🏷️ Likely Rental
42 Wescott St · Jamestown, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$49,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This single-family home offers a great opportunity for both investors and owner-occupants. The main level features a comfortable living space and room for a dining area, while the second floor includes two bedrooms. The property is currently tenant-occupied, with tenants set to vacate—providing flexibility for the next owner. Market rent is estimated at $1,100 per month plus utilities. Recent improvements and features include a newer deck, durable metal roof, vinyl replacement windows, and consistent routine maintenance—making this a solid investment.
Key facts
- Metal roof
- Newer deck
- 5,775 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage; No driveway
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-story existing residence
- Construction: Wood siding construction
- Exterior features: Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 115
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 5; Living room and family room
- Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate; Varies
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $49k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $450 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $49k).
- Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#470 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities D, crime F.
- Jamestown City School District (town): math 33% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #553 of 590 in NY (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 315 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 127 units permitted in Chautauqua County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $339 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Chautauqua County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $23k; list at $49k implies a 115% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 39.33%
- DSCR
- 2.75
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $70,397
- List price
- $49,000
- Delta
- -30.39%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 654 Barrows St | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 | 1,081 (+7%) | 7mo | $43,000 | $40 | 69 |
| 11 Lexington Pl | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 1,008 (0%) | 8mo | $27,000 | $27 | 68 |
| 46 Pardee Ave | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 988 (-2%) | 11mo | $77,500 | $78 | 64 |
| 114 Harris Ave | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 925 (-8%) | 14mo | $65,000 | $70 | 54 |
| 115 Hedges Ave | 0.17mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,118 (+11%) | 23mo | $77,000 | $69 | 48 |
| 320 Haywood St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 920 (-9%) | 10mo | $59,900 | $65 | 42 |
| 129 King St | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 1,151 (+14%) | 18mo | $29,900 | $26 | 38 |
| 264 King St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 900 (-11%) | 14mo | $104,900 | $117 | 37 |
| 13 Willow Ave | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 888 (-12%) | 15mo | $175,000 | $197 | 30 |
| 213 Weeks St | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (-14%) | 19mo | $92,220 | $107 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.51×
- Total profit
- $20,721
- Equity at exit
- $7,306
- IRR
- 42.4%
- Equity multiple
- 5.01×
- Total profit
- $55,003
- Equity at exit
- $4,237
Cash invested: $13,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14701
- Home prices YoY
- -18.5%
- Active inventory
- 315
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,007 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$257
- Tax from tax record
- −$69 /mo · $822/yr
- Insurance
- −$20
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$211
- Net cashflow
- $450
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $477 | -5% $464 | +0% $450 | +5% $436 | +10% $422 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $370 | -5% $410 | +0% $450 | +5% $489 | +10% $529 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $474 | -0.5pp $462 | base $450 | +0.5pp $437 | +1.0pp $424 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,250
- Closing costs
- $1,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 148 Maple St Jamestown, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1424 | $1,350 | $0.95 | 45d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 607 Pine St Unit 3 Jamestown, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $825 | $1.10 | 45d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 21 Spring St Jamestown, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 1.07mi |
Listing history 33 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $49,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $49,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $49,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $49,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $49,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-16price $49,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $54,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $54,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $54,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $54,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $54,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $54,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $54,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $54,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $54,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $54,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $54,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-04-25$54,000 Active 569-char remark
-
2026-04-16historical
-
2025-10-15$54,000 Active
-
2025-05-13historical
-
2025-05-12historical
-
2025-03-27$65,000 Active
-
2024-03-01historical $950
-
2024-02-03$950
-
2020-11-23soldstatus $22,750 Closed Sale or Rented
-
2020-09-24status Pending Sale
-
2020-08-06historical Continue to Show- Under Contract
-
2020-08-03price $24,900
-
2019-11-25$26,900 Active
-
2016-05-02soldstatus $15,000
-
2016-04-28soldstatus $15,000
-
2016-02-03$19,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $822 · $69/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $825 · $69/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3/yr ($0/mo · 0.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,085
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,745
- − Property taxes
- −$822
- − Insurance
- −$245
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$967
- − Management
- −$967
- − Depreciation
- −$1,425
- Taxable income
- $4,914
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,179
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,217/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jamestown City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3615630
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,240
- Composite
- 30.69/100
- National rank
- #6176
- State rank
- #553 of 590 in NY
Livability — Jamestown
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #470
- US rank
- #8213
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jamestown, NY
- County
- Chautauqua County · 38,461 people
- City population
- 38,461
- Metro
- Jamestown-Dunkirk-Fredonia, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,461
- Household income
- $49,685
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1838.0
Population outlook (Chautauqua County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 123,454 people
- By 2030
- 118,509 · -4.0%
- By 2040
- 107,311 · -13.1%
- By 2050
- 96,703 · -21.7%
- By 2075
- 76,757 · -37.8%
- By 2100
- 60,984 · -50.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 6% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Chautauqua
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+22.0) · D 39.0% · R 61.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.9pp toward R · 2008: 0.9pp · 2024: -22.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+22.0 2020: R+19.8 2016: R+24.6 2012: R+8.2 2008: D+0.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -58.93%
- Current HPI
- 259.402
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Jamestown-Dunkirk-Fredonia, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+146.2% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Price Changed $49,000 UNYREIS
- 2026-04-25 Listed $54,000 UNYREIS
- 2026-04-16 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2025-10-15 Listed $54,000 UNYREIS
- 2025-05-13 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2025-05-12 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2025-03-27 Listed $65,000 UNYREIS
- 2024-03-01 Rental Removed $950 BUILDIUM
- 2024-02-03 Listed for Rent $950 BUILDIUM
- 2020-11-23 Sold (MLS) $22,750 UNYREIS
- 2020-09-24 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2020-08-06 Contingent — UNYREIS
- 2020-08-03 Price Changed $24,900 UNYREIS
- 2019-11-25 Listed $26,900 UNYREIS
- 2016-05-02 Sold (MLS) $15,000 UNYREIS
- 2016-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
- 2016-02-03 Listed $19,900 UNYREIS
Property tax history
-5.8%/yrLatest (2025): $822 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…