2503 Old Bay Springs Rd · Laurel, MS 39440

$175,000

2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,027 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 18 Days on market

Built 1949 10,454 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.8/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +4.9/10.0
• 1% rule +3.7/10.0
• Livability +3.3/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.3/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

The Most Adorable Cottage on a fairy tale street is awaiting you! This small but spacious home features a large kitchen with gas range, vintage style farmhouse sink, and large refrigerator. Around the corner is a large half bathroom with window out to the back porch, and a custom laundry cabinet with storage on either side and above (great use of space) and a door out to the carport so you can come in and out without getting in the rain. Beautiful original heart pine floors throughout large living room with enough room for a dining table, and the bedrooms. Original doors and hardware mixed with sconces and recessed lighting give it updated charm. Exterior includes a storage building with shelving, partially fenced yard, flower beds. Could be added on to without losing much yard!

Key facts

• Farmhouse sink
• Expansive corner lot
• Gas range

Tags

• ORIGINAL HEART PINE FLOORS
• FARMHOUSE SINK
• GAS RANGE
• EXPANSIVE CORNER LOT
• PRIVATE FENCED BACK YARD

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Attached carport (1 space); Concrete parking surface
• Utilities: Public water
• Home design: Single-story cottage; Residential property
• Construction: Asbestos and wood siding exterior materials
• Exterior features: Wood fencing; Deck

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas range; Microwave; Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: 4 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
• Flooring: Hardwood
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Ceiling fan(s)
• Interior features: Window coverings; Crawl space basement
• Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $175k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $81 ($978/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $152k (13.3% below list).
• Recommended offer: $152k (13.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#92 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment F.
• Laurel School District (town): math 16% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #101 of 130 in MS (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Laurel Middle School (math 14% / reading 15%, grade F, #133 of 179 statewide, top 76%, 555 students, 100% FRL); Laurel High School (math 11% / reading 12%, grade F, #166 of 197 statewide, top 85%, 708 students, 100% FRL).
• Market conditions: 131 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 23 units permitted in Jones County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Jones County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 6 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $46k; list at $175k implies a 285% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 97% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $151,750 (13.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.87% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.85%
• Cash-on-cash: 2.00%
• DSCR: 1.09
• GRM: 9.6

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $37,999
• Comps found: 2

Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
607 W 29th St	0.45mi	2/1.0	962 (-6%)	23mo	$35,000	$36	48
2206 N 3rd Ave	0.62mi	2/1.0	936 (-9%)	9mo	$35,000	$37	46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -13.2%
• Equity multiple: 0.53×
• Total profit: $-23,202
• Equity at exit: $26,093

10-year hold

• IRR: -4.2%
• Equity multiple: 0.72×
• Total profit: $-13,659
• Equity at exit: $15,131

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Mississippi: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 39440

• Active inventory: 131
• Price-to-rent: 9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,518 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$918
• Tax from tax record: −$127 /mo · $1,521/yr
• Insurance: −$73
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$319
• Net cashflow: $81

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,414

Max offer price $175,000

Occupancy floor 90%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $43,750
• Closing costs: $5,250
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
3017 Old Amy Rd Laurel, MS	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1025	$1,518	$1.48	13d	3	0.93mi

Listing history 14 events

1. 2026-04-28
   status Pending
2. 2026-04-10
   listed $175,000 Active
3. 2023-02-23
   soldstatus 789-char remark

   Show marketing remark (789 chars)

   The Most Adorable Cottage on a fairy tale street is awaiting you! This small but spacious home features a large kitchen with gas range, vintage style farmhouse sink, and large refrigerator. Around the corner is a large half bathroom with window out to the back porch, and a custom laundry cabinet with storage on either side and above (great use of space) and a door out to the carport so you can come in and out without getting in the rain. Beautiful original heart pine floors throughout large living room with enough room for a dining table, and the bedrooms. Original doors and hardware mixed with sconces and recessed lighting give it updated charm. Exterior includes a storage building with shelving, partially fenced yard, flower beds. Could be added on to without losing much yard!

4. 2022-07-29
   soldstatus 789-char remark

   Show marketing remark (789 chars)

   The Most Adorable Cottage on a fairy tale street is awaiting you! This small but spacious home features a large kitchen with gas range, vintage style farmhouse sink, and large refrigerator. Around the corner is a large half bathroom with window out to the back porch, and a custom laundry cabinet with storage on either side and above (great use of space) and a door out to the carport so you can come in and out without getting in the rain. Beautiful original heart pine floors throughout large living room with enough room for a dining table, and the bedrooms. Original doors and hardware mixed with sconces and recessed lighting give it updated charm. Exterior includes a storage building with shelving, partially fenced yard, flower beds. Could be added on to without losing much yard!

5. 2022-07-13
   listed $155,000 789-char remark

   Show marketing remark (789 chars)

   The Most Adorable Cottage on a fairy tale street is awaiting you! This small but spacious home features a large kitchen with gas range, vintage style farmhouse sink, and large refrigerator. Around the corner is a large half bathroom with window out to the back porch, and a custom laundry cabinet with storage on either side and above (great use of space) and a door out to the carport so you can come in and out without getting in the rain. Beautiful original heart pine floors throughout large living room with enough room for a dining table, and the bedrooms. Original doors and hardware mixed with sconces and recessed lighting give it updated charm. Exterior includes a storage building with shelving, partially fenced yard, flower beds. Could be added on to without losing much yard!

6. 2022-07-13
   listed $155,000 789-char remark

   Show marketing remark (789 chars)

   The Most Adorable Cottage on a fairy tale street is awaiting you! This small but spacious home features a large kitchen with gas range, vintage style farmhouse sink, and large refrigerator. Around the corner is a large half bathroom with window out to the back porch, and a custom laundry cabinet with storage on either side and above (great use of space) and a door out to the carport so you can come in and out without getting in the rain. Beautiful original heart pine floors throughout large living room with enough room for a dining table, and the bedrooms. Original doors and hardware mixed with sconces and recessed lighting give it updated charm. Exterior includes a storage building with shelving, partially fenced yard, flower beds. Could be added on to without losing much yard!

7. 2022-02-09
   soldstatus
8. 2022-01-20
   listed $135,000
9. 2021-06-03
   soldstatus $45,500
10. 2021-06-01
    soldstatus
11. 2021-05-02
    listed $115,000
12. 2019-04-15
    soldstatus $45,500
13. 2019-04-12
    soldstatus
14. 2019-02-28
    listed $74,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,521 · $127/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,521 · $127/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 97% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $18,210
• − Mortgage interest: −$9,803
• − Property taxes: −$1,521
• − Insurance: −$875
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,457
• − Management: −$1,457
• − Depreciation: −$5,091
• Taxable loss: −$1,993
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$478
• After-tax cash flow: $1,456/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Laurel School District
• NCES district ID: 2802460
• Math proficiency: 16% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 18% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $28,415
• Composite: 13.36/100
• National rank: #9535
• State rank: #101 of 130 in MS

Livability — Laurel

• Score: 66/100
• State rank: #92
• US rank: #11413

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Laurel, MS
• City population: 20,111
• Population (ZIP): 20,111

Population outlook (Jones County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 68,800 people
• By 2030: 68,773 · +-0.0%
• By 2040: 68,087 · -1.0%
• By 2050: 66,241 · -3.7%
• By 2075: 58,600 · -14.8%
• By 2100: 45,744 · -33.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority Black (63%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 63% White 30% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 3% Native American 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 5%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada
• Languages at home: 94% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Jones

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+46.8) · D 26.2% · R 73.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -8.2pp toward R · 2008: -38.6pp · 2024: -46.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+46.8 2020: R+42.2 2016: R+43.6 2012: R+38.2 2008: R+38.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -104.63%
• Current HPI: 126.2541
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: —
• F500 in state: 0

Price history

+133.6% since first listed

14 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-28 Pending — LBOR
• 2026-04-10 Listed $175,000 LBOR
• 2023-02-23 Sold (MLS) — HAAR
• 2022-07-29 Sold (MLS) — LBOR
• 2022-07-13 Listed $155,000 LBOR
• 2022-07-13 Listed $155,000 HAAR
• 2022-02-09 Sold (MLS) — LBOR
• 2022-01-20 Listed $135,000 LBOR
• 2021-06-03 Sold (Public Records) $45,500 Public Records
• 2021-06-01 Sold (MLS) — LBOR
• 2021-05-02 Listed $115,000 LBOR
• 2019-04-15 Sold (Public Records) $45,500 Public Records
• 2019-04-12 Sold (MLS) — LBOR
• 2019-02-28 Listed $74,900 LBOR

Property tax history

+7.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,521 · +8.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.