4615 Camden Hwy · Dalzell, SC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.8/30.0
- ARV discount +11.3/15.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice 3 Bedroom, 1.5 Bath home with large Eat-In Kitchen, Living Room, and Laundry Room. 1 Car Carport and a Detached Carport. There is Front Porch and a Patio. Fenced in rear yard with a Storage Shed in back. All appliances will convey. The home is on 0.46 acre lot and there is an additional 0.41 acre lot. This home has a newer roof and HVAC and newer windows.
Key facts
- Laundry room
- Front porch
- Fenced in rear yard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $272 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $166k (4.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $166k (4.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 5.1% in Dalzell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#148 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Sumter 01 (urban): math 18% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #64 of 80 in SC (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Hillcrest Middle (math 26% / reading 33%, grade F, #139 of 229 statewide, top 61%, 364 students, 100% FRL); Crestwood High (math 32% / reading 71%, grade D+, #146 of 196 statewide, top 75%, 1,100 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 64% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 40% at this address vs 23% district-wide (+18 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Sumter 01 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 51 active listings in the ZIP; 386 units permitted in Sumter County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sumter County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $107k; list at $175k implies a 64% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.66%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $191,277
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4615 Camden Hwy | 0.00mi | 3/1.5 | 1,202 (-0%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $146 | 99 |
| 3285 Valencia Dr | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,266 (+5%) | 9mo | $212,000 | $167 | 79 |
| 3250 Valencia Dr | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,289 (+7%) | 12mo | $200,000 | $155 | 71 |
| 3255 Valencia Dr | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,339 (+11%) | 6mo | $212,625 | $159 | 70 |
| 4425 Maxie St | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,321 (+10%) | 6mo | $209,000 | $158 | 60 |
| 4445 Maxie St | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,315 (+9%) | 10mo | $220,000 | $167 | 59 |
| 4495 Maxie St | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,340 (+11%) | 14mo | $214,900 | $160 | 56 |
| 4035 Delaware Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,263 (+5%) | 1mo | $205,000 | $162 | 56 |
| 4145 Lemacks St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,088 (-10%) | 2mo | $168,000 | $154 | 46 |
| 3370 Sportsman Dr | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,351 (+12%) | 21mo | $210,000 | $155 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-11,105
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- 3.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.25×
- Total profit
- $12,331
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29040
- Home prices YoY
- -14.3%
- Active inventory
- 51
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,665 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$52 /mo · $627/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$350
- Net cashflow
- $272
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $371 | -5% $322 | +0% $272 | +5% $223 | +10% $173 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $141 | -5% $206 | +0% $272 | +5% $338 | +10% $404 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $360 | -0.5pp $317 | base $272 | +0.5pp $227 | +1.0pp $181 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-04-22status Pending
-
2026-04-17$175,000 Active
-
2020-04-29soldstatus $107,000 362-char remark
Show marketing remark (362 chars)
Nice 3 Bedroom, 1.5 Bath home with large Eat-In Kitchen, Living Room, and Laundry Room. 1 Car Carport and a Detached Carport. There is Front Porch and a Patio. Fenced in rear yard with a Storage Shed in back. All appliances will convey. The home is on 0.46 acre lot and there is an additional 0.41 acre lot. This home has a newer roof and HVAC and newer windows.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $627 · $52/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $998 · $83/mo
- Expected delta
- +$370/yr (+$31/mo · 59.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,974
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$627
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,598
- − Management
- −$1,598
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable income
- $383
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$92
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,173/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sumter 01
- NCES district ID
- 4503902
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,423
- Composite
- 19.45/100
- National rank
- #8775
- State rank
- #64 of 80 in SC
Livability — Dalzell
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #148
- US rank
- #14046
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dalzell, SC
- County
- Sumter County · 76,912 people
- City population
- 8,920
- Metro
- Sumter, SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,920
- Household income
- $65,978
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 206.0
Population outlook (Sumter County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 104,585 people
- By 2030
- 102,282 · -2.2%
- By 2040
- 96,258 · -8.0%
- By 2050
- 89,592 · -14.3%
- By 2075
- 74,715 · -28.6%
- By 2100
- 60,235 · -42.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Black 38% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sumter
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.9% · R 47.0% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.6pp toward R · 2008: 15.4pp · 2024: 4.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.9 2020: D+13.0 2016: D+12.0 2012: D+17.5 2008: D+15.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -28.54%
- Current HPI
- 171.5211
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Sumter, SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+63.6% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Pending — SBOR
- 2026-04-17 Listed $175,000 SBOR
- 2020-04-29 Sold (MLS) $107,000 SBOR
Property tax history
+9.9%/yrLatest (2025): $627 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…