70201 Aurora Rd #225 · Desert Edge, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 4 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.5/30.0
- ARV discount +14.3/15.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -5.4
$39,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this well-maintained 1986 Nomad park model offered furnished with 1 bedroom and 1 bathroom with approximately 400 square feet of comfortable living space in the desirable 55+ Quail Valley RV Park. Low assessments of $314 per month (you pay quarterly of $940.50) with a one time yearly $180 space rent. This thoughtfully designed home features an open-concept layout with natural light, neutral finishes, and wood-style flooring throughout. The kitchen is open to the living room with a gas range, with refrigerator included. The bedroom features two closets, built-in cabinetry, overhead storage, mirrored closet doors, and a ceiling fan for added comfort, while the bathroom includes a walk-in shower, vanity with storage. Additional highlights include multiple ceiling fans, window coverings, built-in storage throughout, sliding glass doors providing direct access to the outdoor space, and an oversized storage shed offering excellent space for tools, bikes, and extra belongings. Quail Valley RV Park is a gated 55+ community offering residents a variety of amenities including a clubhouse, mineral swimming pool, spa, sauna, shuffleboard and bocce ball courts, laundry facilities, and planned social activities. This home is ideal for full-time living or a seasonal desert retreat. Offered turnkey furnished so just bring your suitcase! Buyer to verify year, make, space rent, park rules, age restrictions, and amenities with park management.
Key facts
- Built in storage
- Sliding glass doors
- Open concept layout
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $40k. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $766 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
- Recommended offer: $35k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 29.3% vs local median 10.8% in Desert Edge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#297 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, commute D-, employment F.
- Palm Springs Unified (suburban): math 21% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #328 of 517 in CA (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Julius Corsini Elementary (409 students, 98% FRL); Desert Springs Middle (803 students, 99% FRL); Desert Hot Springs High (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #532 of 1,170 statewide, top 48%, 1,742 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 73% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 695 active listings in the ZIP; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.2% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 259 days — a 12% lower offer ($35k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 4→12/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 259 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 29.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- 82.24%
- DSCR
- 4.66
- GRM
- 2.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $47,000
- List price
- $39,900
- Delta
- -15.11%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70201 Aurora Rd #149 | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 | 399 (-0%) | 6mo | $54,000 | $135 | 94 |
| 70200 Dillon Rd #2 | 0.33mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 6mo | $50,000 | $125 | 80 |
| 70200 Dillon Rd #585 | 0.27mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 10mo | $58,000 | $145 | 79 |
| 70200 Dillon Rd #190 | 0.33mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 8mo | $40,000 | $100 | 78 |
| 70200 Dillon Rd #192 | 0.43mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 7mo | $43,000 | $108 | 74 |
| 70200 Dillon Rd #28 | 0.33mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 13mo | $38,000 | $95 | 74 |
| 70200 Dillon Rd #393 | 0.60mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 4mo | $26,500 | $66 | 68 |
| 17405 Corkill Rd #22 | 0.27mi | 1/1.0 | 432 (+8%) | 7mo | $65,000 | $150 | 68 |
| 70200 Dillon Rd #25 | 0.59mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 6mo | $32,500 | $81 | 68 |
| 70200 Dillon Rd #402 | 0.60mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 6mo | $95,000 | $238 | 67 |
| 70200 Dillon Rd #425 | 0.59mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (0%) | 8mo | $47,000 | $118 | 66 |
| 18131 Langlois Rd Unit N-6 | 0.47mi | 1/1.0 | 420 (+5%) | 10mo | $28,000 | $67 | 62 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.22% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 82.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.81×
- Total profit
- $42,610
- Equity at exit
- $5,949
- IRR
- 86.1%
- Equity multiple
- 10.06×
- Total profit
- $101,181
- Equity at exit
- $3,450
Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 22 active · 1 under contract
- Months of supply
- 22.0 mo (5%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $70,750 ($177/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 117 d
- This list price
- 27% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -33.7% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 92234
- Home prices YoY
- -27.7%
- Rents YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 695
- Price-to-rent
- 2.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,318 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$209
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$50 /mo · $598/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$277
- Net cashflow
- $766
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $793 | -5% $779 | +0% $766 | +5% $752 | +10% $738 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $661 | -5% $714 | +0% $766 | +5% $818 | +10% $870 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $786 | -0.5pp $776 | base $766 | +0.5pp $755 | +1.0pp $745 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,975
- Closing costs
- $1,197
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-24days on market $39,900 Active 259 DOM
-
2026-09-23days on market $39,900 Active 258 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $39,900 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $39,900 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $39,900 Active 255 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $39,900 Active 254 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $39,900 Active 253 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $39,900 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $39,900 Active 251 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $39,900 Active 250 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $39,900 Active 249 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $39,900 Active 248 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $39,900 Active 247 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $39,900 Active 246 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $39,900 Active 240 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $39,900 Active 239 DOM
-
2026-09-03days on market $39,900 Active 238 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $39,900 Active 235 DOM
-
2026-08-30days on market $39,900 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $39,900 Active 233 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $39,900 Active 232 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $39,900 Active 231 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $39,900 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $39,900 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $39,900 Active 227 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $39,900 Active 226 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $39,900 Active 225 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $39,900 Active 224 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $39,900 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $39,900 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-08-17days on market $39,900 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $39,900 Active 220 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $39,900 Active 219 DOM
-
2026-08-14days on market $39,900 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $39,900 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $39,900 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $39,900 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $39,900 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $39,900 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $39,900 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $39,900 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $39,900 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $39,900 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $39,900 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $39,900 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $39,900 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $39,900 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $39,900 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $39,900 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $39,900 Active 196 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 4 d/yr ≥109°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,818
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,235
- − Property taxes
- −$598
- − Insurance
- −$200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,265
- − Management
- −$1,265
- − Depreciation
- −$1,161
- Taxable income
- $9,094
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,182
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,005/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 1986 Nomad park model is in average condition with some cosmetic repairs needed. It offers a neutral finish and wood-style flooring throughout, making it a good candidate for a fresh paint job and new appliances to increase its value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor ceiling fan in bedroom — Ceiling fan in bedroom is dusty
- Minor ceiling fan in living room — Ceiling fan in living room is dusty
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint interior walls — Fresh paint can improve the home's appearance and value ↑
- Both replace ceiling fans — Clean ceiling fans can improve air circulation and reduce energy costs ↑
- Both replace kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can increase the home's appeal and value ↑
- Both replace flooring — New flooring can improve the home's appearance and value ↑
- Both landscape and improve curb appeal — A well-maintained exterior can increase the home's curb appeal and value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Springs Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0629550
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,638
- Composite
- 26.76/100
- National rank
- #7131
- State rank
- #328 of 517 in CA
Livability — Desert Edge
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #297
- US rank
- #9953
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Desert Edge, CA
- County
- Riverside County · 2,664,475 people
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 52,267
- Household income
- $73,572
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 19% of renters
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 59% White 30% Two or more races 27% Asian 6% Native American 2% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 51%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 28% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 48% English-only · Spanish 46% Tagalog/Filipino 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -136.57%
- Current HPI
- 356.9845
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.22%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
-11.3% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-18 Price Changed $39,900 CRMLS
- 2026-02-11 Price Changed $42,000 CRMLS
- 2026-01-08 Listed $45,000 CRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…