CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
159 Erie St
A Composite 86.42
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.0/5.0

$62,500

159 Erie St · Everett, PA 15537
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 709 sqft · SingleFamily · 129 Days on market
Built 1950 Fair condition 0.84 ac lot $88/sqft · 37% below area Est $100k · 37% under ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Looking for your next flip project or rental property? Then check out this bungalow style home located on a private street not far from town. An adjacent 1600+sqft home with 3 bedrooms, 1.5 baths is also available to be purchased. AS-IS sale. Seller will make no repairs.

Key facts

  • Private street
  • Bungalow style home
  • 0.84 acre lot

Tags

BUNGALOW STYLE HOMEPRIVATE STREET

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $62k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $610 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $62k).
  • Recommended offer: $55k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#906 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Everett Area SD (rural): math 32% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #337 of 539 in PA (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; 54 units permitted in Bedford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($432 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Bedford County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 129 days — a 12% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $55,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 129 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.11%
Cap rate
18.00%
Cash-on-cash
41.83%
DSCR
2.86
GRM
3.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$99,971
List price
$62,500
Delta
-37.48%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
56.7%
Equity multiple
5.17×
Total profit
$72,909
Equity at exit
$56,305
10-year hold
IRR
50.3%
Equity multiple
11.53×
Total profit
$184,194
Equity at exit
$121,424

Cash invested: $17,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15537

Home prices YoY
17.3%
Active inventory
62
Price-to-rent
3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,319 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$328
Tax est. 1.5%
$78 /mo · $938/yr
Insurance
$26
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$277
Net cashflow
$610

Break-even live

Break-even rent $547
Max offer price $62,500
Occupancy floor 49%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $653 -5% $632 +0% $610 +5% $588 +10% $567
Rent -10% $506 -5% $558 +0% $610 +5% $662 +10% $714
Rate -1.0pp $641 -0.5pp $626 base $610 +0.5pp $594 +1.0pp $577

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,625
Closing costs
$1,875
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $62,500 Active 129 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $62,500 Active 128 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $62,500 Active 126 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $62,500 Active 125 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $62,500 Active 124 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $62,500 Active 123 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $62,500 Active 121 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $62,500 Active 120 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $62,500 Active 117 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $62,500 Active 116 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $62,500 Active 115 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $62,500 Active 114 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $62,500 Active 111 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $62,500 Active 110 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $62,500 Active 109 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $62,500 Active 108 DOM
  17. 2026-04-14
    price $62,500 271-char remark
    Show marketing remark (271 chars)

    Looking for your next flip project or rental property? Then check out this bungalow style home located on a private street not far from town. An adjacent 1600+sqft home with 3 bedrooms, 1.5 baths is also available to be purchased. AS-IS sale. Seller will make no repairs.

  18. 2026-04-13
    price $62,500 271-char remark
    Show marketing remark (271 chars)

    Looking for your next flip project or rental property? Then check out this bungalow style home located on a private street not far from town. An adjacent 1600+sqft home with 3 bedrooms, 1.5 baths is also available to be purchased. AS-IS sale. Seller will make no repairs.

  19. 2026-02-12
    listed $65,000 Active 271-char remark
    Show marketing remark (271 chars)

    Looking for your next flip project or rental property? Then check out this bungalow style home located on a private street not far from town. An adjacent 1600+sqft home with 3 bedrooms, 1.5 baths is also available to be purchased. AS-IS sale. Seller will make no repairs.

  20. 2026-02-11
    listed $65,000 Active 271-char remark
    Show marketing remark (271 chars)

    Looking for your next flip project or rental property? Then check out this bungalow style home located on a private street not far from town. An adjacent 1600+sqft home with 3 bedrooms, 1.5 baths is also available to be purchased. AS-IS sale. Seller will make no repairs.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,826
− Mortgage interest
−$3,501
− Property taxes
−$938
− Insurance
−$312
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,266
− Management
−$1,266
− Depreciation
−$1,818
Taxable income
$6,725
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,614
After-tax cash flow
$5,706/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 40/100 Moderate rehab

This bungalow style home requires moderate renovations to improve its condition and increase its value for resale or rental.

Repairs flagged

  • Major kitchen appliances — need replacement
  • Major bathroom fixtures — need replacement
  • Moderate roof — visible wear
  • Major exterior siding — exposed and chipped
  • Major flooring — worn and damaged
  • Major HVAC system — visible wear

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale update kitchen appliances — modern appliances attract buyers
  • Resale replace bathroom fixtures — updated fixtures appeal to buyers
  • Both repair and paint exterior — enhances curb appeal and resale value
  • Both replace flooring — new flooring improves living space and rental appeal
  • Both repair and replace HVAC system — modern HVAC system improves comfort and energy efficiency

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen appliances · need replacement Major $15,000–50,000
bathroom fixtures · need replacement Major $15,000–50,000
roof · visible wear Moderate $3,000–15,000
exterior siding · exposed and chipped Major $15,000–50,000
flooring · worn and damaged Major $15,000–50,000
HVAC system · visible wear Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 6 items $78,000–265,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale update kitchen appliances — modern appliances attract buyers
  • Resale replace bathroom fixtures — updated fixtures appeal to buyers
  • Both repair and paint exterior — enhances curb appeal and resale value
  • Both replace flooring — new flooring improves living space and rental appeal
  • Both repair and replace HVAC system — modern HVAC system improves comfort and energy efficiency

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Everett Area SD
NCES district ID
4209360
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$41,322
Composite
35.24/100
National rank
#4979
State rank
#337 of 539 in PA

Livability — Everett

Score
68/100
State rank
#906
US rank
#9719

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
8,272

Population outlook (Bedford County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
45,395 people
By 2030
43,353 · -4.5%
By 2040
38,858 · -14.4%
By 2050
34,162 · -24.7%
By 2075
24,868 · -45.2%
By 2100
16,910 · -62.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% Italian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bedford

2024 margin
Solid R (+68.6) · D 15.4% · R 84.0%
2008→2024 swing
-23.8pp toward R · 2008: -44.8pp · 2024: -68.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+68.6 2020: R+67.7 2016: R+67.4 2012: R+54.9 2008: R+44.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 37.19%
Current HPI
252.292
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-3.8% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-14 Price Changed $62,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-13 Price Changed $62,500 AHARMLS
  • 2026-02-12 Listed $65,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-11 Listed $65,000 AHARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…