2629 170th Ave · Preemption, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
$109,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
A great opportunity for a conventional or cash buyer awaits! Located just off Highway 67 in Preemption, this 3-bedroom and 1.5-bath home offers a quiet rural setting on a 0.42-acre lot. A recently installed roof adds peace of mind while you plan updates to build immediate equity. The main level includes a bedroom, full bath, living area, and kitchen. Upstairs you will find two additional bedrooms with double closets and a half bath. The property features mature trees and plenty of space for outdoor projects. Home is being sold as-is.
Key facts
- Plenty of space
- Quiet rural setting
- Mature trees
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $110k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $106 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $110k (0.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $103k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Sherrard CUSD 200 (rural): math 29% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #240 of 620 in IL (top 39%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 15 units permitted in Mercer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($760 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Mercer County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1908 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1908 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.12%
- DSCR
- 1.18
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $157,500
- List price
- $109,900
- Delta
- -30.22%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 11 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1695 US Highway 67 Hwy | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,475 (-9%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $102 | 78 |
| 1669 US Hwy 67 | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 1,435 (-12%) | 18mo | $124,900 | $87 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.65×
- Total profit
- $19,978
- Equity at exit
- $49,416
- IRR
- 13.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.01×
- Total profit
- $61,739
- Equity at exit
- $76,156
Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61276
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,095 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$576
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$137 /mo · $1,648/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$230
- Net cashflow
- $106
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,475
- Closing costs
- $3,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2623 170th Ave Preemption, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1344 | $1,095 | $0.81 | 21d | 1 | 0.07mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-04statusdays on market $109,900 Pending 76 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $109,900 Contingent - Continue to Show 75 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $109,900 Contingent - Continue to Show 74 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,900 Contingent - Continue to Show 73 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,900 Contingent - Continue to Show 72 DOM
-
2026-03-19$109,900 Active 539-char remark
Show marketing remark (539 chars)
A great opportunity for a conventional or cash buyer awaits! Located just off Highway 67 in Preemption, this 3-bedroom and 1.5-bath home offers a quiet rural setting on a 0.42-acre lot. A recently installed roof adds peace of mind while you plan updates to build immediate equity. The main level includes a bedroom, full bath, living area, and kitchen. Upstairs you will find two additional bedrooms with double closets and a half bath. The property features mature trees and plenty of space for outdoor projects. Home is being sold as-is.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,140
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,156
- − Property taxes
- −$1,648
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,051
- − Management
- −$1,051
- − Depreciation
- −$3,197
- Taxable loss
- −$514
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$123
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,390/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 3-bedroom home offers a good condition with recent roof installation and a quiet rural setting. Minor updates to the interior and landscaping would significantly enhance its resale and rental value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both painting interior walls — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both landscaping and lawn care — improves curb appeal and property value
- Resale upgrading kitchen appliances — modernizes kitchen and attracts buyers
- Resale installing new windows — increases natural light and property value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both painting interior walls — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both landscaping and lawn care — improves curb appeal and property value ↑
- Resale upgrading kitchen appliances — modernizes kitchen and attracts buyers ↑
- Resale installing new windows — increases natural light and property value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sherrard CUSD 200
- NCES district ID
- 1736180
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -16.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,194
- Composite
- 26.77/100
- National rank
- #7129
- State rank
- #240 of 620 in IL
Livability — Preemption
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Preemption, IL
- City population
- 28
- Population (ZIP)
- 28
Population outlook (Mercer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 14,595 people
- By 2030
- 13,846 · -5.1%
- By 2040
- 12,335 · -15.5%
- By 2050
- 10,893 · -25.4%
- By 2075
- 8,238 · -43.6%
- By 2100
- 6,111 · -58.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (100%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 100%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 25%
Political lean MEDSL · Mercer
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.1) · D 35.4% · R 62.5% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -39.0pp toward R · 2008: 11.9pp · 2024: -27.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.1 2020: R+24.0 2016: R+20.7 2012: D+7.4 2008: D+11.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-19 Listed $109,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…