta
-32.88%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
304 Williamette Ave 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,159 (0%) 0mo $82,000 $71 100
920 Ely St 0.32mi 3/1.0 1,178 (+2%) 3mo $145,500 $124 80
1030 Eastward St 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,240 (+7%) 3mo $135,000 $109 76
616 Bridge Ave 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,248 (+8%) 3mo $105,900 $85 65
800 Ely St 0.47mi 3/1.5 1,070 (-8%) 0mo $133,800 $125 63
320 Euclid Ave 0.49mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,224 (+6%) 4mo $68,775 $56 59
804 Hannah Ave 0.56mi 3/1.0 1,060 (-8%) 4mo $124,000 $117 56
704 Republic Ave 0.41mi 3/1.5 1,044 (-10%) 8mo $155,000 $148 56
127 Grafton Ave 0.72mi 3/1.5 1,192 (+3%) 6mo $144,900 $122 55
726 Pennsylvania Ave 0.50mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,050 (-9%) 4mo $132,000 $126 53
726 Pennsylvania Ave Lot : 58 0.50mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,050 (-9%) 4mo $132,000 $126 53
618 N River Ave 0.73mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,184 (+2%) 10mo $130,000 $110 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.8%
Equity multiple
0.64×
Total profit
$-9,022
Equity at exit
$13,404
10-year hold
IRR
-0.4%
Equity multiple
0.97×
Total profit
$-677
Equity at exit
$7,773

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48801

Home prices YoY
-32.0%
Active inventory
89
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$896 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax est. 1.5%
$112 /mo · $1,348/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$188
Net cashflow
$87

Break-even live

Break-even rent $786
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
240 Windsor St Alma, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 675 $875 $1.30 43d 1 0.47mi
307 W Elizabeth St Unit 307 Alma, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $950 $1.27 43d 1 1.30mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $89,900 Pending 25 DOM
  2. 2026-06-04
    days on market $89,900 Active 22 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,900 Active 21 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,900 Active 20 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,900 Active 19 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,900 Active 18 DOM
  7. 2026-05-12
    listed $89,900 Active 500-char remark
    Show marketing remark (500 chars)

    Excellent investment property or starter home, quiet corner lot on dead end street, lots of exterior updates, new roof in last few years, vinyl siding on house and garage, vinyl windows, one car garage with addition, new door wall to rear deck, electrical panel, gas forced air furnace, nice yard that is mostly fenced in, one bedroom main floor, two upper bedrooms, a little TLC can go a long way on this home, great opportunity to own a home, owner is licensed real estate broker in the state of MI

  8. 2026-05-12
    listed $89,900 Active 500-char remark
    Show marketing remark (500 chars)

    Excellent investment property or starter home, quiet corner lot on dead end street, lots of exterior updates, new roof in last few years, vinyl siding on house and garage, vinyl windows, one car garage with addition, new door wall to rear deck, electrical panel, gas forced air furnace, nice yard that is mostly fenced in, one bedroom main floor, two upper bedrooms, a little TLC can go a long way on this home, great opportunity to own a home, owner is licensed real estate broker in the state of MI

  9. 2021-10-29
    soldstatus $63,500
  10. 2010-04-29
    listed $47,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,757
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$1,348
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$861
− Management
−$861
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable loss
−$414
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$99
After-tax cash flow
$1,142/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Alma Public Schools
NCES district ID
2602640
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$36,651
Composite
29.84/100
National rank
#6415
State rank
#288 of 540 in MI

Livability — Alma

Score
69/100
State rank
#345
US rank
#8809

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Alma, MI
City population
13,433
Population (ZIP)
13,433

Population outlook (Gratiot County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
39,991 people
By 2030
38,944 · -2.6%
By 2040
36,694 · -8.2%
By 2050
34,314 · -14.2%
By 2075
27,693 · -30.8%
By 2100
20,809 · -48.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 4% Black 2% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Slovak 3% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Gratiot

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.3) · D 33.7% · R 65.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-35.7pp toward R · 2008: 4.4pp · 2024: -31.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.3 2020: R+28.3 2016: R+25.6 2012: R+3.9 2008: D+4.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -99.16%
Current HPI
210.3208
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+87.7% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-06 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-06 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $89,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $89,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-10-29 Sold (Public Records) $63,500 Public Records
  • 2010-04-29 Listed $47,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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