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D Composite 40.98
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • DSCR +3.1/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$130,000

640 6th Ave · Starkweather, ND 58377
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 936 sqft · Other · 3 Days on market
Built 1975

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Built 1975
  • Listed 3 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath other listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-63 ($-756/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $121k (7.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $106k (18.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $106k (18.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#292 in ND) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Starkweather 44 (rural): math 40% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #97 of 169 in ND (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Ramsey County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($899 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Ramsey County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $105,742 (18.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
5.71%
Cash-on-cash
-2.08%
DSCR
0.91
GRM
10.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.6%
Equity multiple
1.32×
Total profit
$11,661
Equity at exit
$58,454
10-year hold
IRR
8.6%
Equity multiple
2.30×
Total profit
$47,182
Equity at exit
$90,084

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Dakota
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 58377

Active inventory
1
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,057 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$682
Tax est. 1.5%
$162 /mo · $1,950/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$222
Net cashflow
$-63

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,137
Max offer price $120,878
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $27 -5% $-18 +0% $-63 +5% $-108 +10% $-153
Rent -10% $-147 -5% $-105 +0% $-63 +5% $-21 +10% $20
Rate -1.0pp $2 -0.5pp $-30 base $-63 +0.5pp $-97 +1.0pp $-131

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,500
Closing costs
$3,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $130,000 Active 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    listed $130,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,689
− Mortgage interest
−$7,282
− Property taxes
−$1,950
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,015
− Management
−$1,015
− Depreciation
−$3,782
Taxable loss
−$3,005
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$721
After-tax cash flow
$-35/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Starkweather 44
NCES district ID
3817670
Math proficiency
40% ▲ 19.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$53,395
Composite
37.24/100
National rank
#8981
State rank
#97 of 169 in ND

Livability — Starkweather

Score
58/100
State rank
#292
US rank
#20689

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Starkweather, ND
Population (ZIP)
227

Population outlook (Ramsey County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
11,910 people
By 2030
12,089 · +1.5%
By 2040
12,568 · +5.5%
By 2050
13,136 · +10.3%
By 2075
16,531 · +38.8%
By 2100
20,500 · +72.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 3% Asian 2% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 45% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ramsey

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.3) · D 29.1% · R 69.3% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-39.3pp toward R · 2008: -1.0pp · 2024: -40.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.3 2020: R+36.1 2016: R+32.8 2012: R+10.0 2008: R+1.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.09%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Listed $130,000 FSBO.com

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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