2205 18th Ave · Northport, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 57.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
What a cute house just waiting on you to finish it with your special touches. When you walk into the front door you enter the living room and there is also a dining room area, kitchen, 3 bedrooms and 1 full bath that appears to have been updated. Just needs those final touches and it will be ready. Don't let this one get away.
Key facts
- 9,147 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1950
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size approximately 0.21 acres
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Parking: Attached parking; Driveway parking; One carport space
- Utilities: Public water; Connected sewer; Gas water heater; Internet service availability unknown
- Home design: Existing construction; Siding (wood) exterior; Crawl space foundation; Not waterfront; No pool
- Construction: Wood siding construction
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Open deck
Interior
- Kitchen: Laminate countertops; Built-in dishwasher; Built-in microwave
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom with tub/shower combo on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
- Interior features: Ceilings: other (see remarks); No additional built-in interior features listed
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room on the main level; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $323 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $136k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 4.2% in Northport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#8 in AL, #2,686 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
- Tuscaloosa County (suburban): math 21% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #47 of 129 in AL (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Crestmont Elementary School (math 22% / reading 42%, grade F, #331 of 627 statewide, top 57%, 270 students, 79% FRL); Tuscaloosa County High School (math 26% / reading 30%, grade F, #87 of 305 statewide, top 29%, 1,545 students, 55% FRL) — zoned schools average 67% FRL vs 45% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 622 units permitted in Tuscaloosa County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tuscaloosa County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $102k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 57% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.90%
- DSCR
- 1.44
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $186,481
- List price
- $139,900
- Delta
- -24.98%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2600 17th Ave | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,254 (-2%) | 4mo | $186,000 | $148 | 81 |
| 2412 17th Ave | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,355 (+6%) | 4mo | $135,000 | $100 | 78 |
| 1711 17th St | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,342 (+5%) | 5mo | $96,000 | $72 | 69 |
| 2111 18th St | 0.32mi | 3/1.5 | 1,418 (+11%) | 0mo | $232,500 | $164 | 64 |
| 2105 22nd Ave | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (+14%) | 1mo | $254,000 | $174 | 62 |
| 2803 25th Avenue Ave | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 | 1,175 (-8%) | 2mo | $238,000 | $203 | 60 |
| 2812 Robinwood Ln Ln | 0.49mi | 3/3.0 | 1,314 (+3%) | 7mo | $235,000 | $179 | 59 |
| 1901 Main Ave. Ave | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,176 (-8%) | 4mo | $216,000 | $184 | 58 |
| 2707 31st Avenue Way | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,323 (+3%) | 3mo | $237,000 | $179 | 54 |
| 2445 Meadowlark Ln | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,160 (-9%) | 2mo | $230,000 | $198 | 53 |
| 1406 10th St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,404 (+10%) | 3mo | $205,000 | $146 | 50 |
| 2401 Roselawn St | 0.53mi | 3/3.0 | 1,457 (+14%) | 6mo | $178,000 | $122 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.95×
- Total profit
- $-2,141
- Equity at exit
- $20,860
- IRR
- 8.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.62×
- Total profit
- $24,428
- Equity at exit
- $12,096
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35476
- Home prices YoY
- -32.3%
- Active inventory
- 44
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,482 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$56 /mo · $668/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$311
- Net cashflow
- $323
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2705 18th Ave Unit 4D Northport, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $625 | $0.57 | 44d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 1920 5th St Northport, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 892 | $1,125 | $1.26 | 21d | 3 | 0.80mi |
| 500 Snows Mill Ave Tuscaloosa, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 904 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 13d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 201 Marina Dr Tuscaloosa, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1099 | $1,595 | $1.45 | 13d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 800 Energy Center Blvd Northport, AL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 950 | $1,784 | $1.88 | 13d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3813 Biscayne Hills Dr Northport, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1787 | $1,795 | $1.00 | 13d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 301 19th Ave Tuscaloosa, AL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $2,200 | $1.83 | 21d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $139,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $139,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $139,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $139,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $139,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $139,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $139,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $139,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-03price $139,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $144,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $144,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $144,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $144,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-01$144,900 Active 328-char remark
-
2026-04-06price $149,900
-
2026-03-05price $154,900
-
2026-02-03price $159,900
-
2025-12-04price $164,900
-
2025-10-28price $169,900
-
2025-08-26$189,900 Active
-
2025-06-23price $184,900
-
2025-06-12price $194,900
-
2025-05-22$199,900 Active
-
2024-12-30soldstatus $102,500
-
2024-08-05historical $1,100
-
2024-07-11$1,100
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $668 · $56/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $668 · $56/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 57% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,784
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$668
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,423
- − Management
- −$1,423
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable income
- $1,664
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$399
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,478/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tuscaloosa County
- NCES district ID
- 0103390
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,000
- Composite
- 28.88/100
- National rank
- #6641
- State rank
- #47 of 129 in AL
Livability — Northport
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #8
- US rank
- #2686
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Northport, AL
- County
- Tuscaloosa County · 206,491 people
- City population
- 47,464
- Metro
- Tuscaloosa, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,521
- Household income
- $61,154
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 281.0
Population outlook (Tuscaloosa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 228,293 people
- By 2030
- 240,551 · +5.4%
- By 2040
- 263,856 · +15.6%
- By 2050
- 286,491 · +25.5%
- By 2075
- 335,783 · +47.1%
- By 2100
- 370,520 · +62.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 50% White 40% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Tuscaloosa
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.4) · D 39.4% · R 59.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.4pp toward R · 2008: -16.0pp · 2024: -20.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.4 2020: R+14.8 2016: R+19.5 2012: R+17.4 2008: R+16.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -104.98%
- Current HPI
- 219.7539
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Tuscaloosa, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+12618.2% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Price Changed $139,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-05-01 Listed $144,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-04-06 Price Changed $149,900 WAMLS
- 2026-03-05 Price Changed $154,900 WAMLS
- 2026-02-03 Price Changed $159,900 WAMLS
- 2025-12-04 Price Changed $164,900 WAMLS
- 2025-10-28 Price Changed $169,900 WAMLS
- 2025-08-26 Listed $189,900 WAMLS
- 2025-06-23 Price Changed $184,900 WAMLS
- 2025-06-12 Price Changed $194,900 WAMLS
- 2025-05-22 Listed $199,900 WAMLS
- 2024-12-30 Sold (Public Records) $102,500 Public Records
- 2024-08-05 Rental Removed $1,100 APPFOLIO
- 2024-07-11 Listed for Rent $1,100 APPFOLIO
Property tax history
+15.6%/yrLatest (2025): $668 · +6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…