36412 LE Sabre Way · Zephyrhills West, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.5/30.0
- DSCR +9.6/10.0
- ARV discount +9.6/15.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$155,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Come to sunny Florida and shed those Northern, winter blues. This nicely maintained double wide home is located in Oaks Royal III where you OWN your land. You enter the home from the 10x23 screen room into the kitchen which has laminate flooring, a closet pantry and disposal. The dining area, which is located right off the kitchen and is open to the living room, is carpeted and has a nice built-in China cabinet. The living room is very spacious with carpet and ceiling fan. The Florida room is at the front of the home and is accessed by sliding doors. It's has carpeting and offers a nice extra space to relax or entertain. The master bedroom is carpeted, has a ceiling fan and a walk-in closet. The en suite master bathroom has vinyl floor, dual sinks and a step-in shower. Bedroom two is also carpeted and offers a walk-in closet. The main bathroom has laminate floor and tub/shower combo. The laundry is located off the screen room, has concrete floor, washer and dryer and shelves for additional storage. The community has a heated pool, hot tub, club house and shuffleboard. This community also has sidewalks which is great for you morning exercise walk or an evening stroll. Call for an appointment today.
Key facts
- Dual sinks
- Huge walk-in closet
- Florida room
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Furnished; Condo land included
- Financial info: Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: Has HOA (Larry Way) — annual fee $800 (approx. $66.67/month); Association approval required; Association amenities include pool, spa/hot tub, maintenance, recreation facilities, shuffleboard court, wheelchair access; Community features include clubhouse, park, dog park, community mailbox, sidewalks, street lights, deed restrictions, golf carts allowed, buyer approval required; Senior community; Pets allowed (cats and dogs) with breed restrictions; max pet weight 20 lbs
Exterior
- Parking: Covered parking; Driveway; Golf cart parking; Guest parking; 2-space carport
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available and connected; Cable available and connected; High-speed internet available; Phone available
- Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); One story; Faces north; Homesteaded
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Built on crawlspace with pillar/post/pier foundation
- Exterior features: Covered, enclosed front porch; Rear porch and patio; Awning(s); Hurricane shutters; Exterior lighting; Sidewalk; Sliding doors; Storage; Workshop
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Exhaust fan; Ice maker; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Cathedral ceilings; Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; High ceilings; Kitchen/family room combo; Open floorplan; Solid surface counters; Solid wood cabinets; Walk-in closets; Blinds; Smoke detector(s)
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup (electric); Laundry room; Outside laundry access
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $459 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
- Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 7.8% in Zephyrhills West — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#772 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.5%/yr); 856 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $97k; list at $155k implies a 60% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.68%
- DSCR
- 1.56
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $162,624
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5248 Antigua Dr | 0.19mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,036 (-2%) | 1mo | $129,500 | $125 | 82 |
| 36620 Kay Ave | 0.26mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,008 (-4%) | 1mo | $220,000 | $218 | 75 |
| 36708 Niles Dr | 0.29mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,008 (-4%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $154 | 72 |
| 5341 Powhattan St | 0.17mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 960 (-9%) | 3mo | $170,000 | $177 | 70 |
| 36946 Grace Ave | 0.56mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,063 (+1%) | 0mo | $135,000 | $127 | 65 |
| 5654 Arrowhead Dr | 0.48mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,144 (+8%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $144 | 58 |
| 36743 Tara Ave | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (+9%) | 0mo | $195,000 | $169 | 58 |
| 36847 Jodi Ave | 0.56mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,152 (+9%) | 2mo | $194,500 | $169 | 52 |
| 37024 8th Ave | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 960 (-9%) | 2mo | $45,000 | $47 | 48 |
| 36946 Tara Ave | 0.70mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,144 (+8%) | 1mo | $197,000 | $172 | 47 |
| 37100 8th Ave | 0.72mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 960 (-9%) | 1mo | $138,000 | $144 | 46 |
| 5015 Shirley Cir | 0.74mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 976 (-8%) | 3mo | $95,000 | $97 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-1,446
- Equity at exit
- $23,111
- IRR
- 5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.34×
- Total profit
- $14,954
- Equity at exit
- $13,402
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33541
- Home prices YoY
- -15.2%
- Rents YoY
- -2.5%
- Active inventory
- 856
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,892 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax from tax record
- −$92 /mo · $1,109/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$66
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$397
- Net cashflow
- $459
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36801 Camelia Ct Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 864 | $1,350 | $1.56 | 24d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 5914 Willow Ridge Dr #101 Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 987 | $1,500 | $1.52 | 24d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 36321 Stonewood Ln #103 Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 987 | $1,525 | $1.55 | 24d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 35940 Inspiration Dr Zephyrhills, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1034 | $1,988 | $1.92 | 2d | 21 | 0.56mi |
| 36243 Lake Chase Blvd #203 Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1278 | $1,775 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 36106 Lake Chase Blvd #102 Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $1,650 | $1.41 | 4d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 36106 Lake Chase Blvd Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1325 | $1,700 | $1.28 | 24d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 36009 Deer Creek Dr #104 Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1029 | $1,450 | $1.41 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 36015 Deer Creek Dr #202 Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1062 | $1,450 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 5521 Barbara St Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,800 | $1.70 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 36095 Carriage Pine Ct Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1461 | $1,990 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 6302 Abbott Station Dr Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 855 | $1,999 | $2.34 | 1d | 142 | 1.24mi |
| 4111 Ryals Rd Zephyrhills, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1216 | $2,195 | $1.81 | 3d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 33529 Buttonweed Trl Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1412 | $2,500 | $1.77 | 24d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 37812 15th Ave Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,850 | $1.85 | 24d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 6773 Branham Mill Ct Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1454 | $1,950 | $1.34 | 24d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 6633 Foxmoor Dr Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,000 | $1.54 | 24d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 6262 Maisie Rd Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1363 | $1,700 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 6335 Maisie Rd Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1363 | $1,650 | $1.21 | 20d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 37902 7th Ave Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,775 | $1.97 | 24d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $66 · $792/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $155,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $155,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $155,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $155,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $155,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-08$155,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,109 · $92/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,286 · $107/mo
- Expected delta
- +$178/yr (+$15/mo · 16.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,700
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$1,109
- − Insurance
- −$775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,816
- − Management
- −$1,816
- − HOA
- −$792
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable income
- $3,201
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$768
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,735/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pasco
- NCES district ID
- 1201530
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,039
- Composite
- 43.14/100
- National rank
- #3074
- State rank
- #32 of 73 in FL
Livability — Zephyrhills West
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #772
- US rank
- #17403
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Pasco County · 524,098 people
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,654
- Household income
- $56,579
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 393.0
Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 570,045 people
- By 2030
- 605,844 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 674,806 · +18.4%
- By 2050
- 736,022 · +29.1%
- By 2075
- 862,900 · +51.4%
- By 2100
- 906,364 · +59.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 8% Black 5% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Serbian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 9% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pasco
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -55.21%
- Current HPI
- 308.0619
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.51%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+240.7% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $155,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-03-23 Sold (Public Records) $97,000 Public Records
- 2021-03-04 Sold (MLS) $97,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-01-24 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-01-07 Listed $97,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-02-03 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
- 2001-04-03 Sold (Public Records) $45,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,109 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…