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2629 170th Ave
C+ Composite 60.77
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0

$109,900

2629 170th Ave · Preemption, IL 61276
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,621 sqft · SingleFamily · 76 Days on market
Built 1908 Good condition 0.42 ac lot $68/sqft · 30% below area Est $158k · 30% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

A great opportunity for a conventional or cash buyer awaits! Located just off Highway 67 in Preemption, this 3-bedroom and 1.5-bath home offers a quiet rural setting on a 0.42-acre lot. A recently installed roof adds peace of mind while you plan updates to build immediate equity. The main level includes a bedroom, full bath, living area, and kitchen. Upstairs you will find two additional bedrooms with double closets and a half bath. The property features mature trees and plenty of space for outdoor projects. Home is being sold as-is.

Key facts

  • Plenty of space
  • Quiet rural setting
  • Mature trees

Tags

QUIET RURAL SETTINGRECENTLY INSTALLED ROOFMATURE TREESPLENTY OF SPACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $110k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $106 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $110k (0.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $103k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Sherrard CUSD 200 (rural): math 29% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #240 of 620 in IL (top 39%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 15 units permitted in Mercer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($760 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Mercer County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1908 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $103,306 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1908 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.00%
Cap rate
7.45%
Cash-on-cash
4.12%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$157,500
List price
$109,900
Delta
-30.22%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
11 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1695 US Highway 67 Hwy 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,475 (-9%) 2mo $150,000 $102 78
1669 US Hwy 67 0.24mi 3/1.0 1,435 (-12%) 18mo $124,900 $87 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.3%
Equity multiple
1.65×
Total profit
$19,978
Equity at exit
$49,416
10-year hold
IRR
13.5%
Equity multiple
3.01×
Total profit
$61,739
Equity at exit
$76,156

Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61276

Active inventory
1
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,095 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$576
Tax est. 1.5%
$137 /mo · $1,648/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$230
Net cashflow
$106

Break-even live

Break-even rent $961
Max offer price $109,900
Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,475
Closing costs
$3,297
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2623 170th Ave Preemption, IL 3.0 1.0 1344 $1,095 $0.81 21d 1 0.07mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-04
    statusdays on market $109,900 Pending 76 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $109,900 Contingent - Continue to Show 75 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $109,900 Contingent - Continue to Show 74 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $109,900 Contingent - Continue to Show 73 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $109,900 Contingent - Continue to Show 72 DOM
  6. 2026-03-19
    listed $109,900 Active 539-char remark
    Show marketing remark (539 chars)

    A great opportunity for a conventional or cash buyer awaits! Located just off Highway 67 in Preemption, this 3-bedroom and 1.5-bath home offers a quiet rural setting on a 0.42-acre lot. A recently installed roof adds peace of mind while you plan updates to build immediate equity. The main level includes a bedroom, full bath, living area, and kitchen. Upstairs you will find two additional bedrooms with double closets and a half bath. The property features mature trees and plenty of space for outdoor projects. Home is being sold as-is.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,140
− Mortgage interest
−$6,156
− Property taxes
−$1,648
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,051
− Management
−$1,051
− Depreciation
−$3,197
Taxable loss
−$514
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$123
After-tax cash flow
$1,390/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 3-bedroom home offers a good condition with recent roof installation and a quiet rural setting. Minor updates to the interior and landscaping would significantly enhance its resale and rental value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both painting interior walls — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both landscaping and lawn care — improves curb appeal and property value
  • Resale upgrading kitchen appliances — modernizes kitchen and attracts buyers
  • Resale installing new windows — increases natural light and property value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both painting interior walls — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both landscaping and lawn care — improves curb appeal and property value
  • Resale upgrading kitchen appliances — modernizes kitchen and attracts buyers
  • Resale installing new windows — increases natural light and property value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sherrard CUSD 200
NCES district ID
1736180
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -16.00%
Median HH income
$60,194
Composite
26.77/100
National rank
#7129
State rank
#240 of 620 in IL

Livability — Preemption

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Preemption, IL
City population
28
Population (ZIP)
28

Population outlook (Mercer County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
14,595 people
By 2030
13,846 · -5.1%
By 2040
12,335 · -15.5%
By 2050
10,893 · -25.4%
By 2075
8,238 · -43.6%
By 2100
6,111 · -58.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (100%)
Race & ethnicity
White 100%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 25%

Political lean MEDSL · Mercer

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.1) · D 35.4% · R 62.5% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-39.0pp toward R · 2008: 11.9pp · 2024: -27.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.1 2020: R+24.0 2016: R+20.7 2012: D+7.4 2008: D+11.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-03-19 Listed $109,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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