411 S Court St S #2 · Fort Collins, CO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $939 – $1,743
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 13 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$60,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great opportunity for an investor or a first time home buyer focused on savings and willing to put some TLC into a home! Right off of Mulberry in one of the most personable and private parks, this home has just recently gotten fresh paint, new carpet, and bathroom grout!
Key facts
- Bathroom grout
- Fresh paint
- New carpet
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No association fees
Exterior
- Parking: No garage; No designated parking
- Utilities: Water meter installed; No water rights
- Home design: Manufactured in park; Mobile home
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Self-cleaning oven; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Self-cleaning oven; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $941 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $58k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 25.1% vs local median 2.6% in Fort Collins — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#11 in CO, #1,750 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living F.
- Poudre School District R-1 (urban): math 45% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #10 of 86 in CO (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 422 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,786 units permitted in Larimer County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Larimer County population projected at +51% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.86% ✓
- Cap rate
- 25.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- 67.20%
- DSCR
- 3.99
- GRM
- 2.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.13% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 67.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.11×
- Total profit
- $52,199
- Equity at exit
- $8,946
- IRR
- 72.3%
- Equity multiple
- 8.80×
- Total profit
- $131,004
- Equity at exit
- $5,188
Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 80524
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 422
- Price-to-rent
- 2.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,716 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$315
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$75 /mo · $900/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$360
- Net cashflow
- $941
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,000
- Closing costs
- $1,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1425 Riverside Ave Unit A Fort Collins, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,400 | $2.55 | 23d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1200 Duff Dr Fort Collins, CO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1060 | $2,546 | $2.40 | 14d | 72 | 0.70mi |
| 1201 Montgomery St #741 Fort Collins, CO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $1,595 | $1.97 | 14d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1108 Baker St Unit C Fort Collins, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,275 | $1.27 | 23d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 624 Endicott St Fort Collins, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,750 | $1.94 | 23d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1001 Robertson St Fort Collins, CO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 610 | $1,495 | $2.45 | 14d | 4 | 0.90mi |
| 1005 Robertson St Fort Collins, CO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 610 | $1,395 | $2.29 | 14d | 3 | 0.92mi |
| 1000 Morgan St Fort Collins, CO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 647 | $1,395 | $2.16 | 14d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 523 Cowan St Fort Collins, CO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,950 | $1.91 | 23d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 612 9th St Fort Collins, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,800 | $2.01 | 23d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1672 Riverside Ave Apt B214 Fort Collins, CO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 864 | $1,400 | $1.62 | 23d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1672 Riverside Ave Fort Collins, CO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 864 | $1,400 | $1.62 | 14d | 3 | 1.13mi |
| 1684 Riverside Ave Fort Collins, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 702 | $1,495 | $2.13 | 14d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 801 Smith St Fort Collins, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 576 | $1,845 | $3.20 | 14d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 301 Peterson St Fort Collins, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 817 | $1,692 | $2.07 | 14d | 2 | 1.33mi |
| 1717 Welch St Fort Collins, CO | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 976 | $1,497 | $1.53 | 14d | 7 | 1.34mi |
| 331 E Magnolia St Fort Collins, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 760 | $1,475 | $1.94 | 23d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 634 Mathews St Fort Collins, CO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 610 | $1,495 | $2.45 | 14d | 3 | 1.43mi |
| 634 Mathews St Unit B6 Fort Collins, CO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 545 | $1,420 | $2.61 | 23d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 327 Mathews St Fort Collins, CO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 545 | $1,395 | $2.56 | 23d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 217 E Oak St Fort Collins, CO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,395 | $1.51 | 23d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 221 E Mountain Ave #315 Fort Collins, CO | 1.0 | 1.5 | 781 | $2,600 | $3.33 | 23d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $60,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $60,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $60,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $60,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $60,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $60,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $60,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $60,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $60,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $60,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $60,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $60,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $60,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $60,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-04-27$60,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 13 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,590
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,361
- − Property taxes
- −$900
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,647
- − Management
- −$1,647
- − Depreciation
- −$1,745
- Taxable income
- $10,989
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,637
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,653/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Poudre School District R-1
- NCES district ID
- 0803990
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,281
- Composite
- 45.5/100
- National rank
- #2610
- State rank
- #10 of 86 in CO
Livability — Fort Collins
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #11
- US rank
- #1750
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Larimer County · 338,255 people
- City population
- 202,303
- Metro
- Fort Collins, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,030
- Household income
- $85,035
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1860.0
Population outlook (Larimer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,361 people
- By 2030
- 457,762 · +10.2%
- By 2040
- 542,310 · +30.6%
- By 2050
- 627,048 · +51.0%
- By 2075
- 833,722 · +100.7%
- By 2100
- 952,590 · +129.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 11% Asian 1% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Portuguese 3% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 10% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Larimer
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.6) · D 57.4% · R 39.8% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.9pp toward D · 2008: 9.7pp · 2024: 17.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.6 2020: D+15.4 2016: D+4.9 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+9.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -581.67%
- Current HPI
- 274.4026
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.13%
- Metro
- Fort Collins, CO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Listed $60,000 IRES
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2021): $31 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…