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151 Pine Echo Rd
D+ Composite 49.24
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.5/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.1/10.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$175,000

151 Pine Echo Rd · West Providence, PA 15537
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,056 sqft · Other public records · 28 Days on market
Built 1977 1.34 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Set on 1.34 private acres, this well-maintained double-wide manufactured home offers comfort, space, and convenience just minutes from downtown Everett. Featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths, the home includes a living room, kitchen w/ range and refrigerator, and dining area designed for easy everyday living. Enjoy outdoor living with a welcoming covered front porch and a large rear deck--partially covered--perfect for grilling or relaxing and taking in the peaceful, scenic views. The home sits on a concrete block crawl space and is equipped with oil forced-air heat and central air conditioning for year-round comfort. Large 30' x 40' detached garage that is heated and cooled--ideal for a wo

Key facts

  • Private acres
  • Covered front porch
  • Oil forced-air heat

Tags

PRIVATE ACRESCOVERED FRONT PORCHLARGE REAR DECKCONCRETE BLOCK CRAWL SPACEOIL FORCED-AIR HEATCENTRAL AIR CONDITIONING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 4-car garage
  • Utilities: Private well water
  • Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story; Aluminum siding; Metal roof; Skyline model
  • Construction: Aluminum siding construction; Metal roof; Crawl space foundation; Built as a manufactured home (Skyline)
  • Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Shed(s); 1.34 acre lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Laminate; Vinyl; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (oil); Cooling
  • Interior features: Insulated windows; 8 total rooms; Crawl space basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $7 ($90/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $142k (19.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $142k (19.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Everett Area SD (rural): math 32% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #337 of 539 in PA (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Everett Area El Sch (math 31% / reading 53%, grade F, #883 of 1,518 statewide, top 61%, 435 students, 100% FRL); Everett Area Ms (math 18% / reading 48%, grade F, #346 of 512 statewide, top 69%, 293 students, 56% FRL); Everett Area Hs (math 72% / reading 75%, grade B+, #33 of 437 statewide, top 7%, 360 students, 35% FRL) — zoned schools average 64% FRL vs 46% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; 54 units permitted in Bedford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Bedford County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $141,777 (19.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
6.34%
Cash-on-cash
0.18%
DSCR
1.01
GRM
10.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.4%
Equity multiple
2.95×
Total profit
$95,747
Equity at exit
$157,654
10-year hold
IRR
21.6%
Equity multiple
6.75×
Total profit
$281,509
Equity at exit
$339,987

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15537

Home prices YoY
17.3%
Active inventory
62
Price-to-rent
10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,418 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax from tax record
$122 /mo · $1,463/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$298
Net cashflow
$7

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,408
Max offer price $175,000
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $107 -5% $57 +0% $7 +5% $-42 +10% $-92
Rent -10% $-105 -5% $-49 +0% $7 +5% $63 +10% $119
Rate -1.0pp $96 -0.5pp $52 base $7 +0.5pp $-38 +1.0pp $-84

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 1 events

  1. 2026-04-30
    listed $175,000 Active 987-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,463 · $122/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,114 · $176/mo
Expected delta
+$651/yr (+$54/mo · 44.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,013
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$1,463
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,361
− Management
−$1,361
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable loss
−$2,941
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$706
After-tax cash flow
$795/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Everett Area SD
NCES district ID
4209360
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$41,322
Composite
35.24/100
National rank
#4979
State rank
#337 of 539 in PA

Livability — West Providence

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
8,272

Population outlook (Bedford County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
45,395 people
By 2030
43,353 · -4.5%
By 2040
38,858 · -14.4%
By 2050
34,162 · -24.7%
By 2075
24,868 · -45.2%
By 2100
16,910 · -62.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% Italian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bedford

2024 margin
Solid R (+68.6) · D 15.4% · R 84.0%
2008→2024 swing
-23.8pp toward R · 2008: -44.8pp · 2024: -68.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+68.6 2020: R+67.7 2016: R+67.4 2012: R+54.9 2008: R+44.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 37.19%
Current HPI
252.292
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Pending AHARMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $175,000 AHARMLS

Property tax history

+1.1%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,463 · +5.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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