151 Pine Echo Rd · West Providence, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.5/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Set on 1.34 private acres, this well-maintained double-wide manufactured home offers comfort, space, and convenience just minutes from downtown Everett. Featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths, the home includes a living room, kitchen w/ range and refrigerator, and dining area designed for easy everyday living. Enjoy outdoor living with a welcoming covered front porch and a large rear deck--partially covered--perfect for grilling or relaxing and taking in the peaceful, scenic views. The home sits on a concrete block crawl space and is equipped with oil forced-air heat and central air conditioning for year-round comfort. Large 30' x 40' detached garage that is heated and cooled--ideal for a wo
Key facts
- Private acres
- Covered front porch
- Oil forced-air heat
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 4-car garage
- Utilities: Private well water
- Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story; Aluminum siding; Metal roof; Skyline model
- Construction: Aluminum siding construction; Metal roof; Crawl space foundation; Built as a manufactured home (Skyline)
- Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Shed(s); 1.34 acre lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Laminate; Vinyl; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (oil); Cooling
- Interior features: Insulated windows; 8 total rooms; Crawl space basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $7 ($90/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $142k (19.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $142k (19.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Everett Area SD (rural): math 32% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #337 of 539 in PA (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Everett Area El Sch (math 31% / reading 53%, grade F, #883 of 1,518 statewide, top 61%, 435 students, 100% FRL); Everett Area Ms (math 18% / reading 48%, grade F, #346 of 512 statewide, top 69%, 293 students, 56% FRL); Everett Area Hs (math 72% / reading 75%, grade B+, #33 of 437 statewide, top 7%, 360 students, 35% FRL) — zoned schools average 64% FRL vs 46% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; 54 units permitted in Bedford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Bedford County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.18%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.95×
- Total profit
- $95,747
- Equity at exit
- $157,654
- IRR
- 21.6%
- Equity multiple
- 6.75×
- Total profit
- $281,509
- Equity at exit
- $339,987
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15537
- Home prices YoY
- 17.3%
- Active inventory
- 62
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,418 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$122 /mo · $1,463/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$298
- Net cashflow
- $7
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $107 | -5% $57 | +0% $7 | +5% $-42 | +10% $-92 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-105 | -5% $-49 | +0% $7 | +5% $63 | +10% $119 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $96 | -0.5pp $52 | base $7 | +0.5pp $-38 | +1.0pp $-84 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-04-30$175,000 Active 987-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,463 · $122/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,114 · $176/mo
- Expected delta
- +$651/yr (+$54/mo · 44.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,013
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$1,463
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,361
- − Management
- −$1,361
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable loss
- −$2,941
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$706
- After-tax cash flow
- $795/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Everett Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4209360
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,322
- Composite
- 35.24/100
- National rank
- #4979
- State rank
- #337 of 539 in PA
Livability — West Providence
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,272
Population outlook (Bedford County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 45,395 people
- By 2030
- 43,353 · -4.5%
- By 2040
- 38,858 · -14.4%
- By 2050
- 34,162 · -24.7%
- By 2075
- 24,868 · -45.2%
- By 2100
- 16,910 · -62.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Italian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bedford
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+68.6) · D 15.4% · R 84.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.8pp toward R · 2008: -44.8pp · 2024: -68.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+68.6 2020: R+67.7 2016: R+67.4 2012: R+54.9 2008: R+44.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 37.19%
- Current HPI
- 252.292
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Pending — AHARMLS
- 2026-04-30 Listed $175,000 AHARMLS
Property tax history
+1.1%/yrLatest (2026): $1,463 · +5.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…