4400 S 2nd St · Louisville, KY 40214

$385,000

16 bd · 16.0 ba · 3,280 sqft · MultiFamily · 4 Days on market

Built 1952 1,952 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +9.8/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Rent growth +3.0/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.3/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. estimate disagrees with records

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks

Well-maintained and full of character, this charming quadplex offers a prime investment opportunity just minutes from Churchill Downs. The property features (4) 1-bedroom apartments with two units on the first floor and two units on the second floor, each offering a spacious living room with a fireplace, kitchen with dining area, one bedroom, and one full bath. Original hardwood floors, arched doorways, and rich wood trim provide timeless architectural appeal throughout. Tenants enjoy convenient on-site laundry located in the basement with a new washer and dryer, along with private storage closets for each unit. Recent improvements include new plumbing in all unit bathrooms (2025), three ne

Key facts

• New plumbing
• New water heaters
• New roof

Tags

• SPACIOUS LIVING ROOM
• ON-SITE LAUNDRY
• PRIVATE STORAGE CLOSETS
• NEW PLUMBING
• NEW WATER HEATERS
• NEW ROOF

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4 × 4-bed/4.0-bath units multifamily listed at $385k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($24k/yr) — positive. Per door: $499/mo.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $385k).
• Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 5.0% in Louisville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 63/100 on livability (#333 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D+, schools D-.
• Jefferson County (urban): math 19% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #121 of 165 in KY (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 243 active listings in the ZIP; 2,836 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (1,558 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $5,717/mo this rent would consume 125% of the median local household income ($55k/yr) (locally 2054% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Jefferson County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $108k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Current owner paid $325k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $385,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
3. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.48% ✓
• Cap rate: 12.51%
• Cash-on-cash: 22.22%
• DSCR: 1.99
• GRM: 5.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.89% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 13.7%
• Equity multiple: 1.54×
• Total profit: $58,410
• Equity at exit: $57,405

10-year hold

• IRR: 21.7%
• Equity multiple: 2.76×
• Total profit: $189,199
• Equity at exit: $33,288

Cash invested: $107,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Kentucky: 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 40214

• Rents YoY: 1.9%
• Active inventory: 243
• Price-to-rent: 22.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $5,717 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,019
• Tax from tax record: −$341 /mo · $4,095/yr
• Insurance: −$160
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$1,201
• Net cashflow: $1,996

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,191

Max offer price $385,000

Occupancy floor 60%

4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

Units	Beds	Baths	Est. rent
▸ 4× units	4	4	$5,716
Total (4 units)			$5,717

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $96,250
• Closing costs: $11,550
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-03-27
   status Pending
2. 2026-03-23
   listed $385,000 Active
3. 2024-06-27
   soldstatus $325,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $4,095 · $341/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $4,095 · $341/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $68,604
• − Mortgage interest: −$21,566
• − Property taxes: −$4,095
• − Insurance: −$1,925
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$5,488
• − Management: −$5,488
• − Depreciation: −$11,200
• Taxable income: $18,841
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$4,522
• After-tax cash flow: $19,427/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Jefferson County
• NCES district ID: 2102990
• Math proficiency: 19% ▼ -17.00%
• Reading proficiency: 35% ▼ -11.00%
• Median HH income: $47,885
• Composite: 23.45/100
• National rank: #7884
• State rank: #121 of 165 in KY

Livability — Louisville

• Score: 63/100
• State rank: #333
• US rank: #15887

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Louisville, KY
• County: Jefferson County · 790,184 people
• City population: 769,292
• Metro: Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
• Population (ZIP): 45,405
• Household income: $54,931
• Rent vs Own: 45.6% rent · 54.4% own
• Severe rent burden: 2054.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 823,112 people
• By 2030: 849,343 · +3.2%
• By 2040: 895,696 · +8.8%
• By 2050: 933,630 · +13.4%
• By 2075: 1,028,262 · +24.9%
• By 2100: 1,072,675 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
• Race & ethnicity: White 51% Black 22% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 12% Asian 7%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 3% Cuban 6%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
• Foreign-born: 21% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
• Languages at home: 74% English-only · Spanish 12% Vietnamese 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

• 2024 margin: D (+16.6) · D 57.4% · R 40.9% · Other 1.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: +4.5pp toward D · 2008: 12.0pp · 2024: 16.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+16.6 2020: D+20.1 2016: D+13.3 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+12.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -235.43%
• Current HPI: 237.4062
• Rent YoY: ▲ 1.89%
• Metro: Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.81%
• F500 in state: 4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	1	$118B
▸Food / Beverage	1	$7B

Price history

+18.5% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-27 Pending — Metro Search MLS
• 2026-03-23 Listed $385,000 Metro Search MLS
• 2024-06-27 Sold (Public Records) $325,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+10.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,095 · +10.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.