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2633 W Main St 🏗️ New Construction
C Composite 55.38
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$550,000

2633 W Main St · Baytown, TX 77520
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,624 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 35 Days on market
Built 2026 0.28 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks

BEAUTIFUL 4-Unit Investment with WHOPPING 11.57% CAP RATE! buy this new complex with new and paying tenants. This property was REBUILT! 2633 & 2629 W Main St. , Baytown, TX. . This income-producing asset includes a 3 bed / 2 bath single-family home, a duplex with two spacious 3 bed / 2 bath units, and a 1 bed / 1 bath garage apartment situated above a detached garage at the rear of the property. The unit mix is ideal for attracting long-term tenants and maximizing rental income, while the separate structures offer flexibility in leasing and management. Perfect for investors seeking stable cash flow from day one! Owner Flnanclng available! Hablamos Español! Pagos de dueno a duen

Key facts

  • 0.28 acre lot
  • Parking
  • Built 2026

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport
  • Utilities: Electricity available; Water available
  • Home design: Residential income property; New construction (2026); Faces east
  • Construction: Wood siding; Composition roof; Built in 2026; Builder: Sanmore Investments
  • Exterior features: Corner lot; Patio

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: One 1-bed unit; Three 3-bed units
  • Flooring: Plank flooring; Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (total listed)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air (electric)
  • Interior features: Patio; Owner is listing agent
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $550,000 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $435,763.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $550k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $784 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $451k (17.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $451k (17.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 4.2% in Baytown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#412 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
  • Goose Creek CISD (urban): math 37% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #473 of 826 in TX (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: San Jacinto El (math 32% / reading 27%, grade F, #2,525 of 4,322 statewide, top 62%, 657 students, 91% FRL); High Point School (12 students, 75% FRL) — zoned schools average 83% FRL vs 61% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 271 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,514/mo this rent would consume 100% of the median local household income ($54k/yr) (locally 1559% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($534k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $370k; 49% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $451,400 (17.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
8.45%
Cash-on-cash
7.71%
DSCR
1.34
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$435,763
List price
$550,000
Delta
26.22%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.3% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.4%
Equity multiple
0.77×
Total profit
$-28,336
Equity at exit
$64,974
10-year hold
IRR
1.2%
Equity multiple
1.08×
Total profit
$9,228
Equity at exit
$37,677

Cash invested: $122,014 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77520

Rents YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
271
Price-to-rent
38.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,514 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,285
Tax from tax record
$315 /mo · $3,782/yr
Insurance
$182
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$948
Net cashflow
$784

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,521
Max offer price $435,763
Occupancy floor 78%

4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
1× unit 1 1 $910
Total (4 units) $4,514

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$108,941
Closing costs
$13,073
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
811 Barrymore Blvd Baytown, TX 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,300 $1.08 5d 1 0.93mi

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $550,000 Active 35 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $550,000 Active 34 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $550,000 Active 33 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $550,000 Active 32 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $550,000 Active 30 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $550,000 Active 26 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    days on market $550,000 Active 24 DOM
  8. 2026-06-04
    days on market $550,000 Active 21 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $550,000 Active 20 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $550,000 Active 19 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $550,000 Active 18 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $550,000 Active 17 DOM
  13. 2026-05-14
    listed $550,000 Active 742-char remark
  14. 2026-05-13
    historical
  15. 2026-05-07
    price $598,000
  16. 2026-04-08
    listed $650,000 Active
  17. 2024-06-06
    historical
  18. 2023-12-29
    status Active
  19. 2023-12-13
    status Pending, Continue to Show
  20. 2023-10-20
    status Active
  21. 2023-10-18
    status Pending, Continue to Show
  22. 2023-09-13
    soldstatus $370,000
  23. 2023-09-02
    listed $365,000 Active
  24. 2023-06-08
    historical
  25. 2023-05-09
    price $365,000
  26. 2023-03-30
    listed $385,000 Active
  27. 2023-03-10
    historical
  28. 2023-01-26
    listed $439,000 Active
  29. 2022-03-03
    soldstatus
  30. 2021-12-15
    soldstatus $126,600

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,782 · $315/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$10,065 · $839/mo
Expected delta
+$6,283/yr (+$524/mo · 166.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 57% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$54,168
− Mortgage interest
−$24,410
− Property taxes
−$3,782
− Insurance
−$2,179
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,333
− Management
−$4,333
− Depreciation
−$12,677
Taxable income
$2,454
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$589
After-tax cash flow
$8,821/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Goose Creek CISD
NCES district ID
4821150
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$52,468
Composite
31.84/100
National rank
#5877
State rank
#473 of 826 in TX

Livability — Baytown

Score
69/100
State rank
#412
US rank
#8494

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baytown, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
135,579
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
36,355
Household income
$54,278
Rent vs Own
47.8% rent · 52.2% own
Severe rent burden
1559.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 55% White 30% Two or more races 19% Black 10% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 48%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
21% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
55% English-only · Spanish 43% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -143.36%
Current HPI
262.066
Rent YoY
▲ 1.30%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+334.4% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $550,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-05-13 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $598,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $650,000 HARMLS
  • 2024-06-06 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2023-12-29 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2023-12-13 Pending HARMLS
  • 2023-10-20 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2023-10-18 Pending HARMLS
  • 2023-09-13 Sold (Public Records) $370,000 Public Records
  • 2023-09-02 Listed $365,000 HARMLS
  • 2023-06-08 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2023-05-09 Price Changed $365,000 HARMLS
  • 2023-03-30 Listed $385,000 HARMLS
  • 2023-03-10 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2023-01-26 Listed $439,000 HARMLS
  • 2022-03-03 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2021-12-15 Sold (Public Records) $126,600 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,782 · -8.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…