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70201 Aurora Rd #225
C+ Composite 62.29
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.3/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • DSCR +7.5/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.8/5.0
  • Appreciation +2.5/10.0
  • Manufactured-home adj. -5.4

$39,900

70201 Aurora Rd #225 · Desert Edge, CA 92234
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 400 sqft · Manufactured · 259 Days on market
Manufactured home 55+ age-restricted Built 1986 Average condition $100/sqft · 15% below area Est $47k · 15% under ↓ 11% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this well-maintained 1986 Nomad park model offered furnished with 1 bedroom and 1 bathroom with approximately 400 square feet of comfortable living space in the desirable 55+ Quail Valley RV Park. Low assessments of $314 per month (you pay quarterly of $940.50) with a one time yearly $180 space rent. This thoughtfully designed home features an open-concept layout with natural light, neutral finishes, and wood-style flooring throughout. The kitchen is open to the living room with a gas range, with refrigerator included. The bedroom features two closets, built-in cabinetry, overhead storage, mirrored closet doors, and a ceiling fan for added comfort, while the bathroom includes a walk-in shower, vanity with storage. Additional highlights include multiple ceiling fans, window coverings, built-in storage throughout, sliding glass doors providing direct access to the outdoor space, and an oversized storage shed offering excellent space for tools, bikes, and extra belongings. Quail Valley RV Park is a gated 55+ community offering residents a variety of amenities including a clubhouse, mineral swimming pool, spa, sauna, shuffleboard and bocce ball courts, laundry facilities, and planned social activities. This home is ideal for full-time living or a seasonal desert retreat. Offered turnkey furnished so just bring your suitcase! Buyer to verify year, make, space rent, park rules, age restrictions, and amenities with park management.

Key facts

  • Built in storage
  • Sliding glass doors
  • Open concept layout

Tags

OPEN CONCEPT LAYOUTGAS RANGEMULTIPLE CEILING FANSBUILT IN STORAGESLIDING GLASS DOORSOVERSIZED STORAGE SHED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $40k. Condition is rated average.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $766 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
  • Recommended offer: $35k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 29.3% vs local median 10.8% in Desert Edge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#297 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, commute D-, employment F.
  • Palm Springs Unified (suburban): math 21% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #328 of 517 in CA (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Julius Corsini Elementary (409 students, 98% FRL); Desert Springs Middle (803 students, 99% FRL); Desert Hot Springs High (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #532 of 1,170 statewide, top 48%, 1,742 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 73% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 695 active listings in the ZIP; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.2% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 259 days — a 12% lower offer ($35k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 4→12/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $35,112 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 259 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.30%
Cap rate
29.32%
Cash-on-cash
82.24%
DSCR
4.66
GRM
2.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$47,000
List price
$39,900
Delta
-15.11%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
70201 Aurora Rd #149 0.00mi 1/1.0 399 (-0%) 6mo $54,000 $135 94
70200 Dillon Rd #2 0.33mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 6mo $50,000 $125 80
70200 Dillon Rd #585 0.27mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 10mo $58,000 $145 79
70200 Dillon Rd #190 0.33mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 8mo $40,000 $100 78
70200 Dillon Rd #192 0.43mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 7mo $43,000 $108 74
70200 Dillon Rd #28 0.33mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 13mo $38,000 $95 74
70200 Dillon Rd #393 0.60mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 4mo $26,500 $66 68
17405 Corkill Rd #22 0.27mi 1/1.0 432 (+8%) 7mo $65,000 $150 68
70200 Dillon Rd #25 0.59mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 6mo $32,500 $81 68
70200 Dillon Rd #402 0.60mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 6mo $95,000 $238 67
70200 Dillon Rd #425 0.59mi 1/1.0 400 (0%) 8mo $47,000 $118 66
18131 Langlois Rd Unit N-6 0.47mi 1/1.0 420 (+5%) 10mo $28,000 $67 62

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.22% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
82.8%
Equity multiple
4.81×
Total profit
$42,610
Equity at exit
$5,949
10-year hold
IRR
86.1%
Equity multiple
10.06×
Total profit
$101,181
Equity at exit
$3,450

Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
22 active · 1 under contract
Months of supply
22.0 mo (5%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$70,750 ($177/sqft)
Median days on market
117 d
This list price
27% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
-33.7% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 92234

Home prices YoY
-27.7%
Rents YoY
3.2%
Active inventory
695
Price-to-rent
2.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,318 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$209
Tax est. 1.5%
$50 /mo · $598/yr
Insurance
$17
HOA
$0
Lot rent leased land?
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$277
Net cashflow
$766

Break-even live

Break-even rent $349
Max offer price $39,900
Occupancy floor 37%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $793 -5% $779 +0% $766 +5% $752 +10% $738
Rent -10% $661 -5% $714 +0% $766 +5% $818 +10% $870
Rate -1.0pp $786 -0.5pp $776 base $766 +0.5pp $755 +1.0pp $745

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,975
Closing costs
$1,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-09-24
    days on market $39,900 Active 259 DOM
  2. 2026-09-23
    days on market $39,900 Active 258 DOM
  3. 2026-09-22
    days on market $39,900 Active 257 DOM
  4. 2026-09-21
    days on market $39,900 Active 256 DOM
  5. 2026-09-20
    days on market $39,900 Active 255 DOM
  6. 2026-09-19
    days on market $39,900 Active 254 DOM
  7. 2026-09-18
    days on market $39,900 Active 253 DOM
  8. 2026-09-17
    days on market $39,900 Active 252 DOM
  9. 2026-09-16
    days on market $39,900 Active 251 DOM
  10. 2026-09-15
    days on market $39,900 Active 250 DOM
  11. 2026-09-14
    days on market $39,900 Active 249 DOM
  12. 2026-09-13
    days on market $39,900 Active 248 DOM
  13. 2026-09-12
    days on market $39,900 Active 247 DOM
  14. 2026-09-11
    days on market $39,900 Active 246 DOM
  15. 2026-09-05
    days on market $39,900 Active 240 DOM
  16. 2026-09-04
    days on market $39,900 Active 239 DOM
  17. 2026-09-03
    days on market $39,900 Active 238 DOM
  18. 2026-08-31
    days on market $39,900 Active 235 DOM
  19. 2026-08-30
    days on market $39,900 Active 234 DOM
  20. 2026-08-29
    days on market $39,900 Active 233 DOM
  21. 2026-08-28
    days on market $39,900 Active 232 DOM
  22. 2026-08-27
    days on market $39,900 Active 231 DOM
  23. 2026-08-25
    days on market $39,900 Active 229 DOM
  24. 2026-08-24
    days on market $39,900 Active 228 DOM
  25. 2026-08-23
    days on market $39,900 Active 227 DOM
  26. 2026-08-22
    days on market $39,900 Active 226 DOM
  27. 2026-08-21
    days on market $39,900 Active 225 DOM
  28. 2026-08-20
    days on market $39,900 Active 224 DOM
  29. 2026-08-19
    days on market $39,900 Active 223 DOM
  30. 2026-08-18
    days on market $39,900 Active 222 DOM
  31. 2026-08-17
    days on market $39,900 Active 221 DOM
  32. 2026-08-16
    days on market $39,900 Active 220 DOM
  33. 2026-08-15
    days on market $39,900 Active 219 DOM
  34. 2026-08-14
    days on market $39,900 Active 218 DOM
  35. 2026-08-13
    days on market $39,900 Active 217 DOM
  36. 2026-08-12
    days on market $39,900 Active 216 DOM
  37. 2026-08-11
    days on market $39,900 Active 215 DOM
  38. 2026-08-10
    days on market $39,900 Active 214 DOM
  39. 2026-08-09
    days on market $39,900 Active 213 DOM
  40. 2026-08-08
    days on market $39,900 Active 212 DOM
  41. 2026-08-06
    days on market $39,900 Active 210 DOM
  42. 2026-08-05
    days on market $39,900 Active 209 DOM
  43. 2026-08-04
    days on market $39,900 Active 208 DOM
  44. 2026-08-03
    days on market $39,900 Active 207 DOM
  45. 2026-07-31
    days on market $39,900 Active 204 DOM
  46. 2026-07-30
    days on market $39,900 Active 202 DOM
  47. 2026-07-28
    days on market $39,900 Active 201 DOM
  48. 2026-07-26
    days on market $39,900 Active 199 DOM
  49. 2026-07-24
    days on market $39,900 Active 197 DOM
  50. 2026-07-23
    days on market $39,900 Active 196 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 4 d/yr ≥109°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,818
− Mortgage interest
−$2,235
− Property taxes
−$598
− Insurance
−$200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,265
− Management
−$1,265
− Depreciation
−$1,161
Taxable income
$9,094
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,182
After-tax cash flow
$7,005/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Average 55/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $2,000–$6,000 screening

This 1986 Nomad park model is in average condition with some cosmetic repairs needed. It offers a neutral finish and wood-style flooring throughout, making it a good candidate for a fresh paint job and new appliances to increase its value.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor ceiling fan in bedroom — Ceiling fan in bedroom is dusty
  • Minor ceiling fan in living room — Ceiling fan in living room is dusty

Value-add opportunities

  • Both paint interior walls — Fresh paint can improve the home's appearance and value
  • Both replace ceiling fans — Clean ceiling fans can improve air circulation and reduce energy costs
  • Both replace kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can increase the home's appeal and value
  • Both replace flooring — New flooring can improve the home's appearance and value
  • Both landscape and improve curb appeal — A well-maintained exterior can increase the home's curb appeal and value

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 40/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Julius Corsini Elementary Middle Desert Springs Middle High Desert Hot Springs High F CA #532/1,170 Nat'l #8,293/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Palm Springs Unified
NCES district ID
0629550
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$43,638
Composite
26.76/100
National rank
#7131
State rank
#328 of 517 in CA
C Composite livability gradescore 68/100

Livability — Desert Edge

Score
68/100
State rank
#297
US rank
#9953

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute D- Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Desert Edge, CA
County
Riverside County · 2,664,475 people
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
52,267
Household income
$73,572
Rent vs Own
33.5% rent · 66.5% own
Severe rent burden
19% of renters

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 59% White 30% Two or more races 27% Asian 6% Native American 2% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 51%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
28% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
48% English-only · Spanish 46% Tagalog/Filipino 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

-11.3% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-18 Price Changed $39,900 CRMLS
  • 2026-02-11 Price Changed $42,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-01-08 Listed $45,000 CRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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