Duplex
2108 Magnolia St · New Orleans, LA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.6%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
$62,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Key facts
- 2,879 sq ft lot
- Built 1920
- Listed 57 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $62k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($23k/yr) — positive. Per door: $961/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $62k).
- Recommended offer: $61k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 44.5% vs local median 4.4% in New Orleans — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#3 in LA, #1,383 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D.
- Orleans Parish (urban): math 11% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #69 of 98 in LA (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 137 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 710 units permitted in Orleans Parish in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,160/mo this rent would consume 96% of the median local household income ($39k/yr) (locally 714% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($432 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Orleans County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 6.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 5.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 44.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 136.38%
- DSCR
- 7.07
- GRM
- 1.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $228,667
- List price
- $62,500
- Delta
- -72.67%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1827 Martin Luther King Jr Blvd | 0.55mi | 6/4.0 | 1,809 (+5%) | 17mo | $165,000 | $91 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 5.98% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 10.51×
- Total profit
- $166,371
- Equity at exit
- $56,305
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 24.79×
- Total profit
- $416,248
- Equity at exit
- $121,424
Cash invested: $17,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70113
- Rents YoY
- 6.0%
- Active inventory
- 137
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,160 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$328
- Tax from tax record
- −$154 /mo · $1,845/yr
- Insurance
- −$26
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$664
- Net cashflow
- $1,922
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | — | $3,160 |
| #1 | 3 | — | $1,580 |
| #2 | 3 | — | $1,580 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,160 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,625
- Closing costs
- $1,875
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 822 Howard Ave Unit 1272354P New Orleans, LA | 1.0–5.0 | 1.0–4.0 | 1749 | $11,882 | $6.79 | 1d | 3 | 0.76mi |
| 822 Perdido St Unit 1272370P New Orleans, LA | 1.0–5.0 | 1.0–5.0 | 1447 | $7,361 | $5.09 | 3d | 4 | 1.04mi |
| 1050 Annunciation St Unit 1272355P New Orleans, LA | 2.0–5.0 | 2.0–4.0 | 1544 | $4,490 | $2.91 | 3d | 3 | 1.17mi |
| 2117 S Lopez St New Orleans, LA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1920 | $2,000 | $1.04 | 23d | 1 | 1.31mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $62,500 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $62,500 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $62,500 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $62,500 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $62,500 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $62,500 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $62,500 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $62,500 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $62,500 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $62,500 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $62,500 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $62,500 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $62,500 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $62,500 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-04-21$75,000 Active
-
2026-04-21$75,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,845 · $154/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,845 · $154/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 60% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $37,920
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,501
- − Property taxes
- −$1,845
- − Insurance
- −$1,110
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,034
- − Management
- −$3,034
- − Depreciation
- −$1,818
- Taxable income
- $23,579
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$5,659
- After-tax cash flow
- $17,410/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orleans Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201170
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -52.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -46.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,011
- Composite
- 15.78/100
- National rank
- #9271
- State rank
- #69 of 98 in LA
Livability — New Orleans
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #1383
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Orleans, LA
- County
- Orleans Parish · 338,817 people
- City population
- 338,817
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,387
- Household income
- $39,333
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 714.0
Population outlook (Orleans County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 513,025 people
- By 2030
- 575,781 · +12.2%
- By 2040
- 700,174 · +36.5%
- By 2050
- 826,541 · +61.1%
- By 2075
- 1,123,374 · +119.0%
- By 2100
- 1,355,609 · +164.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 61% White 20% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 11% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Orleans
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+67.0) · D 82.2% · R 15.2% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.7pp toward D · 2008: 60.3pp · 2024: 67.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+67.0 2020: D+68.2 2016: D+66.2 2012: D+62.5 2008: D+60.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 65.92%
- Current HPI
- 229.3968
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.98%
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Listed $75,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-04-21 Listed $75,000 GSREIN
Property tax history
-1.0%/yrLatest (2026): $1,845 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…