3226 SE 39th Ave · Ocala, FL
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
LOOKING FOR A BEAUTIFUL HOME CLOSE TO SHOPPING, DOWNTOWN, RESTAURANTS, FOREST HIGH SCHOOL? THIS IS YOUR HOME! THIS PROERTY OFFERS 2 BEDROOMS AND 2 FULL BATHS, NICE SIZE LIVING ROOM, WITH AN AWESOME BONUS ROOM WITH NEW FLOOR. THIS PROPERTY OFFERS AND OVERSIZE CARPORT AND THE BACK SITTING AREA, IS VERY DESIRABLE. IT ALSO OFFERS A LARGE LAUNDRY ROOM THAT MAKES GREAT FOR LAUNDRY AND STORAGE. THIS HOUSE IS READY ALL YOU HAVE TO DO IS BUY IT
Key facts
- New water heater
- New a/c
- Updated flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located on a 0.2-acre lot (approx. 70 x 127); Asphalt/paved road access
- Financial info: Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: Monthly maintenance fee of $80; Total annual fees $960
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 space)
- Utilities: Private water; Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity available and connected; Water available and connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Residential mobile home (double wide); One story; Crawlspace foundation; Faces southeast
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Lighting; Outdoor storage
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air; Wall/window AC unit(s)
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Thermostat
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup (electric); Inside laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $124 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
- Recommended offer: $102k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 4.2% in Ocala — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#476 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 344 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.60% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.49%
- DSCR
- 2.00
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $165,000
- List price
- $105,000
- Delta
- -36.36%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3121 SE 39th Ave | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 | 1,366 (-4%) | 13mo | $132,000 | $97 | 78 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.84% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-9,040
- Equity at exit
- $15,656
- IRR
- 1.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.09×
- Total profit
- $2,525
- Equity at exit
- $9,078
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34480
- Home prices YoY
- -28.7%
- Rents YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 344
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,682 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax from tax record
- −$103 /mo · $1,238/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$80
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$353
- Net cashflow
- $124
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $184 | -5% $154 | +0% $124 | +5% $95 | +10% $65 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-8 | -5% $58 | +0% $124 | +5% $191 | +10% $257 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $177 | -0.5pp $151 | base $124 | +0.5pp $97 | +1.0pp $70 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3339 SE 37th Avenue Rd Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1828 | $1,900 | $1.04 | 14d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 3488 SE 37th Avenue Rd Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1708 | $1,800 | $1.05 | 21d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 3663 SE 37th Avenue Rd Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1707 | $1,825 | $1.07 | 21d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 3674 SE 37th Ct Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1708 | $1,800 | $1.05 | 14d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 3700 SE 34th Ct Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1508 | $2,050 | $1.36 | 21d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 4549 SE 25th Loop Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1490 | $1,850 | $1.24 | 21d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 5011 SE 29th St Apt C Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $990 | $0.99 | 14d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 5200 SE 31st St Unit D Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 945 | $1,250 | $1.32 | 21d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 5230 SE 31st St Unit Whispering Sands D Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,050 | $1.05 | 21d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 5370 SE 30th Pl Unit Greenfields C Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,150 | $1.15 | 21d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 4861 SE 31st Ter Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1482 | $1,700 | $1.15 | 21d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 4760 SE 30th Ct Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1520 | $1,500 | $0.99 | 21d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 4505 SE 12th Pl Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1551 | $1,750 | $1.13 | 21d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $80 · $960/yr
Listing history 38 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $105,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $105,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $105,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $105,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $105,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $105,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $105,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $105,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $105,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $105,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $110,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $110,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $110,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $110,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-04$110,000 Active 392-char remark
-
2026-04-23historical
-
2026-03-24price $115,000
-
2026-03-23status Active
-
2026-02-19price $129,500
-
2025-11-13price $132,500
-
2025-09-30price $135,000
-
2025-08-24price $139,500
-
2025-07-21$143,500 Active
-
2024-01-18soldstatus $115,000
-
2024-01-12soldstatus $115,000 Closed
Show marketing remark (439 chars)
LOOKING FOR A BEAUTIFUL HOME CLOSE TO SHOPPING, DOWNTOWN, RESTAURANTS, FOREST HIGH SCHOOL? THIS IS YOUR HOME! THIS PROERTY OFFERS 2 BEDROOMS AND 2 FULL BATHS, NICE SIZE LIVING ROOM, WITH AN AWESOME BONUS ROOM WITH NEW FLOOR. THIS PROPERTY OFFERS AND OVERSIZE CARPORT AND THE BACK SITTING AREA, IS VERY DESIRABLE. IT ALSO OFFERS A LARGE LAUNDRY ROOM THAT MAKES GREAT FOR LAUNDRY AND STORAGE. THIS HOUSE IS READY ALL YOU HAVE TO DO IS BUY IT
-
2024-01-08soldstatus $115,000 Closed
-
2024-01-03status Pending
Show marketing remark (439 chars)
LOOKING FOR A BEAUTIFUL HOME CLOSE TO SHOPPING, DOWNTOWN, RESTAURANTS, FOREST HIGH SCHOOL? THIS IS YOUR HOME! THIS PROERTY OFFERS 2 BEDROOMS AND 2 FULL BATHS, NICE SIZE LIVING ROOM, WITH AN AWESOME BONUS ROOM WITH NEW FLOOR. THIS PROPERTY OFFERS AND OVERSIZE CARPORT AND THE BACK SITTING AREA, IS VERY DESIRABLE. IT ALSO OFFERS A LARGE LAUNDRY ROOM THAT MAKES GREAT FOR LAUNDRY AND STORAGE. THIS HOUSE IS READY ALL YOU HAVE TO DO IS BUY IT
-
2023-12-18status Pending
-
2023-12-05price $129,000
Show marketing remark (439 chars)
LOOKING FOR A BEAUTIFUL HOME CLOSE TO SHOPPING, DOWNTOWN, RESTAURANTS, FOREST HIGH SCHOOL? THIS IS YOUR HOME! THIS PROERTY OFFERS 2 BEDROOMS AND 2 FULL BATHS, NICE SIZE LIVING ROOM, WITH AN AWESOME BONUS ROOM WITH NEW FLOOR. THIS PROPERTY OFFERS AND OVERSIZE CARPORT AND THE BACK SITTING AREA, IS VERY DESIRABLE. IT ALSO OFFERS A LARGE LAUNDRY ROOM THAT MAKES GREAT FOR LAUNDRY AND STORAGE. THIS HOUSE IS READY ALL YOU HAVE TO DO IS BUY IT
-
2023-10-24$134,900 Active
Show marketing remark (439 chars)
LOOKING FOR A BEAUTIFUL HOME CLOSE TO SHOPPING, DOWNTOWN, RESTAURANTS, FOREST HIGH SCHOOL? THIS IS YOUR HOME! THIS PROERTY OFFERS 2 BEDROOMS AND 2 FULL BATHS, NICE SIZE LIVING ROOM, WITH AN AWESOME BONUS ROOM WITH NEW FLOOR. THIS PROPERTY OFFERS AND OVERSIZE CARPORT AND THE BACK SITTING AREA, IS VERY DESIRABLE. IT ALSO OFFERS A LARGE LAUNDRY ROOM THAT MAKES GREAT FOR LAUNDRY AND STORAGE. THIS HOUSE IS READY ALL YOU HAVE TO DO IS BUY IT
-
2023-10-23historical
-
2023-09-29$134,900 Active
-
2023-09-28$134,900 Active
-
2023-09-05soldstatus $85,000 Closed
-
2023-07-22status Pending
-
2023-06-16$90,000 Active
-
1980-04-01soldstatus $28,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,238 · $103/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,238 · $103/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,180
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$1,238
- − Insurance
- −$5,644
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,614
- − Management
- −$1,614
- − HOA
- −$960
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable income
- $174
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$42
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,452/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marion
- NCES district ID
- 1201260
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,015
- Composite
- 35.61/100
- National rank
- #4890
- State rank
- #61 of 73 in FL
Livability — Ocala
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #476
- US rank
- #8461
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Marion County · 315,796 people
- City population
- 263,375
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,517
- Household income
- $77,557
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 169.0
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 365,905 people
- By 2030
- 376,768 · +3.0%
- By 2040
- 396,555 · +8.4%
- By 2050
- 412,723 · +12.8%
- By 2075
- 446,090 · +21.9%
- By 2100
- 436,193 · +19.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 11% Black 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -85.60%
- Current HPI
- 212.4262
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.84%
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+275.0% since first listed24 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-06 Price Changed $105,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-04 Listed $110,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-23 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $115,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-23 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-19 Price Changed $129,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-13 Price Changed $132,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-30 Price Changed $135,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-24 Price Changed $139,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-21 Listed $143,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-01-18 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
- 2024-01-12 Sold (MLS) $115,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-01-08 Sold (MLS) $115,000 MARMLS
- 2024-01-03 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-12-18 Pending — MARMLS
- 2023-12-05 Price Changed $129,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-10-24 Listed $134,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-10-23 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-09-29 Listed $134,900 MARMLS
- 2023-09-28 Listed $134,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-09-05 Sold (MLS) $85,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-07-22 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-06-16 Listed $90,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1980-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+15.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,238 · -23.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…