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622 Church St
C- Composite 54.4
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.4/30.0
  • DSCR +7.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.3/15.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,900

622 Church St · Monroe, MI 48161
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,526 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 22 Days on market
Built 1954 0.30 ac lot $98/sqft · 7% above area Est $140k · 7% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 622 Church Street! This is a solid ranch duplex ready for a multi-family investor located in a VERY quiet and secluded pocket of Monroe. Property features solid masonry construction and hardwood floors in both units. Expansive backyard and undeveloped lot on one side of duplex adds privacy appeal for tenants. Units are matching 2 Bedroom/1 Bath layouts. Both units currently occupied and under lease with rents totaling $1700/month. All utilities have separate meters. Driveway on the side of the duplex provides private off street parking for tenants. You will not want to miss this one! BATVAI

Key facts

  • Expansive backyard
  • Hardwood floors
  • 0.3 acre lot

Tags

SOLID MASONRY CONSTRUCTIONHARDWOOD FLOORSEXPANSIVE BACKYARDPRIVATE OFF STREET PARKING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot approximately 0.3 acre (dimensions 163 x 80)
  • Financial info: Unit rents: $850 and $850
  • HOA & community: Sidewalks (community feature)

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: One-story building; Multi-family residential income property; Brick construction
  • Construction: Brick exterior
  • Exterior features: Porch; Sidewalks

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven; Refrigerator; Range
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas; Separate meters for heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Crawl space basement; Oven; Refrigerator; Range
  • Laundry & utility: Washer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $304 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $148k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 4.0% in Monroe — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#51 in MI, #1,034 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, amenities D+.
  • Monroe Public Schools (suburban): math 24% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #278 of 540 in MI (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 144 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 264 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $147,651 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
8.72%
Cash-on-cash
8.68%
DSCR
1.39
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$140,000
List price
$149,900
Delta
7.07%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
19 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
312 Navarre St 0.33mi 4/2.0 1,456 (-5%) 4mo $189,900 $130 74
405 E 5th St 0.36mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,515 (-1%) 4mo $125,000 $83 72
906 E 1st St 0.39mi 4/2.0 1,520 (-0%) 12mo $59,900 $39 71
57 Navarre St 0.52mi 4/2.0 1,556 (+2%) 6mo $124,900 $80 67
403 E 2nd St 0.48mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,504 (-1%) 8mo $200,000 $133 64
842 Franklin Blvd 0.46mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,512 (-1%) 10mo $60,000 $40 63
934 Cherry St 0.29mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,700 (+11%) 6mo $165,000 $97 57
606 E 3rd St 0.31mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,410 (-8%) 10mo $164,212 $116 56
814 E Front St 0.53mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,483 (-3%) 12mo $257,500 $174 54
422 E 1st St 0.49mi 4/2.0 1,728 (+13%) 2mo $179,900 $104 53
515 E Elm St 0.73mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,651 (+8%) 6mo $132,000 $80 40
116 Maple Blvd 0.75mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,300 (-15%) 1mo $246,000 $189 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.2%
Equity multiple
0.88×
Total profit
$-4,977
Equity at exit
$22,351
10-year hold
IRR
6.5%
Equity multiple
1.49×
Total profit
$20,474
Equity at exit
$12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48161

Active inventory
144
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,600 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$786
Tax from tax record
$112 /mo · $1,341/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$336
Net cashflow
$304

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,216
Max offer price $149,900
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $388 -5% $346 +0% $304 +5% $261 +10% $219
Rent -10% $177 -5% $240 +0% $304 +5% $367 +10% $430
Rate -1.0pp $379 -0.5pp $342 base $304 +0.5pp $265 +1.0pp $225

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,475
Closing costs
$4,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
505 Harrison St Monroe, MI 3.0 2.0 1188 $1,600 $1.35 44d 1 0.76mi
75 Briarwood Trl Monroe, MI 3.0–4.0 2.0 1360 $1,609 $1.18 15d 1 1.27mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-04-27
    listed $149,900 Active 608-char remark
    Show marketing remark (608 chars)

    Welcome to 622 Church Street! This is a solid ranch duplex ready for a multi-family investor located in a VERY quiet and secluded pocket of Monroe. Property features solid masonry construction and hardwood floors in both units. Expansive backyard and undeveloped lot on one side of duplex adds privacy appeal for tenants. Units are matching 2 Bedroom/1 Bath layouts. Both units currently occupied and under lease with rents totaling $1700/month. All utilities have separate meters. Driveway on the side of the duplex provides private off street parking for tenants. You will not want to miss this one! BATVAI

  2. 2026-04-27
    listed $149,900 Active 608-char remark
    Show marketing remark (608 chars)

    Welcome to 622 Church Street! This is a solid ranch duplex ready for a multi-family investor located in a VERY quiet and secluded pocket of Monroe. Property features solid masonry construction and hardwood floors in both units. Expansive backyard and undeveloped lot on one side of duplex adds privacy appeal for tenants. Units are matching 2 Bedroom/1 Bath layouts. Both units currently occupied and under lease with rents totaling $1700/month. All utilities have separate meters. Driveway on the side of the duplex provides private off street parking for tenants. You will not want to miss this one! BATVAI

  3. 2024-05-03
    soldstatus $588,000
  4. 2021-11-04
    soldstatus $369,000
  5. 2018-12-18
    soldstatus $65,000
  6. 2018-12-13
    soldstatus $65,000
    Show marketing remark (211 chars)

    2 Unit ranch side by side. Updated hardwood floors. Shared Utility room with laundry and shed with a big back yard. 2 bedrooms / 1 bath in each unit. This is located on a dead end road next to a vacant city lot.

  7. 2018-12-13
    soldstatus $65,000 Closed
    Show marketing remark (211 chars)

    2 Unit ranch side by side. Updated hardwood floors. Shared Utility room with laundry and shed with a big back yard. 2 bedrooms / 1 bath in each unit. This is located on a dead end road next to a vacant city lot.

  8. 2018-12-05
    status Pending
  9. 2018-08-03
    listed $74,900
    Show marketing remark (211 chars)

    2 Unit ranch side by side. Updated hardwood floors. Shared Utility room with laundry and shed with a big back yard. 2 bedrooms / 1 bath in each unit. This is located on a dead end road next to a vacant city lot.

  10. 2018-08-03
    listed $74,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (211 chars)

    2 Unit ranch side by side. Updated hardwood floors. Shared Utility room with laundry and shed with a big back yard. 2 bedrooms / 1 bath in each unit. This is located on a dead end road next to a vacant city lot.

  11. 2009-10-29
    soldstatus $24,200
  12. 2009-10-09
    historical
  13. 2009-04-03
    listed $59,900
  14. 2008-03-29
    historical
  15. 2007-09-24
    listed $99,900
  16. 2004-11-01
    soldstatus $97,000
  17. 2004-10-28
    soldstatus $97,000
  18. 2004-10-01
    historical
  19. 2004-09-13
    listed $109,900
  20. 2001-07-01
    historical
  21. 2001-07-01
    historical
  22. 2001-02-01
    listed $84,900
  23. 2001-02-01
    listed $84,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,341 · $112/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,825 · $152/mo
Expected delta
+$484/yr (+$40/mo · 36.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,198
− Mortgage interest
−$8,397
− Property taxes
−$1,341
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,536
− Management
−$1,536
− Depreciation
−$4,361
Taxable income
$1,279
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$307
After-tax cash flow
$3,336/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Monroe Public Schools
NCES district ID
2624150
Math proficiency
24% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▲ 12.00%
Median HH income
$46,437
Composite
30.33/100
National rank
#6269
State rank
#278 of 540 in MI

Livability — Monroe

Score
83/100
State rank
#51
US rank
#1034

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Monroe, MI
County
Monroe County · 54,460 people
City population
54,460
Metro
Monroe, MI
Population (ZIP)
26,304
Household income
$67,414
Rent vs Own
23.6% rent · 76.4% own
Severe rent burden
733.0

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
144,439 people
By 2030
140,033 · -3.1%
By 2040
128,408 · -11.1%
By 2050
115,024 · -20.4%
By 2075
87,273 · -39.6%
By 2100
63,110 · -56.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Two or more races 7% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 10% Romanian 8% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.1) · D 35.7% · R 62.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-31.5pp toward R · 2008: 4.3pp · 2024: -27.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.1 2020: R+22.6 2016: R+22.1 2012: D+1.0 2008: D+4.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -178.99%
Current HPI
126.2638
Rent YoY
Metro
Monroe, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+71.3% since first listed
27 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Sold (MLS) $145,400 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-12 Sold (MLS) $145,400 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-19 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-19 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $149,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $149,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-05-03 Sold (Public Records) $588,000 Public Records
  • 2021-11-04 Sold (Public Records) $369,000 Public Records
  • 2018-12-18 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
  • 2018-12-13 Sold (MLS) $65,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-12-13 Sold (MLS) $65,000 REALCOMP
  • 2018-12-05 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-08-03 Listed $74,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-08-03 Listed $74,900 REALCOMP
  • 2009-10-29 Sold (MLS) $24,200 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2009-10-09 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2009-04-03 Listed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2008-03-29 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-09-24 Listed $99,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2004-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $97,000 Public Records
  • 2004-10-28 Sold (MLS) $97,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2004-10-01 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2004-09-13 Listed $109,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2001-07-01 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2001-07-01 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2001-02-01 Listed $84,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2001-02-01 Listed $84,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+3.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,341 · -40.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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