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1582 Hazelcrest Dr
B- Composite 67.43
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$130,000

1582 Hazelcrest Dr · Fayetteville, NC 28304
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,158 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1992 6,534 sqft lot Est $206k · 37% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor special! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home located in the Pheasant Ridge subdivision offers a great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to add their own personal touches and build equity. Situated in the desirable Jack Britt School District, this home is priced to sell and is being offered as-is. Due to its current condition, the property will not qualify for standard financing. Whether you're looking for your next investment project or a home to renovate and make your own, this property has plenty of potential. Don't miss this opportunity!

Key facts

  • Investment project
  • 6,534 sq ft lot
  • Garage

Tags

PHEASANT RIDGE SUBDIVISIONJACK BRITT SCHOOL DISTRICTINVESTMENT PROJECT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Subdivision: PHEASANT RIDGE; Directions available

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 covered space)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Frame construction
  • Exterior features: Deck; Covered porch; Back yard fencing; Paved road access; Cleared lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Range
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating with forced air; Ceiling fan cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Factory-built fireplace (1)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $278 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
  • Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 4.9% in Fayetteville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#45 in NC, #4,031 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Cumberland County Schools (urban): math 32% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #126 of 178 in NC (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: New Century International Middle (math 41% / reading 58%, grade C, #120 of 475 statewide, top 25%, 391 students, 55% FRL); Jack Britt High (math 58% / reading 72%, grade B, #161 of 535 statewide, top 30%, 1,890 students, 38% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 57% at this address vs 36% district-wide (+21 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Cumberland County Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 302 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,125 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $92k; 41% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 76% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $130,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.18%
Cap rate
8.86%
Cash-on-cash
9.17%
DSCR
1.41
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$206,124
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6487 People St 0.07mi 3/2.0 1,174 (+1%) 2mo $180,000 $153 93
6528 Rhemish Dr 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,166 (+1%) 1mo $206,000 $177 76
6314 Chartley Dr 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,161 (+0%) 8mo $207,000 $178 64
1423 Furnish Dr 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,104 (-5%) 4mo $205,000 $186 63
6381 Rhemish Dr 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,123 (-3%) 3mo $198,000 $176 62
6438 Applewhite Rd 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,093 (-6%) 2mo $212,000 $194 61
6439 Applewhite Rd 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,236 (+7%) 1mo $210,000 $170 60
2243 Delta Dr 0.48mi 3/1.5 1,071 (-8%) 5mo $152,000 $142 59
6337 Rhemish Dr 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,235 (+7%) 0mo $222,000 $180 55
6560 Honeysuckle Dr 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,084 (-6%) 5mo $197,001 $182 52
1109 Strickland Bridge Rd 0.60mi 3/1.5 1,326 (+14%) 2mo $199,000 $150 44
6415 Rutherglen Dr 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,004 (-13%) 5mo $222,000 $221 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.17% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.2%
Equity multiple
0.92×
Total profit
$-3,045
Equity at exit
$19,383
10-year hold
IRR
7.7%
Equity multiple
1.59×
Total profit
$21,430
Equity at exit
$11,240

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28304

Home prices YoY
-21.7%
Rents YoY
3.2%
Active inventory
302
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,538 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$682
Tax from tax record
$201 /mo · $2,414/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$323
Net cashflow
$278

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,186
Max offer price $130,000
Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,500
Closing costs
$3,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 33 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1644 Sweetgum Cir Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1446 $1,750 $1.21 23d 1 0.25mi
1411 Furnish Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,350 $1.23 23d 1 0.56mi
6338 Rhemish Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1201 $1,500 $1.25 23d 1 0.67mi
1948 Nordic Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1131 $1,400 $1.24 23d 1 0.67mi
6408 Dunham Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,500 $1.07 14d 1 0.71mi
1443 Larkhall Dr Fayetteville, NC 4.0 2.0 1382 $1,600 $1.16 23d 1 0.83mi
2514 Gardner Park Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.5 1480 $1,595 $1.08 23d 1 0.83mi
6716 Sandfield Ct Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1296 $1,575 $1.22 23d 1 0.84mi
1066 Strickland Bridge Rd Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1427 $2,050 $1.44 14d 1 0.88mi
6658 Vaughn Rd Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1280 $1,575 $1.23 23d 1 0.91mi
1508 Darvel Ave Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1269 $1,700 $1.34 23d 1 0.92mi
6701 Vaughn Rd Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1236 $1,700 $1.38 14d 1 0.93mi
1222 Southwood Dr Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.5 801 $875 $1.09 23d 1 0.94mi
1437 Artesian Ct Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.5 850 $1,000 $1.18 14d 1 1.01mi
1916 Rayconda Rd Fayetteville, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 989 $1,450 $1.47 23d 3 1.02mi
6333 Marykirk Dr Unit A Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.5 1080 $1,075 $1.00 23d 1 1.03mi
6408 Starbrook Dr #5 Fayetteville, NC 2.0 2.0 860 $995 $1.16 23d 1 1.04mi
3001 Stone Carriage Cir Fayetteville, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1098 $1,700 $1.55 14d 12 1.04mi
6400 Starbrook Dr #1 Fayetteville, NC 2.0 2.0 860 $1,000 $1.16 23d 1 1.05mi
1879 Frankie Ave Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,375 $1.25 23d 1 1.06mi
6332 Marykirk Dr Unit A Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.5 925 $1,150 $1.24 23d 1 1.07mi
4010 Bardstown Ct Unit 202 Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1450 $1,495 $1.03 23d 1 1.08mi
6324 Marykirk Dr Unit A Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.5 792 $900 $1.14 23d 1 1.10mi
4050 Bardstown Ct Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1450 $1,495 $1.03 14d 1 1.16mi
1701 Carter Baron Pl Unit 211 Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1295 $1,700 $1.31 23d 1 1.19mi
1715 Arrow Ridge Way Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1220 $1,550 $1.27 14d 1 1.20mi
3325 Oak Forest Dr Fayetteville, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1112 $1,745 $1.57 14d 66 1.26mi
1811 Balmoral Dr #202 Fayetteville, NC 2.0 2.0 1250 $1,275 $1.02 14d 1 1.31mi
1800 Balmoral Dr Fayetteville, NC 2.0 2.0 1328 $1,250 $0.94 23d 1 1.31mi
2012 Lakemeadow Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1332 $1,800 $1.35 14d 1 1.31mi
1761 Renwick Dr #204 Fayetteville, NC 2.0 2.0 1331 $1,300 $0.98 14d 1 1.33mi
1366 Worstead Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1079 $1,650 $1.53 14d 1 1.40mi
1338 Kienast Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1086 $1,350 $1.24 23d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-14
    status $130,000 Pending 1 DOM
  2. 2026-06-13
    remarks 562-char remark
  3. 2026-06-13
    listed $130,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,414 · $201/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,414 · $201/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 7/10 Severe 76% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,457
− Mortgage interest
−$7,282
− Property taxes
−$2,414
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,477
− Management
−$1,477
− Depreciation
−$3,782
Taxable income
$1,377
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$330
After-tax cash flow
$3,006/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cumberland County Schools
NCES district ID
3700011
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,168
Composite
31.0/100
National rank
#6096
State rank
#126 of 178 in NC

Livability — Fayetteville

Score
75/100
State rank
#45
US rank
#4031

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fayetteville, NC
County
Cumberland County · 265,314 people
City population
226,118
Metro
Fayetteville, NC
Population (ZIP)
37,140
Household income
$58,563
Rent vs Own
44.6% rent · 55.4% own
Severe rent burden
1667.0

Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
330,855 people
By 2030
333,523 · +0.8%
By 2040
335,583 · +1.4%
By 2050
335,325 · +1.4%
By 2075
342,853 · +3.6%
By 2100
340,698 · +3.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
Black 39% White 36% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 12% Asian 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 9% Tagalog/Filipino 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland

2024 margin
D (+13.4) · D 56.1% · R 42.7% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-4.3pp toward R · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 13.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.4 2020: D+16.6 2016: D+16.0 2012: D+19.7 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -59.90%
Current HPI
215.927
Rent YoY
▲ 3.17%
Metro
Fayetteville, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+95.5% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $130,000 LPRMLS
  • 2008-06-18 Sold (Public Records) $92,000 Public Records
  • 1994-09-16 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records
  • 1992-11-06 Sold (Public Records) $66,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,414 · +37.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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