1301-03 S Stateline Ave · Texarkana, AR 71854

$150,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,556 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 364 Days on market

Built 1945 1.79 ac lot $96/sqft · 22% below area Est $191k · 22% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +21.8/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• DSCR +7.0/10.0
• 1% rule +4.5/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.1/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

This is 1 of a 4 property package - (1) 221 Linden (2) 308 E. 26th (3) 2224 Pecan (4) 1301 & 1303 S State Line. The entire package can be purchase for $300,000.

Key facts

• 1.79 acre lot
• Built 1945
• Listed 363 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $234 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $143k (4.8% below list).
• Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 4.5% in Texarkana — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 64/100 on livability (#177 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
• Texarkana School District (suburban): math 27% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #181 of 238 in AR (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 273 active listings in the ZIP; 21 units permitted in Miller County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Miller County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 364 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 6 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask is 15689% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
• Current owner paid $43k; list at $150k implies a 249% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $132,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 364 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.95% ✗
• Cap rate: 8.17%
• Cash-on-cash: 6.70%
• DSCR: 1.30
• GRM: 8.8

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $191,441
• List price: $150,000
• Delta: -21.65%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 3 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1801 S Spruce	0.33mi	3/2.0	1,462 (-6%)	9mo	$195,000	$133	67

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -6.1%
• Equity multiple: 0.78×
• Total profit: $-9,443
• Equity at exit: $22,365

10-year hold

• IRR: 3.5%
• Equity multiple: 1.26×
• Total profit: $10,732
• Equity at exit: $12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Arkansas: 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 71854

• Home prices YoY: -16.9%
• Active inventory: 273
• Price-to-rent: 8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,428 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$787
• Tax from tax record: −$45 /mo · $534/yr
• Insurance: −$62
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$300
• Net cashflow: $234

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,131

Max offer price $150,000

Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $319	-5% $277	+0% $234	+5% $192	+10% $149
Rent	-10% $122	-5% $178	+0% $234	+5% $291	+10% $347
Rate	-1.0pp $310	-0.5pp $273	base $234	+0.5pp $196	+1.0pp $156

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $37,500
• Closing costs: $4,500
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 29 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $150,000 Active 364 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $150,000 Active 363 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $150,000 Active 362 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $150,000 Active 361 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $150,000 Active 360 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $150,000 Active 358 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $150,000 Active 357 DOM
8. 2026-06-10
   days on market $150,000 Active 355 DOM
9. 2026-06-09
   days on market $150,000 Active 354 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $150,000 Active 353 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $150,000 Active 352 DOM
12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $150,000 Active 349 DOM
13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $150,000 Active 348 DOM
14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $150,000 Active 347 DOM
15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,000 Active 346 DOM
16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 345 DOM
17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $150,000 Active 344 DOM
18. 2025-10-12
    historical $950
19. 2025-10-06
    listed $950
20. 2025-06-20
    listed $150,000 Active 166-char remark

    Show marketing remark (166 chars)

    This is 1 of a 4 property package - (1) 221 Linden (2) 308 E. 26th (3) 2224 Pecan (4) 1301 & 1303 S State Line. The entire package can be purchase for $300,000.

21. 2024-12-02
    historical $950
22. 2024-11-26
    listed $950
23. 2024-05-12
    historical $1,100
24. 2024-04-27
    listed $1,100
25. 2023-10-04
    historical
26. 2023-09-29
    listed
27. 2023-05-30
    price $95,000
28. 2022-05-24
    listed $99,500 Active
29. 2011-04-15
    soldstatus $43,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $534 · $45/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $960 · $80/mo
• Expected delta: +$426/yr (+$35/mo · 79.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $17,135
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,402
• − Property taxes: −$534
• − Insurance: −$750
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,371
• − Management: −$1,371
• − Depreciation: −$4,364
• Taxable income: $343
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$82
• After-tax cash flow: $2,731/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Texarkana School District
• NCES district ID: 0513110
• Math proficiency: 27% ▼ -12.00%
• Reading proficiency: 24% ▼ -9.00%
• Median HH income: $39,320
• Composite: 21.47/100
• National rank: #8332
• State rank: #181 of 238 in AR

Livability — Texarkana

• Score: 64/100
• State rank: #177
• US rank: #14514

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Texarkana, AR
• County: Miller County · 35,720 people
• City population: 35,720
• Metro: Texarkana, TX-AR
• Population (ZIP): 35,720
• Household income: $46,878
• Rent vs Own: 38.6% rent · 61.4% own
• Severe rent burden: 1388.0

Population outlook (Miller County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 44,197 people
• By 2030: 43,844 · -0.8%
• By 2040: 42,680 · -3.4%
• By 2050: 41,024 · -7.2%
• By 2075: 35,685 · -19.3%
• By 2100: 28,325 · -35.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority White (62%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 62% Black 30% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Miller

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+51.1) · D 23.9% · R 74.9% · Other 1.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -17.6pp toward R · 2008: -33.5pp · 2024: -51.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+51.1 2020: R+46.4 2016: R+43.8 2012: R+39.8 2008: R+33.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -40.00%
• Current HPI: 196.7615
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Texarkana, TX-AR
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.80%
• F500 in state: 10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Retail	1	$681B
▸Food / Agriculture	1	$53B
▸Retail / Energy	1	$22B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$12B
▸Energy	1	$4B

Price history

+248.8% since first listed

12 events — show timeline

• 2025-10-12 Rental Removed $950 TURBOTENANT
• 2025-10-06 Listed for Rent $950 TURBOTENANT
• 2025-06-20 Listed $150,000 TBOR
• 2024-12-02 Rental Removed $950 TURBOTENANT
• 2024-11-26 Listed for Rent $950 TURBOTENANT
• 2024-05-12 Rental Removed $1,100 TURBOTENANT
• 2024-04-27 Listed for Rent $1,100 TURBOTENANT
• 2023-10-04 Rental Removed — TURBOTENANT
• 2023-09-29 Listed for Rent — TURBOTENANT
• 2023-05-30 Price Changed $95,000 TBOR
• 2022-05-24 Listed $99,500 TBOR
• 2011-04-15 Sold (Public Records) $43,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $534 · +10.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.