1582 Hazelcrest Dr · Fayetteville, NC
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 7/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 76.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor special! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home located in the Pheasant Ridge subdivision offers a great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to add their own personal touches and build equity. Situated in the desirable Jack Britt School District, this home is priced to sell and is being offered as-is. Due to its current condition, the property will not qualify for standard financing. Whether you're looking for your next investment project or a home to renovate and make your own, this property has plenty of potential. Don't miss this opportunity!
Key facts
- Investment project
- 6,534 sq ft lot
- Garage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Subdivision: PHEASANT RIDGE; Directions available
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 covered space)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Frame construction
- Exterior features: Deck; Covered porch; Back yard fencing; Paved road access; Cleared lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Range
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating with forced air; Ceiling fan cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Factory-built fireplace (1)
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $278 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 4.9% in Fayetteville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#45 in NC, #4,031 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Cumberland County Schools (urban): math 32% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #126 of 178 in NC (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: New Century International Middle (math 41% / reading 58%, grade C, #120 of 475 statewide, top 25%, 391 students, 55% FRL); Jack Britt High (math 58% / reading 72%, grade B, #161 of 535 statewide, top 30%, 1,890 students, 38% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 57% at this address vs 36% district-wide (+21 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Cumberland County Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 302 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,125 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $92k; 41% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 76% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.17%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $206,124
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6487 People St | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,174 (+1%) | 2mo | $180,000 | $153 | 93 |
| 6528 Rhemish Dr | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,166 (+1%) | 1mo | $206,000 | $177 | 76 |
| 6314 Chartley Dr | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,161 (+0%) | 8mo | $207,000 | $178 | 64 |
| 1423 Furnish Dr | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,104 (-5%) | 4mo | $205,000 | $186 | 63 |
| 6381 Rhemish Dr | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,123 (-3%) | 3mo | $198,000 | $176 | 62 |
| 6438 Applewhite Rd | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,093 (-6%) | 2mo | $212,000 | $194 | 61 |
| 6439 Applewhite Rd | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,236 (+7%) | 1mo | $210,000 | $170 | 60 |
| 2243 Delta Dr | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 | 1,071 (-8%) | 5mo | $152,000 | $142 | 59 |
| 6337 Rhemish Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,235 (+7%) | 0mo | $222,000 | $180 | 55 |
| 6560 Honeysuckle Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,084 (-6%) | 5mo | $197,001 | $182 | 52 |
| 1109 Strickland Bridge Rd | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 | 1,326 (+14%) | 2mo | $199,000 | $150 | 44 |
| 6415 Rutherglen Dr | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,004 (-13%) | 5mo | $222,000 | $221 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.17% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-3,045
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- 7.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.59×
- Total profit
- $21,430
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28304
- Home prices YoY
- -21.7%
- Rents YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 302
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,538 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$201 /mo · $2,414/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$323
- Net cashflow
- $278
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 33 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1644 Sweetgum Cir Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1446 | $1,750 | $1.21 | 23d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 1411 Furnish Dr Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,350 | $1.23 | 23d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 6338 Rhemish Dr Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1201 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 23d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1948 Nordic Dr Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1131 | $1,400 | $1.24 | 23d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 6408 Dunham Dr Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,500 | $1.07 | 14d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1443 Larkhall Dr Fayetteville, NC | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1382 | $1,600 | $1.16 | 23d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2514 Gardner Park Dr Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,595 | $1.08 | 23d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 6716 Sandfield Ct Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $1,575 | $1.22 | 23d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1066 Strickland Bridge Rd Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1427 | $2,050 | $1.44 | 14d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 6658 Vaughn Rd Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $1,575 | $1.23 | 23d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1508 Darvel Ave Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1269 | $1,700 | $1.34 | 23d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 6701 Vaughn Rd Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1236 | $1,700 | $1.38 | 14d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1222 Southwood Dr Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 801 | $875 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1437 Artesian Ct Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 850 | $1,000 | $1.18 | 14d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1916 Rayconda Rd Fayetteville, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 989 | $1,450 | $1.47 | 23d | 3 | 1.02mi |
| 6333 Marykirk Dr Unit A Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $1,075 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 6408 Starbrook Dr #5 Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 860 | $995 | $1.16 | 23d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 3001 Stone Carriage Cir Fayetteville, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1098 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 14d | 12 | 1.04mi |
| 6400 Starbrook Dr #1 Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 860 | $1,000 | $1.16 | 23d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1879 Frankie Ave Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,375 | $1.25 | 23d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 6332 Marykirk Dr Unit A Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 925 | $1,150 | $1.24 | 23d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 4010 Bardstown Ct Unit 202 Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,495 | $1.03 | 23d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 6324 Marykirk Dr Unit A Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 792 | $900 | $1.14 | 23d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 4050 Bardstown Ct Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,495 | $1.03 | 14d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1701 Carter Baron Pl Unit 211 Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1295 | $1,700 | $1.31 | 23d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1715 Arrow Ridge Way Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1220 | $1,550 | $1.27 | 14d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 3325 Oak Forest Dr Fayetteville, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1112 | $1,745 | $1.57 | 14d | 66 | 1.26mi |
| 1811 Balmoral Dr #202 Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,275 | $1.02 | 14d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1800 Balmoral Dr Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1328 | $1,250 | $0.94 | 23d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2012 Lakemeadow Dr Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1332 | $1,800 | $1.35 | 14d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1761 Renwick Dr #204 Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1331 | $1,300 | $0.98 | 14d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1366 Worstead Dr Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1079 | $1,650 | $1.53 | 14d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1338 Kienast Dr Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1086 | $1,350 | $1.24 | 23d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-14status $130,000 Pending 1 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 562-char remark
-
2026-06-13$130,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,414 · $201/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,414 · $201/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 7/10 Severe 76% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,457
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$2,414
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,477
- − Management
- −$1,477
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $1,377
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$330
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,006/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cumberland County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3700011
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,168
- Composite
- 31.0/100
- National rank
- #6096
- State rank
- #126 of 178 in NC
Livability — Fayetteville
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #45
- US rank
- #4031
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fayetteville, NC
- County
- Cumberland County · 265,314 people
- City population
- 226,118
- Metro
- Fayetteville, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,140
- Household income
- $58,563
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1667.0
Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 330,855 people
- By 2030
- 333,523 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 335,583 · +1.4%
- By 2050
- 335,325 · +1.4%
- By 2075
- 342,853 · +3.6%
- By 2100
- 340,698 · +3.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 39% White 36% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 12% Asian 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 9% Tagalog/Filipino 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.4) · D 56.1% · R 42.7% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.3pp toward R · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 13.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.4 2020: D+16.6 2016: D+16.0 2012: D+19.7 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -59.90%
- Current HPI
- 215.927
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.17%
- Metro
- Fayetteville, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+95.5% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $130,000 LPRMLS
- 2008-06-18 Sold (Public Records) $92,000 Public Records
- 1994-09-16 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records
- 1992-11-06 Sold (Public Records) $66,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,414 · +37.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…