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1402 N Morrison Ave
D Composite 43.52
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +14.3/15.0
  • Cash flow +12.6/30.0
  • DSCR +3.8/10.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Livability +2.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$305,000

1402 N Morrison Ave · August, CA 95205
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,110 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 65 Days on market
Built 1977 6,303 sqft lot $275/sqft · 15% below area Est $359k · 15% under ↓ 32% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

RV storage on side of home. Has its own gate and entrance. This 3/1, 1110 SF home is ready for its new owner. There is a tenant that pays $1650/month rent. VPF in kitchen, dining room and hall way. Good opportunity for investor or home owner. 1412 N Morrison Ave (3bed/2bath) is next door to this home and also for sale by the same owner. You could buy both!

Key facts

  • Rv storage
  • Own entrance
  • Own gate

Tags

RV STORAGEOWN GATEOWN ENTRANCE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; 2 garage spaces (covered); RV/boat parking and access; Parking lot on site; Garage faces front; RV possible
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 220V electrical in kitchen
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; Built in 1977
  • Construction: Stucco construction; Shingle roof; Built in 1977
  • Exterior features: Front yard; Back yard; Landscaped; Fenced; Corner lot; Rectangular lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Built-in range/oven; Laminate countertops; 220V outlet in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (street level)
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring; Tile flooring; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Wall furnace heating; Ceiling fan(s); Wall/window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: No additional finished rooms; Double-pane windows; No steps to entry (street level, main entry)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup in garage (hookups only); Gas dryer hookup; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $305k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-37 ($-450/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $298k (2.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $227k (25.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $227k (25.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,074 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A-; Watch: cost of living D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Stockton Unified (urban): math 23% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #295 of 517 in CA (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: King Elementary (987 students, 84% FRL); Cesar Chavez High (math 26% / reading 41%, grade F, #656 of 1,170 statewide, top 57%, 2,257 students, 68% FRL) — zoned schools at 76% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,779 units permitted in San Joaquin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,272/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($60k/yr) (locally 1712% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • San Joaquin County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($287k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $227,203 (25.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.74%
Cap rate
6.15%
Cash-on-cash
-0.53%
DSCR
0.98
GRM
11.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$358,935
List price
$305,000
Delta
-15.03%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1446 Rhode Island Ave 0.22mi 3/1.0 1,135 (+2%) 2mo $330,000 $291 84
2731 E Anita St 0.35mi 3/1.5 1,078 (-3%) 1mo $340,000 $315 76
1621 E Regal St 0.47mi 3/1.0 1,065 (-4%) 2mo $339,000 $318 70
2327 E Acacia St 0.34mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,055 (-5%) 5mo $330,000 $313 66
2421 Hackberry 0.22mi 3/2.0 1,260 (+14%) 4mo $410,000 $325 60
447 N Shasta Ave 0.75mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,080 (-3%) 2mo $420,000 $389 54
1845 E Poplar St 0.70mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,133 (+2%) 6mo $275,000 $243 52
1000 Beatrice Ave 0.67mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,020 (-8%) 0mo $233,000 $228 50
1949 Sunset Ave 0.44mi 2/1.0 (-1) 959 (-14%) 3mo $311,500 $325 49
1257 Sunnyside Ave 0.58mi 3/1.0 960 (-14%) 4mo $349,000 $364 47
1620 E Harding Way 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,242 (+12%) 2mo $359,000 $289 45
1600 Sunnyside Ave 0.58mi 3/2.0 956 (-14%) 3mo $330,000 $345 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.2%
Equity multiple
0.39×
Total profit
$-51,944
Equity at exit
$45,476
10-year hold
IRR
-9.3%
Equity multiple
0.43×
Total profit
$-48,853
Equity at exit
$26,371

Cash invested: $85,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 95205

Active inventory
87
Price-to-rent
11.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,272 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,599
Tax from tax record
$106 /mo · $1,270/yr
Insurance
$127
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$477
Net cashflow
$-37

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,319
Max offer price $298,382
Occupancy floor 97%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $135 -5% $49 +0% $-37 +5% $-124 +10% $-210
Rent -10% $-217 -5% $-127 +0% $-37 +5% $52 +10% $142
Rate -1.0pp $116 -0.5pp $40 base $-37 +0.5pp $-116 +1.0pp $-197

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$76,250
Closing costs
$9,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1526 N Sierra Nevada St Stockton, CA 3.0 2.0 1024 $2,600 $2.54 25d 1 0.88mi
3232 Sanguinetti Ln Unit B Stockton, CA 2.0 2.0 1378 $2,200 $1.60 25d 1 1.06mi
3232 Sanguinetti Ln Unit A Stockton, CA 3.0 3.0 1378 $2,200 $1.60 25d 1 1.06mi
2271 E Church St Stockton, CA 3.0 1.5 1285 $2,245 $1.75 25d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $305,000 Active 65 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $305,000 Active 62 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $305,000 Active 61 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $305,000 Active 60 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $305,000 Active 59 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $305,000 Active 57 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $305,000 Active 54 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $305,000 Active 53 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $305,000 Active 52 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $305,000 Active 51 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $305,000 Active 48 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $305,000 Active 47 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $305,000 Active 46 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $305,000 Active 45 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $305,000 Active 44 DOM
  16. 2026-04-17
    listed $305,000 Active 365-char remark
  17. 2023-05-26
    soldstatus $450,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,270 · $106/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,318 · $193/mo
Expected delta
+$1,048/yr (+$87/mo · 82.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 30 unhealthy d/yr today · 30 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,264
− Mortgage interest
−$17,085
− Property taxes
−$1,270
− Insurance
−$1,525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,181
− Management
−$2,181
− Depreciation
−$8,873
Taxable loss
−$5,850
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,404
After-tax cash flow
$955/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Stockton Unified
NCES district ID
0638010
Math proficiency
23% ▲ 2.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▲ 16.00%
Median HH income
$37,563
Composite
28.65/100
National rank
#6701
State rank
#295 of 517 in CA

Livability — August

Score
51/100
State rank
#1074
US rank
#25301

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety C+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
August, CA
County
San Joaquin County · 729,570 people
City population
332,006
Metro
Stockton, CA
Population (ZIP)
39,608
Household income
$60,325
Rent vs Own
50.4% rent · 49.6% own
Severe rent burden
1712.0

Population outlook (San Joaquin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
796,965 people
By 2030
828,849 · +4.0%
By 2040
885,611 · +11.1%
By 2050
929,798 · +16.7%
By 2075
994,578 · +24.8%
By 2100
971,291 · +21.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (77%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 77% Two or more races 21% White 9% Asian 6% Black 6% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 72%
Foreign-born
33% · Canada
Languages at home
36% English-only · Spanish 58% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · San Joaquin

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 48.9% · Other 3.0%
2008→2024 swing
-11.6pp toward R · 2008: 10.7pp · 2024: -0.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+0.9 2020: D+13.9 2016: D+12.9 2012: D+8.9 2008: D+10.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -298.45%
Current HPI
502.8934
Rent YoY
Metro
Stockton, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-32.2% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $305,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2023-05-26 Sold (Public Records) $450,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,270 · +35.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…