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13681 Castleton St
C Composite 58.42
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.5/30.0
  • DSCR +8.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$125,000

13681 Castleton St · Detroit, MI 48227
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,266 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 45 Days on market
Built 1941 3,920 sqft lot $99/sqft · 103% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 3,920 sq ft lot
  • Built 1941
  • Listed 44 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Sewer available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two stories; Ground-level entry with steps
  • Construction: Brick construction; Brick/Mortar foundation; Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.09 acres (35 x 114)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; Five total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $290 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $121k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 391 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($37k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.6% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $42k; list at $125k implies a 198% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $121,250 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
9.08%
Cash-on-cash
9.94%
DSCR
1.44
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$51,875
List price
$125,000
Delta
140.96%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
13731 Wadsworth St 0.07mi 3/1.0 1,345 (+6%) 9mo $45,000 $33 79
12667 Sorrento St 0.53mi 3/1.0 1,309 (+3%) 0mo $65,000 $50 69
12096 Meyers Rd 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,248 (-1%) 0mo $30,000 $24 68
11406 Strathmoor St 0.43mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,294 (+2%) 1mo $76,000 $59 64
10039 Mark Twain St 0.50mi 3/1.0 1,334 (+5%) 7mo $73,000 $55 62
11431 Marlowe St 0.54mi 3/1.0 1,172 (-7%) 6mo $48,000 $41 58
12027 Manor St 0.64mi 3/1.0 1,340 (+6%) 3mo $86,750 $65 58
11366 Terry St 0.64mi 3/1.0 1,209 (-4%) 7mo $89,000 $74 57
9576 Hubbell St 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,270 (+0%) 6mo $134,900 $106 56
9982 Littlefield St 0.50mi 3/1.0 1,152 (-9%) 8mo $47,000 $41 55
12026 Manor Arc 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,200 (-5%) 8mo $65,000 $54 54
12667 Lauder St 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,200 (-5%) 7mo $65,000 $54 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.59% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.3%
Equity multiple
1.05×
Total profit
$1,741
Equity at exit
$18,638
10-year hold
IRR
13.1%
Equity multiple
2.16×
Total profit
$40,589
Equity at exit
$10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48227

Rents YoY
5.6%
Active inventory
391
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,336 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$58 /mo · $700/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$281
Net cashflow
$290

Break-even live

Break-even rent $970
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $361 -5% $325 +0% $290 +5% $255 +10% $219
Rent -10% $184 -5% $237 +0% $290 +5% $343 +10% $395
Rate -1.0pp $353 -0.5pp $322 base $290 +0.5pp $257 +1.0pp $225

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
12039 Lauder St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,500 $1.50 25d 1 0.53mi
11431 Marlowe St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1172 $1,400 $1.19 18d 1 0.53mi
12014 Terry St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1361 $1,200 $0.88 45d 1 0.56mi
12778 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1597 $1,150 $0.72 6d 1 0.58mi
12775 Plymouth Rd Unit 16 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1009 $825 $0.82 45d 1 0.60mi
12754 Marlowe St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1008 $1,400 $1.39 18d 1 0.63mi
11634 Sussex St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1091 $1,326 $1.22 25d 1 0.74mi
9590 Marlowe St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 877 $1,430 $1.63 45d 1 0.76mi
10015 Robson St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 19d 1 0.77mi
10002 Manor Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,050 $1.05 45d 1 0.79mi
10002 Manor Unit 2 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,150 $1.05 45d 1 0.79mi
13331 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1084 $1,100 $1.01 18d 1 0.79mi
9340 Hartwell St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,364 $1.36 45d 1 0.83mi
11397 Whitcomb St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1070 $1,400 $1.31 18d 1 0.85mi
9355 Ward St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,327 $1.11 45d 1 0.86mi
14740 W Chicago Unit B Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $845 $0.94 45d 1 0.86mi
9501 Lauder St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1152 $1,350 $1.17 45d 1 0.87mi
12468 Mendota St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,000 $0.91 25d 1 0.87mi
12468 Mendota St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 45d 1 0.87mi
9558 Meyers Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 950 $1,150 $1.21 45d 1 0.89mi
11393 Prest St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,550 $1.72 18d 1 0.91mi
13279 Coyle St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1444 $1,373 $0.95 45d 1 0.95mi
9546 Sussex St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 45d 1 0.97mi
12650 Griggs St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1628 $1,375 $0.84 25d 1 1.01mi
9386 Coyle St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 3d 1 1.03mi
12144 Washburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,200 $1.00 16d 1 1.06mi
10359 Violetlawn St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1200 $985 $0.82 45d 1 1.06mi
9973 Winthrop St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 960 $1,400 $1.46 45d 1 1.08mi
9936 Montrose St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 963 $1,200 $1.25 18d 1 1.13mi
10303 Morley St #1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 950 $950 $1.00 45d 1 1.14mi
14284 Cruse St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1121 $1,150 $1.03 18d 1 1.14mi
14104 Coyle St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1327 $1,350 $1.02 6d 1 1.17mi
9209 Pinehurst St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1589 $1,500 $0.94 45d 1 1.18mi
13965 Mendota St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1222 $1,294 $1.06 18d 1 1.20mi
11641 Mansfield St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1449 $1,300 $0.90 45d 1 1.24mi
14264 Coyle St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 45d 1 1.27mi
14375 Terry St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,425 $1.10 45d 1 1.34mi
9222 Forrer St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 947 $1,450 $1.53 18d 1 1.36mi
9589 Mansfield St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1250 $1,500 $1.20 6d 1 1.37mi
14590 Ardmore St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,195 $1.00 4d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 39 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $125,000 Active 45 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $125,000 Active 42 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $125,000 Active 41 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $125,000 Active 39 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $125,000 Active 37 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $125,000 Active 36 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $125,000 Active 33 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $125,000 Active 32 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $125,000 Active 31 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $125,000 Active 28 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $125,000 Active 27 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $125,000 Active 26 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $125,000 Active 25 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $125,000 Active 24 DOM
  15. 2026-05-15
    status Active
  16. 2026-05-08
    historical
  17. 2026-04-30
    listed $125,000 Active
  18. 2026-04-30
    listed $125,000 Active
  19. 2026-03-06
    historical $1,150
  20. 2026-02-06
    price $1,150
  21. 2026-01-10
    listed $1,200
  22. 2025-09-15
    historical
  23. 2025-09-15
    historical
  24. 2025-09-12
    price $114,900
  25. 2025-09-12
    price $114,900
  26. 2025-08-09
    price $115,000
  27. 2025-08-08
    price $115,000
  28. 2025-08-07
    price $123,900
  29. 2025-08-07
    price $123,900
  30. 2025-07-25
    listed $124,900 Active
  31. 2025-07-25
    listed $124,900 Active
  32. 2025-05-08
    soldstatus $42,000 Closed
  33. 2025-05-08
    soldstatus $42,000 Closed
  34. 2025-04-18
    status Pending
  35. 2025-04-18
    status Pending
  36. 2025-04-12
    status Active
  37. 2025-04-11
    historical
  38. 2025-03-27
    listed $47,500 Active
  39. 2025-03-26
    listed $47,500 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$700 · $58/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,313 · $109/mo
Expected delta
+$612/yr (+$51/mo · 87.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,038
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$700
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,283
− Management
−$1,283
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable income
$1,508
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$362
After-tax cash flow
$3,117/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
40,302
Household income
$36,527
Rent vs Own
40.9% rent · 59.1% own
Severe rent burden
2371.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (95%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 95% Two or more races 3% White 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -125.00%
Current HPI
186.4158
Rent YoY
▲ 5.59%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+163.2% since first listed
25 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-08 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $125,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $125,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-06 Rental Removed $1,150 BUILDIUM
  • 2026-02-06 Price Changed $1,150 BUILDIUM
  • 2026-01-10 Listed for Rent $1,200 BUILDIUM
  • 2025-09-15 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-09-15 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-09-12 Price Changed $114,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-09-12 Price Changed $114,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-08-09 Price Changed $115,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-08-08 Price Changed $115,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-08-07 Price Changed $123,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-08-07 Price Changed $123,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-07-25 Listed $124,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-07-25 Listed $124,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-05-08 Sold (MLS) $42,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-05-08 Sold (MLS) $42,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-04-18 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-04-18 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2025-04-12 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2025-04-11 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-03-27 Listed $47,500 REALCOMP
  • 2025-03-26 Listed $47,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-5.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $700 · -49.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…