Multi-family
137 Grove Dr · Ashtabula, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,700
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
3 bdrm 2 bath colonial home with a 1 bdrm suite, each having own address. OWNer pays water sewer and trash. Possible live in the the home and rent out the 1 bedroom suite. Bird leaving the nest? Heres an opportunity. . or just keep 1500 rental income . LOng term tenant in the home. 1 bedroom has had no lapses. Walking distance to downtown area.
Key facts
- 1 bdrm suite
- 5,227 sq ft lot
- Parking
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $146k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $792 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $146k).
- Recommended offer: $128k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 8.2% in Ashtabula — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#420 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Ashtabula Area City (town): math 24% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #588 of 656 in OH (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 162 active listings in the ZIP; 155 units permitted in Ashtabula County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,187/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ashtabula County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 321 days — a 12% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $10k; list at $146k implies a 1288% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1901 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 321 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1901 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.29%
- DSCR
- 2.04
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $94,383
- List price
- $145,700
- Delta
- 54.37%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 155 Riverside Dr | 0.04mi | 4/2.0 | 1,926 (+4%) | 15mo | $65,500 | $34 | 79 |
| 5105 Chestnut Ave | 0.31mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,072 (+12%) | 8mo | $140,000 | $68 | 55 |
| 516 W 46th St | 0.58mi | 4/3.0 | 2,030 (+9%) | 19mo | $150,000 | $74 | 38 |
| 863 W Prospect Cir | 0.72mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,085 (+12%) | 6mo | $130,000 | $62 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.66×
- Total profit
- $26,804
- Equity at exit
- $21,724
- IRR
- 24.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.16×
- Total profit
- $88,227
- Equity at exit
- $12,597
Cash invested: $40,796 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44004
- Home prices YoY
- -30.5%
- Active inventory
- 162
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,187 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$764
- Tax from tax record
- −$111 /mo · $1,335/yr
- Insurance
- −$61
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$459
- Net cashflow
- $792
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1× unit | 3 | 2 | $1,312 |
| 1× unit | 1 | 1 | $875 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,187 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,425
- Closing costs
- $4,371
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $145,700 Active 321 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $145,700 Active 320 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $145,700 Active 319 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $145,700 Active 318 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $145,700 Active 316 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $145,700 Active 315 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $145,700 Active 312 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $145,700 Active 311 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $145,700 Active 310 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $145,700 Active 309 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $145,700 Active 306 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $145,700 Active 305 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $145,700 Active 304 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $145,700 Active 303 DOM
-
2026-02-01status Active 351-char remark
Show marketing remark (351 chars)
3 bdrm 2 bath colonial home with a 1 bdrm suite, each having own address. OWNer pays water sewer and trash. Possible live in the the home and rent out the 1 bedroom suite. Bird leaving the nest? Heres an opportunity. . or just keep 1500 rental income . LOng term tenant in the home. 1 bedroom has had no lapses. Walking distance to downtown area.
-
2026-02-01price $145,700 351-char remark
Show marketing remark (351 chars)
3 bdrm 2 bath colonial home with a 1 bdrm suite, each having own address. OWNer pays water sewer and trash. Possible live in the the home and rent out the 1 bedroom suite. Bird leaving the nest? Heres an opportunity. . or just keep 1500 rental income . LOng term tenant in the home. 1 bedroom has had no lapses. Walking distance to downtown area.
-
2026-01-31historical 351-char remark
Show marketing remark (351 chars)
3 bdrm 2 bath colonial home with a 1 bdrm suite, each having own address. OWNer pays water sewer and trash. Possible live in the the home and rent out the 1 bedroom suite. Bird leaving the nest? Heres an opportunity. . or just keep 1500 rental income . LOng term tenant in the home. 1 bedroom has had no lapses. Walking distance to downtown area.
-
2025-07-31$149,700 Active 351-char remark
Show marketing remark (351 chars)
3 bdrm 2 bath colonial home with a 1 bdrm suite, each having own address. OWNer pays water sewer and trash. Possible live in the the home and rent out the 1 bedroom suite. Bird leaving the nest? Heres an opportunity. . or just keep 1500 rental income . LOng term tenant in the home. 1 bedroom has had no lapses. Walking distance to downtown area.
-
2017-09-15soldstatus $10,500 Sold 239-char remark
Show marketing remark (239 chars)
Multi-family building in Ashtabula, OH for sale. This 4 bed, 2 bath home could make a great investment. It will need work and repairs before move in ready. Property is located off Main St. There is a sidewalk to walking and all amenities.
-
2017-08-30status Pending 239-char remark
Show marketing remark (239 chars)
Multi-family building in Ashtabula, OH for sale. This 4 bed, 2 bath home could make a great investment. It will need work and repairs before move in ready. Property is located off Main St. There is a sidewalk to walking and all amenities.
-
2017-08-22price $9,900 239-char remark
Show marketing remark (239 chars)
Multi-family building in Ashtabula, OH for sale. This 4 bed, 2 bath home could make a great investment. It will need work and repairs before move in ready. Property is located off Main St. There is a sidewalk to walking and all amenities.
-
2017-07-27$12,500 Active 239-char remark
Show marketing remark (239 chars)
Multi-family building in Ashtabula, OH for sale. This 4 bed, 2 bath home could make a great investment. It will need work and repairs before move in ready. Property is located off Main St. There is a sidewalk to walking and all amenities.
-
2017-06-23historical
-
2017-06-19status Active
-
2017-05-25status Pending
-
2017-05-19status Active
-
2017-05-09status Pending
-
2017-05-04price $13,900
-
2017-04-04$15,900 Active
-
1992-05-14soldstatus $24,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,335 · $111/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,804 · $150/mo
- Expected delta
- +$469/yr (+$39/mo · 35.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,244
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,161
- − Property taxes
- −$1,335
- − Insurance
- −$728
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,100
- − Management
- −$2,100
- − Depreciation
- −$4,239
- Taxable income
- $7,581
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,820
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,681/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ashtabula Area City
- NCES district ID
- 3904351
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -27.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,812
- Composite
- 24.3/100
- National rank
- #7712
- State rank
- #588 of 656 in OH
Livability — Ashtabula
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #420
- US rank
- #6883
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ashtabula, OH
- County
- Ashtabula · 97,617 people
- City population
- 31,076
- Metro
- Cleveland, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,076
- Household income
- $49,507
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 14.1
Population outlook (Ashtabula County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 92,950 people
- By 2030
- 89,146 · -4.1%
- By 2040
- 80,715 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 72,270 · -22.2%
- By 2075
- 55,780 · -40.0%
- By 2100
- 40,928 · -56.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7% Black 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Iranian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Ashtabula
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.4% · R 63.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -41.9pp toward R · 2008: 13.5pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+23.5 2016: R+19.0 2012: D+12.1 2008: D+13.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -114.51%
- Current HPI
- 260.7146
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+507.1% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-01 Relisted — MLSNOW
- 2026-02-01 Price Changed $145,700 MLSNOW
- 2026-01-31 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2025-07-31 Listed $149,700 MLSNOW
- 2017-09-15 Sold (MLS) $10,500 MLSNOW
- 2017-08-30 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2017-08-22 Price Changed $9,900 MLSNOW
- 2017-07-27 Listed $12,500 MLSNOW
- 2017-06-23 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2017-06-19 Relisted — MLSNOW
- 2017-05-25 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2017-05-19 Relisted — MLSNOW
- 2017-05-09 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2017-05-04 Price Changed $13,900 MLSNOW
- 2017-04-04 Listed $15,900 MLSNOW
- 1992-05-14 Sold (Public Records) $24,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,335 · -0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…