4725 Joseph Ct #229 · Tampa, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
SHORT SALE - in highly desirable Habana Park Condominium Development across from St. Joseph's Hospital. Much desired 1st floor corner unit with lots of natural light streaming. Your two parking spaces are located just a few feet away. This is a 2/1, 950 sq. ft. unit. There is plenty of room for your clothes and other belongings in the huge walk-in closet in the master bedroom. Property needs new carpet, interior paint, stove and dishwasher. The community features 2 beautiful pools and picnic and grilling areas. Don't miss this exceptional buy in one of the most sought-after complexes in the area!
Key facts
- Two sparkling pools
- Overlooking the pool
- First floor
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type: Residential condominium; Zoning: RM-24
- Financial info: Total annual fees $4,236; Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: HOA: West Coast Management/Habana Park; Monthly condo/association fee of $353 (includes pool, structure maintenance, grounds maintenance, sewer, trash, water); Association approval required; Pets allowed with breed restrictions; Community clubhouse and sidewalks
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Cable available; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Condominium; Single-story; Facing west; Completed condition
- Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built on 1 level
- Exterior features: Sidewalk; In-ground private pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Walk-in closets
- Laundry & utility: Common area laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-64 ($-766/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $134k (7.8% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
- Recommended offer: $134k (7.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#142 in FL, #2,135 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime D+.
- Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.2%/yr); 210 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $44k; list at $145k implies a 230% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 22% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.89%
- DSCR
- 0.92
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -23.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.21×
- Total profit
- $-32,063
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- -37.4%
- Equity multiple
- -0.24×
- Total profit
- $-50,500
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33614
- Home prices YoY
- -21.7%
- Rents YoY
- -1.2%
- Active inventory
- 210
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,614 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$165 /mo · $1,984/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$353
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$339
- Net cashflow
- $-64
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $18 | -5% $-23 | +0% $-64 | +5% $-105 | +10% $-146 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-191 | -5% $-128 | +0% $-64 | +5% $0 | +10% $64 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $9 | -0.5pp $-27 | base $-64 | +0.5pp $-101 | +1.0pp $-140 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4725 Joseph Ct #234 Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,420 | $1.35 | 25d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 4610 N Armenia Ave Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 700 | $1,625 | $2.32 | 6d | 10 | 0.15mi |
| 4714 N Habana Ave Tampa, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 775 | $1,865 | $2.41 | 2d | 43 | 0.24mi |
| 4900 N Macdill Ave Tampa, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $1,685 | $2.08 | 2d | 13 | 0.42mi |
| 2507 W Virginia Ave Apt D Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 798 | $1,700 | $2.13 | 25d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 2507 W Virginia Ave Apt D Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 798 | $1,675 | $2.10 | 13d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 4902 N Macdill Ave Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 675 | $1,550 | $2.30 | 3d | 35 | 0.52mi |
| 2515 W Frierson Ave Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 775 | $1,650 | $2.13 | 25d | 10 | 0.56mi |
| 5505 N Habana Ave Tampa, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 660 | $1,800 | $2.73 | 0d | 4 | 0.70mi |
| 3350 W Hillsborough Ave Tampa, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 825 | $1,700 | $2.06 | 0d | 53 | 0.76mi |
| 4103 N Howard Ave Unit A Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 908 | $2,100 | $2.31 | 23d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 4515 N Rome Ave Tampa, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 862 | $1,568 | $1.82 | 2d | 59 | 0.80mi |
| 2711 W Heiter St Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 974 | $1,950 | $2.00 | 25d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 3301 W Woodlawn Ave #2 Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 670 | $1,800 | $2.69 | 25d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 4009 N Howard Ave Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 752 | $1,918 | $2.55 | 0d | 19 | 0.90mi |
| 5702 N Lincoln Ave Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,295 | $1.29 | 3d | 4 | 0.96mi |
| 5704 N Lincoln Ave Unit B Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,295 | $1.36 | 2d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 5706 N Lincoln Ave Unit C Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,295 | $1.36 | 2d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 5712 N Lincoln Ave Unit A Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,295 | $1.36 | 2d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 2511 W Braddock St Unit A Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,500 | $2.27 | 25d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 5718 N Lincoln Ave Apt C Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,295 | $1.36 | 2d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 5720 N Lincoln Ave Unit D Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,295 | $1.36 | 2d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3336 W Heiter St Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,795 | $2.79 | 25d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 4111 N Poplar Ave Tampa, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 800 | $1,725 | $2.16 | 0d | 22 | 1.06mi |
| 5505 N Himes Ave Tampa, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1092 | $1,655 | $1.51 | 4d | 8 | 1.08mi |
| 5611 N McKay Ave Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,795 | $1.97 | 23d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 5611 N McKay Ave Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,795 | $1.97 | 25d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2424 W Tampa Bay Blvd Unit I103 Tampa, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 846 | $1,750 | $2.07 | 25d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 5510 N Himes Ave Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 676 | $1,588 | $2.35 | 0d | 22 | 1.20mi |
| 6401 N Armenia Ave Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 785 | $1,449 | $1.85 | 12d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 6423 N Armenia Ave Tampa, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 692 | $1,449 | $2.09 | 0d | 4 | 1.30mi |
| 6409 N Armenia Ave Tampa, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,399 | $2.33 | 25d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 6425 N Armenia Ave Tampa, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,399 | $2.33 | 25d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 715 W Ohio Ave Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,923 | $1.83 | 15d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 6437 N Armenia Ave Tampa, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,399 | $2.33 | 25d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 6429 N Armenia Ave Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 785 | $1,449 | $1.85 | 25d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 3132 W Lambright St Tampa, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $1,300 | $2.03 | 15d | 2 | 1.38mi |
| 2705 W Columbus Dr Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $2,100 | $2.30 | 23d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 2705 W Columbus Dr Unit NA Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $2,100 | $2.30 | 21d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 5205 N Boulevard Tampa, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1175 | $1,854 | $1.58 | 4d | 17 | 1.40mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $353 · $4,236/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $145,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $145,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $145,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $145,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $145,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $145,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $145,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $145,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $145,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $145,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-04remarks 509-char remark
-
2026-06-04$145,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,984 · $165/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,984 · $165/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,371
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$1,984
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,550
- − Management
- −$1,550
- − HOA
- −$4,236
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable loss
- −$3,014
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$723
- After-tax cash flow
- $-43/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hillsborough
- NCES district ID
- 1200870
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,622
- Composite
- 41.6/100
- National rank
- #3435
- State rank
- #41 of 73 in FL
Livability — Tampa
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #142
- US rank
- #2135
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tampa, FL
- County
- Hillsborough County · 1,540,968 people
- City population
- 523,346
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,298
- Household income
- $50,232
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3363.0
Population outlook (Hillsborough County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,022 people
- By 2030
- 1,733,968 · +7.9%
- By 2040
- 1,979,565 · +23.2%
- By 2050
- 2,203,427 · +37.1%
- By 2075
- 2,667,893 · +66.0%
- By 2100
- 2,891,558 · +79.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 67% Two or more races 37% White 18% Black 9% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 14% Cuban 32% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 44% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 36% English-only · Spanish 58% Vietnamese 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hillsborough
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.9% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -3.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.1 2020: D+6.9 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+7.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -138.33%
- Current HPI
- 498.3567
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.24%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+369.3% since first listed23 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listed $145,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-04-30 Sold (Public Records) $44,000 Public Records
- 2015-04-24 Sold (MLS) $44,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-03-25 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-03-17 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-12-06 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-11-14 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-06-10 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-05-30 Price Changed $45,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-05-30 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-05-30 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-05-06 Listed $50,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-06-16 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 2009-06-12 Sold (MLS) $75,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-02-10 Listed $75,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-05-23 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-01-09 Listed $145,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-01-04 Sold (Public Records) $113,000 Public Records
- 2006-11-27 Sold (MLS) $113,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-09-12 Listed $119,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1989-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $35,500 Public Records
- 1983-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $34,200 Public Records
- 1980-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $30,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+17.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,984 · +6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…