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4410 SW Parkway Dr
D+ Composite 49.66
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +13.8/30.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$142,250

4410 SW Parkway Dr · Lawton, OK 73505
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,569 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 14 Days on market
Built 1996 7,475 sqft lot Est $217k · 34% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Tony Capuccio with Capuccio Dream Homes Realty is the property specialist regarding this home. TO VIEW THIS HOME OR DEAL DIRECTLY WITH THE LISTING BROKER CALL OR TEXT TONY at 580-585-2337 or email [email protected]. Attention all DYI specialist. Make this "Diamond in the rough" into the home of your dreams. Create an environment designed to your own personality and taste. Open concept M-I-L floor plan with 3 bedrooms and 2 baths. 2 car garage. Spacious open living with soaring vaulted ceilings. Private master suite with jetted tub, , separate shower, dual vanities and walk-in closet. Close to medical hub and tech school.

Key facts

  • 7,475 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1996

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached or attached 2-car garage (2 covered spaces); Driveway; Also has open parking (total 2 parking spaces)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; Brick veneer exterior
  • Construction: Built on slab foundation; Brick veneer construction; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; Wood fencing; Composition roof; Public maintained road access; City street frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 65 x 115

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Refrigerator; Range hood; Electric water heater
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Vinyl; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Fireplace heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace; Range hood
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $142k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $12 ($144/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $126k (11.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $126k (11.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#206 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, commute F.
  • Bishop (urban): math 43% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #16 of 270 in OK (top 6%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Bishop Public School (math 43% / reading 37%, grade F, #102 of 845 statewide, top 12%, 570 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 48% district-wide (48 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 404 active listings in the ZIP; 133 units permitted in Comanche County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $984 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Comanche County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $125,594 (11.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
6.39%
Cash-on-cash
0.36%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$216,522
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4133 SW Parkridge Blvd 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,500 (-4%) 1mo $217,000 $145 82
4702 SW Malcom Rd 0.18mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,600 (+2%) 3mo $210,000 $131 77
4106 SW Wolf St 0.16mi 3/2.5 1,500 (-4%) 5mo $195,000 $130 75
4817 SW Malcom Rd 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,600 (+2%) 4mo $240,000 $150 70
4503 SW Wendy Dr 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,400 (-11%) 4mo $192,500 $138 69
4306 SW Joanne Ln 0.19mi 3/2.0 1,400 (-11%) 5mo $253,000 $181 65
3811 SW Hickory Ln 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,500 (-4%) 1mo $179,900 $120 60
4914 SW Malcom Rd 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,700 (+8%) 3mo $241,000 $142 56
4408 SW Mesquite Dr 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,500 (-4%) 5mo $202,500 $135 55
2310 SW Rolling Hills Pl 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,400 (-11%) 2mo $220,000 $157 54
2413 SW 41st St 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,400 (-11%) 2mo $189,000 $135 50
4703 SW K Cir 0.62mi 3/1.5 1,400 (-11%) 5mo $154,000 $110 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.14% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.3%
Equity multiple
0.51×
Total profit
$-19,505
Equity at exit
$21,210
10-year hold
IRR
-1.4%
Equity multiple
0.90×
Total profit
$-4,087
Equity at exit
$12,299

Cash invested: $39,830 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 73505

Rents YoY
5.1%
Active inventory
404
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,256 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$746
Tax from tax record
$175 /mo · $2,099/yr
Insurance
$59
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$264
Net cashflow
$12

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,241
Max offer price $142,250
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $93 -5% $52 +0% $12 +5% $-28 +10% $-68
Rent -10% $-87 -5% $-38 +0% $12 +5% $62 +10% $111
Rate -1.0pp $84 -0.5pp $48 base $12 +0.5pp $-25 +1.0pp $-62

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,562
Closing costs
$4,268
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-05-19
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-05
    listed $142,250 Active
  3. 2025-04-07
    historical Active Under Contract
  4. 2025-02-13
    status Active
  5. 2025-02-13
    price $160,000
  6. 2024-12-30
    historical Active Under Contract
  7. 2024-11-15
    listed $75,000 Active
  8. 2024-01-09
    historical Active Under Contract
  9. 2023-12-22
    listed $85,000 Active
  10. 2007-03-15
    soldstatus $139,500
  11. 1996-10-08
    soldstatus $95,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,099 · $175/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,099 · $175/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,071
− Mortgage interest
−$7,968
− Property taxes
−$2,099
− Insurance
−$711
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,206
− Management
−$1,206
− Depreciation
−$4,138
Taxable loss
−$2,257
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$542
After-tax cash flow
$686/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bishop
NCES district ID
4004470
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -19.00%
Median HH income
$52,582
Composite
34.77/100
National rank
#5123
State rank
#16 of 270 in OK

Livability — Lawton

Score
63/100
State rank
#206
US rank
#15131

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lawton, OK
County
Comanche County · 96,361 people
City population
89,233
Metro
Lawton, OK
Population (ZIP)
47,790
Household income
$58,272
Rent vs Own
48.2% rent · 51.8% own
Severe rent burden
1986.0

Population outlook (Comanche County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
124,518 people
By 2030
124,231 · -0.2%
By 2040
122,193 · -1.9%
By 2050
120,368 · -3.3%
By 2075
120,492 · -3.2%
By 2100
123,113 · -1.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Black 17% Two or more races 16% Hispanic / Latino 16% Native American 4% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 6% German/W. Germanic 2% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Comanche

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.3) · D 37.4% · R 60.7% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-5.8pp toward R · 2008: -17.5pp · 2024: -23.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.3 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+23.7 2012: R+17.0 2008: R+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -134.88%
Current HPI
169.4524
Rent YoY
▲ 5.14%
Metro
Lawton, OK
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+49.7% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Pending LBRMLS
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $142,250 LBRMLS
  • 2025-04-07 Contingent LBRMLS
  • 2025-02-13 Relisted LBRMLS
  • 2025-02-13 Price Changed $160,000 LBRMLS
  • 2024-12-30 Contingent LBRMLS
  • 2024-11-15 Listed $75,000 LBRMLS
  • 2024-01-09 Contingent LBRMLS
  • 2023-12-22 Listed $85,000 LBRMLS
  • 2007-03-15 Sold (Public Records) $139,500 Public Records
  • 1996-10-08 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,099 · +6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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