1402 N Morrison Ave · August, CA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 30 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 30 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.3/15.0
- Cash flow +12.6/30.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$305,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
RV storage on side of home. Has its own gate and entrance. This 3/1, 1110 SF home is ready for its new owner. There is a tenant that pays $1650/month rent. VPF in kitchen, dining room and hall way. Good opportunity for investor or home owner. 1412 N Morrison Ave (3bed/2bath) is next door to this home and also for sale by the same owner. You could buy both!
Key facts
- Rv storage
- Own entrance
- Own gate
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 2 garage spaces (covered); RV/boat parking and access; Parking lot on site; Garage faces front; RV possible
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 220V electrical in kitchen
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; Built in 1977
- Construction: Stucco construction; Shingle roof; Built in 1977
- Exterior features: Front yard; Back yard; Landscaped; Fenced; Corner lot; Rectangular lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in range/oven; Laminate countertops; 220V outlet in kitchen
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (street level)
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Tile flooring; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Wall furnace heating; Ceiling fan(s); Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: No additional finished rooms; Double-pane windows; No steps to entry (street level, main entry)
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup in garage (hookups only); Gas dryer hookup; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $305k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-37 ($-450/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $298k (2.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $227k (25.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $227k (25.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,074 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A-; Watch: cost of living D, crime F, amenities F.
- Stockton Unified (urban): math 23% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #295 of 517 in CA (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: King Elementary (987 students, 84% FRL); Cesar Chavez High (math 26% / reading 41%, grade F, #656 of 1,170 statewide, top 57%, 2,257 students, 68% FRL) — zoned schools at 76% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,779 units permitted in San Joaquin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,272/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($60k/yr) (locally 1712% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Joaquin County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($287k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.53%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 11.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $358,935
- List price
- $305,000
- Delta
- -15.03%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1446 Rhode Island Ave | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 | 1,135 (+2%) | 2mo | $330,000 | $291 | 84 |
| 2731 E Anita St | 0.35mi | 3/1.5 | 1,078 (-3%) | 1mo | $340,000 | $315 | 76 |
| 1621 E Regal St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 1,065 (-4%) | 2mo | $339,000 | $318 | 70 |
| 2327 E Acacia St | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,055 (-5%) | 5mo | $330,000 | $313 | 66 |
| 2421 Hackberry | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,260 (+14%) | 4mo | $410,000 | $325 | 60 |
| 447 N Shasta Ave | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,080 (-3%) | 2mo | $420,000 | $389 | 54 |
| 1845 E Poplar St | 0.70mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,133 (+2%) | 6mo | $275,000 | $243 | 52 |
| 1000 Beatrice Ave | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,020 (-8%) | 0mo | $233,000 | $228 | 50 |
| 1949 Sunset Ave | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 959 (-14%) | 3mo | $311,500 | $325 | 49 |
| 1257 Sunnyside Ave | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (-14%) | 4mo | $349,000 | $364 | 47 |
| 1620 E Harding Way | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,242 (+12%) | 2mo | $359,000 | $289 | 45 |
| 1600 Sunnyside Ave | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 956 (-14%) | 3mo | $330,000 | $345 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.39×
- Total profit
- $-51,944
- Equity at exit
- $45,476
- IRR
- -9.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-48,853
- Equity at exit
- $26,371
Cash invested: $85,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 95205
- Active inventory
- 87
- Price-to-rent
- 11.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,272 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,599
- Tax from tax record
- −$106 /mo · $1,270/yr
- Insurance
- −$127
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$477
- Net cashflow
- $-37
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $135 | -5% $49 | +0% $-37 | +5% $-124 | +10% $-210 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-217 | -5% $-127 | +0% $-37 | +5% $52 | +10% $142 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $116 | -0.5pp $40 | base $-37 | +0.5pp $-116 | +1.0pp $-197 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $76,250
- Closing costs
- $9,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1526 N Sierra Nevada St Stockton, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1024 | $2,600 | $2.54 | 25d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 3232 Sanguinetti Ln Unit B Stockton, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1378 | $2,200 | $1.60 | 25d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 3232 Sanguinetti Ln Unit A Stockton, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1378 | $2,200 | $1.60 | 25d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2271 E Church St Stockton, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1285 | $2,245 | $1.75 | 25d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $305,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $305,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $305,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $305,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $305,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $305,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $305,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $305,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $305,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $305,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $305,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $305,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $305,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $305,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $305,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-04-17$305,000 Active 365-char remark
-
2023-05-26soldstatus $450,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,270 · $106/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,318 · $193/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,048/yr (+$87/mo · 82.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 30 unhealthy d/yr today · 30 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,264
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,085
- − Property taxes
- −$1,270
- − Insurance
- −$1,525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,181
- − Management
- −$2,181
- − Depreciation
- −$8,873
- Taxable loss
- −$5,850
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,404
- After-tax cash flow
- $955/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Stockton Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0638010
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▲ 2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▲ 16.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,563
- Composite
- 28.65/100
- National rank
- #6701
- State rank
- #295 of 517 in CA
Livability — August
- Score
- 51/100
- State rank
- #1074
- US rank
- #25301
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- August, CA
- County
- San Joaquin County · 729,570 people
- City population
- 332,006
- Metro
- Stockton, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,608
- Household income
- $60,325
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1712.0
Population outlook (San Joaquin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 796,965 people
- By 2030
- 828,849 · +4.0%
- By 2040
- 885,611 · +11.1%
- By 2050
- 929,798 · +16.7%
- By 2075
- 994,578 · +24.8%
- By 2100
- 971,291 · +21.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 77% Two or more races 21% White 9% Asian 6% Black 6% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 72%
- Foreign-born
- 33% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 36% English-only · Spanish 58% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · San Joaquin
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 48.9% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.6pp toward R · 2008: 10.7pp · 2024: -0.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+0.9 2020: D+13.9 2016: D+12.9 2012: D+8.9 2008: D+10.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -298.45%
- Current HPI
- 502.8934
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Stockton, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
-32.2% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Listed $305,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2023-05-26 Sold (Public Records) $450,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,270 · +35.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…