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204 Moyer Ct #4
B- Composite 68.74
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$88,800

204 Moyer Ct #4 · Pocono, PA 18355
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,120 sqft · Manufactured · 12 Days on market
Built 1988 Good condition Est $59k · 50% over $43/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Remodeled mobile home in Sullivan Trail Village with easy access from SullivanTrail. Freshly painted and new laminate flooring will please your eyes. Three bedrooms and two baths nicely laid out. Spacious kitchen/dining area! New Split Ductless System will keep you comfortable year round!

Key facts

  • Built 1988
  • Listed 11 days

Tags

REMODELED MOBILE HOMENEW LAMINATE FLOORINGSPACIOUS KITCHEN DINING AREANEW SPLIT DUCTLESS SYSTEM

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee of $520 (includes water and sewer)

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Private water; Private sewer; 200+ amp electric service
  • Home design: Manufactured home (single wide); Residential property; No common walls; Located in Sullivan Trail Village (park)
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Metal skirting; Built as a 14 x 70 single wide (Holly/Park)
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Rear porch; Side porch; Sliding doors; Shed(s); Located on a cul-de-sac; Paved road frontage on a county road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Laminate counters
  • Bedrooms: 4 total rooms (bedroom count not specified)
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Ductless heating; Ductless cooling; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Laminate counters; Recessed lighting; Ceiling fans; Bay window
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $89k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $89k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($614 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.5% local appreciation)).
  • Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $88,800

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.53%
Cap rate
21.44%
Cash-on-cash
54.09%
DSCR
3.41
GRM
3.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$59,360
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
152 Paul Ter 0.04mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,036 (-8%) 10mo $55,000 $53 72
122 Hemlock Tr Trl 0.13mi 3/1.0 1,020 (-9%) 21mo $50,000 $49 58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.49% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
57.4%
Equity multiple
4.03×
Total profit
$75,262
Equity at exit
$32,608
10-year hold
IRR
58.4%
Equity multiple
8.12×
Total profit
$177,088
Equity at exit
$45,165

Cash invested: $24,864 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18355

Home prices YoY
0.8%
Active inventory
35
Price-to-rent
3.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,250 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$466
Tax est. 1.5%
$111 /mo · $1,332/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$43
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$472
Net cashflow
$1,121

Break-even live

Break-even rent $831
Max offer price $88,800
Occupancy floor 45%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,182 -5% $1,152 +0% $1,121 +5% $1,090 +10% $1,059
Rent -10% $943 -5% $1,032 +0% $1,121 +5% $1,210 +10% $1,299
Rate -1.0pp $1,166 -0.5pp $1,143 base $1,121 +0.5pp $1,098 +1.0pp $1,074

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,200
Closing costs
$2,664
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
371 Linden Ct Tannersville, PA 3.0 2.0 1437 $2,250 $1.57 46d 1 1.40mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$43 · $516/yr

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $88,800 Active 12 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $88,800 Active 10 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $88,800 Active 9 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $88,800 Active 8 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $88,800 Active 7 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $88,800 Active 6 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $88,800 Active 4 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $88,800 Active 3 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    remarks 289-char remark
  10. 2026-06-10
    listed $88,800 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,000
− Mortgage interest
−$4,974
− Property taxes
−$1,332
− Insurance
−$444
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,160
− Management
−$2,160
− HOA
−$516
− Depreciation
−$2,583
Taxable income
$12,831
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,079
After-tax cash flow
$10,371/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This remodeled mobile home in Sullivan Trail Village offers a good condition with new flooring and systems, ready for a fresh coat of paint and minor exterior repairs to maximize its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace deck boards — Improves safety and appearance
  • Both Replace laminate flooring — Fresh look and improved durability

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace deck boards — Improves safety and appearance
  • Both Replace laminate flooring — Fresh look and improved durability

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pocono Mountain SD
NCES district ID
4219500
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$55,317
Composite
39.91/100
National rank
#3856
State rank
#245 of 539 in PA

Livability — Pocono

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,628

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
164,099 people
By 2030
161,412 · -1.6%
By 2040
154,616 · -5.8%
By 2050
146,710 · -10.6%
By 2075
140,830 · -14.2%
By 2100
138,472 · -15.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Asian 10% Hispanic / Latino 10% Black 3% Two or more races 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 6% Armenian 4% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
10% · Vietnam, Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Vietnamese 6% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
2008→2024 swing
-17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.49%
Current HPI
191.1566
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $88,800 PMAR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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