0 Tranquility Ln · Millville, DE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $476 – $884
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$87,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Buildable lot, existing mobile needs to be removed, septic needs to be replaced, newer well installed 2006, sold as-is where-is
Key facts
- 0.23 acre lot
- Parking
- Built 1981
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Lease not considered
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport (1 space)
- Utilities: Hot water provided by a 60+ gallon tank; Private well water; Gravity septic field; No municipal trash service
- Home design: Manufactured single-wide home; Fee simple ownership; Estimated year built
- Construction: Mixed construction materials
- Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; No tidal water on the lot; Other above-grade structures
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
- Interior features: Estimated living area; No basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath land listed at $87k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $937 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $87k).
- Cap rate 19.2% vs local median 2.4% in Millville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#49 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A, housing A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Indian River School District (rural): math 25% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #14 of 26 in DE (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 231 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4,354 units permitted in Sussex County in 2024 (344 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $601 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sussex County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 46.14%
- DSCR
- 3.05
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $279,074
- List price
- $87,000
- Delta
- -68.83%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 43.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.87×
- Total profit
- $45,589
- Equity at exit
- $12,972
- IRR
- 49.4%
- Equity multiple
- 5.79×
- Total profit
- $116,636
- Equity at exit
- $7,522
Cash invested: $24,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 70 Landlord-Friendly
- State Delaware
- 70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19970
- Home prices YoY
- -18.6%
- Active inventory
- 231
- Price-to-rent
- 3.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,947 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$456
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$109 /mo · $1,305/yr
- Insurance
- −$36
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$409
- Net cashflow
- $937
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,750
- Closing costs
- $2,610
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38307 Thistle Ln #36 Frankford, DE | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1000 | $1,800 | $1.80 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 35205 Tupelo Cir Frankford, DE | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1046 | $2,110 | $2.02 | 13d | 21 | 1.31mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-10status Pending 127-char remark
Show marketing remark (127 chars)
Buildable lot, existing mobile needs to be removed, septic needs to be replaced, newer well installed 2006, sold as-is where-is
-
2026-05-10status Pending 150-char remark
Show marketing remark (127 chars)
Buildable lot, existing mobile needs to be removed, septic needs to be replaced, newer well installed 2006, sold as-is where-is
-
2026-05-08$87,000 Active 127-char remark
Show marketing remark (127 chars)
Buildable lot, existing mobile needs to be removed, septic needs to be replaced, newer well installed 2006, sold as-is where-is
-
2026-05-08$87,000 Active 150-char remark
Show marketing remark (127 chars)
Buildable lot, existing mobile needs to be removed, septic needs to be replaced, newer well installed 2006, sold as-is where-is
-
2026-05-07historical $87,000 150-char remark
Show marketing remark (127 chars)
Buildable lot, existing mobile needs to be removed, septic needs to be replaced, newer well installed 2006, sold as-is where-is
-
2026-05-07historical $87,000 127-char remark
Show marketing remark (127 chars)
Buildable lot, existing mobile needs to be removed, septic needs to be replaced, newer well installed 2006, sold as-is where-is
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,361
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,873
- − Property taxes
- −$1,305
- − Insurance
- −$435
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,869
- − Management
- −$1,869
- − Depreciation
- −$2,531
- Taxable income
- $10,479
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,515
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,725/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This property requires moderate renovations, including siding repair and landscaping, to improve its curb appeal and overall value.
Repairs flagged
- Major siding — Significant wear and tear
- Minor vegetation — Overgrown bushes need trimming
Value-add opportunities
- Both landscaping — Improved curb appeal and increased property value
- Both siding repair — Enhances property appearance and value
- Both septic replacement — Ensures property is in compliance and reduces maintenance costs
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| siding · Significant wear and tear | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| vegetation · Overgrown bushes need trimming | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $15,500–53,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both landscaping — Improved curb appeal and increased property value ↑
- Both siding repair — Enhances property appearance and value ↑
- Both septic replacement — Ensures property is in compliance and reduces maintenance costs ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Indian River School District
- NCES district ID
- 1000680
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -27.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -17.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,838
- Composite
- 28.99/100
- National rank
- #6620
- State rank
- #14 of 26 in DE
Livability — Millville
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #49
- US rank
- #13839
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 2,093
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,265
Population outlook (Sussex County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 248,853 people
- By 2030
- 264,464 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 290,980 · +16.9%
- By 2050
- 311,259 · +25.1%
- By 2075
- 352,488 · +41.6%
- By 2100
- 367,406 · +47.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Serbian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sussex
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.0) · D 43.9% · R 54.9% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.6pp · 2024: -11.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.0 2020: R+11.2 2016: R+22.0 2012: R+13.0 2008: R+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -65.41%
- Current HPI
- 286.3503
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+0.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-10 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-10 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-08 Listed $87,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-08 Listed $87,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-07 Coming Soon $87,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-07 Coming Soon $87,000 BRIGHT MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…