33758 N Roadrunner Ln · San Tan Valley, AZ 85144

$350,000

3 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,010 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 112 Days on market

Built 2004 5,122 sqft lot $174/sqft · 12% below area Est $400k · 12% under $92/mo HOA · 4% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +13.1/15.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• Cash flow +6.9/30.0
• Livability +2.7/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.8/10.0
• DSCR +1.2/10.0
• 1% rule +1.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

FREE SOLAR! PRICED TO SELL! Sellers will pay off solar at close of escrow with full price clean offer. Lovely home with a great San Tan Heights location* Private lot with no neighbors behind you*Home backs to a well landscaped green belt and close to a huge neighborhood park with acres of grass and trees & with wonderful mountain views! Community pool! Kitchen features stainless steel appliances with smooth top stove. Split bedroom floor plan with master bedroom separated from additional bedrooms by a spacious loft. Private en suite full bathroom and walk in closet at master bedroom. Carpet freshly cleaned and some rooms newly painted at time of listing. Great space in the backyard for your gardening, playground, pool, or entertaining. A/C approx 5 years old.

Key facts

• Private lot
• Community pool
• 5,122 sq ft lot

Tags

• PRIVATE LOT
• WELL LANDSCAPED GREEN BELT
• HUGE NEIGHBORHOOD PARK
• COMMUNITY POOL
• STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES
• SPLIT BEDROOM FLOOR PLAN

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $350k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-522 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $258k (26.3% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $210k (40.1% below list).
• Recommended offer: $210k (40.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 4.5% vs local median 3.2% in San Tan Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 54/100 on livability (#282 in AZ) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, employment B+; Watch: crime D+, schools D, amenities F.
• Florence Unified School District (4437) (rural): math 16% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #178 of 249 in AZ (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Market conditions: 489 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,504 units permitted in Pinal County in 2024 (776 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $37k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $35k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$60k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($318k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 8 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $200k; list at $350k implies a 75% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $209,608 (40.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 40% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.60% ✗
• Cap rate: 4.50%
• Cash-on-cash: -6.39%
• DSCR: 0.72
• GRM: 13.9

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $399,864
• List price: $350,000
• Delta: -12.47%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
33421 N Bowles Dr	0.43mi	3/2.0	1,871 (-7%)	1mo	$372,500	$199	66
4390 W Kirkland Ave	0.71mi	3/2.5	1,973 (-2%)	1mo	$365,000	$185	63
33915 N Blue Curl Ln	0.62mi	4/3.0 (+1)	2,026 (+1%)	0mo	$435,000	$215	63
4448 W Stickleaf Way	0.69mi	4/3.0 (+1)	2,007 (-0%)	0mo	$450,000	$224	61
2330 W Hayden Peak Dr	0.73mi	4/2.5 (+1)	2,011 (0%)	0mo	$338,000	$168	60
3469 W Goldmine Mountain Cv	0.64mi	3/2.0	1,864 (-7%)	0mo	$399,900	$215	56
4071 W White Canyon Rd	0.69mi	4/2.5 (+1)	1,913 (-5%)	1mo	$389,000	$203	54
4164 W Suncup Dr	0.56mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,819 (-10%)	1mo	$567,000	$312	50
4456 W Pelotazo Way	0.71mi	4/3.0 (+1)	2,123 (+6%)	1mo	$435,000	$205	50
3343 W Mary Dr	0.73mi	3/2.5	1,808 (-10%)	1mo	$482,926	$267	48
33656 N Windmill Run	0.65mi	3/2.5	2,280 (+13%)	0mo	$440,000	$193	47
34942 N Hawley Dr	0.70mi	3/2.0	1,784 (-11%)	1mo	$452,813	$254	46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 19.7%
• Equity multiple: 2.60×
• Total profit: $157,287
• Equity at exit: $315,308

10-year hold

• IRR: 18.1%
• Equity multiple: 5.99×
• Total profit: $489,072
• Equity at exit: $679,973

Cash invested: $98,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Arizona: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 85144

• Home prices YoY: 7.2%
• Active inventory: 489
• Price-to-rent: 13.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,096 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,835
• Tax from tax record: −$104 /mo · $1,250/yr
• Insurance: −$146
• HOA: −$92
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$440
• Net cashflow: $-522

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,756

Max offer price $257,871

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-323	-5% $-422	+0% $-522	+5% $-621	+10% $-720
Rent	-10% $-687	-5% $-604	+0% $-522	+5% $-439	+10% $-356
Rate	-1.0pp $-345	-0.5pp $-433	base $-522	+0.5pp $-612	+1.0pp $-704

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $87,500
• Closing costs: $10,500
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
33993 N Danja Dr San Tan Valley, AZ	3.0	2.0	1998	$2,450	$1.23	45d	1	0.08mi
3369 W Yellow Peak Dr San Tan Valley, AZ	4.0	2.5	2617	$2,715	$1.04	0d	1	0.13mi
33889 N Barbara Dr San Tan Valley, AZ	4.0	2.0	1868	$1,975	$1.06	7d	1	0.14mi
3194 W Yellow Peak Dr San Tan Valley, AZ	4.0	2.0	1925	$1,908	$0.99	45d	1	0.14mi
3102 W Belle Ave San Tan Valley, AZ	4.0	2.0	1909	$1,900	$1.00	14d	1	0.16mi
3102 W Belle Ave San Tan Valley, AZ	4.0	2.0	1909	$1,900	$1.00	16d	1	0.16mi
3047 W Dancer Ln San Tan Valley, AZ	3.0	2.0	1454	$1,915	$1.32	45d	1	0.20mi
3569 W Morgan Ln San Tan Valley, AZ	4.0	2.0	1700	$1,550	$0.91	26d	1	0.24mi
34113 N Alison Dr San Tan Valley, AZ	4.0	3.0	2423	$2,089	$0.86	4d	1	0.24mi
33897 N Wash View Rd San Tan Valley, AZ	3.0	2.0	1721	$1,980	$1.15	4d	1	0.26mi
3792 W Santa Cruz Ave San Tan Valley, AZ	4.0	2.0	1852	$1,795	$0.97	45d	1	0.28mi
33856 N Cherry Creek Rd San Tan Valley, AZ	3.0	2.0	1928	$1,850	$0.96	45d	1	0.29mi
3854 W Carlos Ln San Tan Valley, AZ	3.0	2.0	1527	$1,775	$1.16	0d	1	0.31mi
33810 N Mercedes Dr San Tan Valley, AZ	4.0	2.0	1504	$1,925	$1.28	45d	1	0.34mi
3877 W Naomi Ln San Tan Valley, AZ	4.0	2.5	2010	$1,850	$0.92	7d	1	0.36mi
3846 W Morgan Ln San Tan Valley, AZ	3.0	3.0	2422	$1,949	$0.80	26d	1	0.38mi
2924 W Allens Peak Dr San Tan Valley, AZ	3.0	2.0	1765	$1,860	$1.05	0d	1	0.42mi
2924 W Allens Peak Dr San Tan Valley, AZ	3.0	2.0	1765	$1,955	$1.11	12d	1	0.42mi
3162 W Sunshine Butte Dr San Tan Valley, AZ	4.0	2.0	1600	$1,850	$1.16	23d	1	0.43mi
2828 Patagonia Ct Queen Creek, AZ	3.0	2.5	2230	$2,500	$1.12	45d	1	0.46mi
2699 W Camp River Rd San Tan Valley, AZ	3.0	2.0	1766	$1,975	$1.12	45d	1	0.47mi
3560 W Mesquite Ave San Tan Valley, AZ	3.0	2.0	1453	$1,750	$1.20	13d	1	0.51mi
3541 Dreamy Draw Dr Queen Creek, AZ	4.0	2.5	1918	$2,700	$1.41	26d	1	0.53mi
3439 W Oil Well Rd San Tan Valley, AZ	3.0	2.0	1595	$2,500	$1.57	45d	1	0.53mi
33024 N Madison Way Dr San Tan Valley, AZ	3.0	2.0	1500	$1,700	$1.13	16d	1	0.54mi
4251 W Dayflower Dr San Tan Valley, AZ	4.0	3.0	2563	$2,490	$0.97	7d	1	0.57mi
33412 N Windmill Run San Tan Valley, AZ	3.0	2.5	2764	$2,595	$0.94	7d	1	0.59mi
2899 W White Canyon Rd San Tan Valley, AZ	3.0	2.0	1981	$1,950	$0.98	4d	1	0.67mi
34437 N Picket Post Dr San Tan Valley, AZ	4.0	3.0	1507	$1,650	$1.09	45d	1	0.68mi
3849 W South Butte Rd San Tan Valley, AZ	4.0	2.0	1884	$1,846	$0.98	45d	1	0.69mi
4504 W Stonecrop Dr San Tan Valley, AZ	4.0	2.0	1810	$2,075	$1.15	7d	1	0.73mi
2460 W Tanner Ranch Rd San Tan Valley, AZ	4.0	2.0	1520	$1,980	$1.30	3d	1	0.74mi
34973 N Augite Way San Tan Valley, AZ	4.0	2.5	2614	$4,350	$1.66	0d	1	0.75mi
35032 N Barrel Rd San Tan Valley, AZ	3.0	2.5	2213	$3,900	$1.76	0d	1	0.75mi
2822 W Blue River Dr San Tan Valley, AZ	3.0	2.0	1609	$2,395	$1.49	45d	1	0.78mi
4590 W Foldwing DR Queen Creek, AZ	4.0	2.0	1806	$2,449	$1.36	4d	1	0.83mi
33053 N North Butte Dr San Tan Valley, AZ	4.0	2.0	1520	$1,985	$1.31	5d	1	0.84mi
33082 N Cat Hills Ave San Tan Valley, AZ	3.0	2.0	1703	$1,695	$1.00	7d	1	0.87mi
33082 N Cat Hills Ave San Tan Valley, AZ	3.0	2.0	1704	$1,795	$1.05	20d	1	0.87mi
2049 W Gold Mine Way San Tan Valley, AZ	4.0	2.0	1585	$2,085	$1.32	7d	1	0.92mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $92 · $1,104/yr
• Likely covers: pool

Listing history 42 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $350,000 Active 112 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $350,000 Active 109 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $350,000 Active 108 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $350,000 Active 107 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $350,000 Active 106 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $350,000 Active 104 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $350,000 Active 103 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $350,000 Active 100 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $350,000 Active 99 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $350,000 Active 98 DOM
11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $350,000 Active 95 DOM
12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $350,000 Active 94 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $350,000 Active 93 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $350,000 Active 92 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $350,000 Active 91 DOM
16. 2026-05-12
    price $350,000 778-char remark

    Show marketing remark (778 chars)

    FREE SOLAR! PRICED TO SELL! Sellers will pay off solar at close of escrow with full price clean offer. Lovely home with a great San Tan Heights location* Private lot with no neighbors behind you*Home backs to a well landscaped green belt and close to a huge neighborhood park with acres of grass and trees & with wonderful mountain views! Community pool! Kitchen features stainless steel appliances with smooth top stove. Split bedroom floor plan with master bedroom separated from additional bedrooms by a spacious loft. Private en suite full bathroom and walk in closet at master bedroom. Carpet freshly cleaned and some rooms newly painted at time of listing. Great space in the backyard for your gardening, playground, pool, or entertaining. A/C approx 5 years old.

17. 2026-04-07
    price $360,000 778-char remark

    Show marketing remark (778 chars)

    FREE SOLAR! PRICED TO SELL! Sellers will pay off solar at close of escrow with full price clean offer. Lovely home with a great San Tan Heights location* Private lot with no neighbors behind you*Home backs to a well landscaped green belt and close to a huge neighborhood park with acres of grass and trees & with wonderful mountain views! Community pool! Kitchen features stainless steel appliances with smooth top stove. Split bedroom floor plan with master bedroom separated from additional bedrooms by a spacious loft. Private en suite full bathroom and walk in closet at master bedroom. Carpet freshly cleaned and some rooms newly painted at time of listing. Great space in the backyard for your gardening, playground, pool, or entertaining. A/C approx 5 years old.

18. 2026-03-15
    price $380,000 778-char remark

    Show marketing remark (778 chars)

    FREE SOLAR! PRICED TO SELL! Sellers will pay off solar at close of escrow with full price clean offer. Lovely home with a great San Tan Heights location* Private lot with no neighbors behind you*Home backs to a well landscaped green belt and close to a huge neighborhood park with acres of grass and trees & with wonderful mountain views! Community pool! Kitchen features stainless steel appliances with smooth top stove. Split bedroom floor plan with master bedroom separated from additional bedrooms by a spacious loft. Private en suite full bathroom and walk in closet at master bedroom. Carpet freshly cleaned and some rooms newly painted at time of listing. Great space in the backyard for your gardening, playground, pool, or entertaining. A/C approx 5 years old.

19. 2026-02-28
    listed $400,000 Active 778-char remark

    Show marketing remark (778 chars)

    FREE SOLAR! PRICED TO SELL! Sellers will pay off solar at close of escrow with full price clean offer. Lovely home with a great San Tan Heights location* Private lot with no neighbors behind you*Home backs to a well landscaped green belt and close to a huge neighborhood park with acres of grass and trees & with wonderful mountain views! Community pool! Kitchen features stainless steel appliances with smooth top stove. Split bedroom floor plan with master bedroom separated from additional bedrooms by a spacious loft. Private en suite full bathroom and walk in closet at master bedroom. Carpet freshly cleaned and some rooms newly painted at time of listing. Great space in the backyard for your gardening, playground, pool, or entertaining. A/C approx 5 years old.

20. 2019-02-28
    soldstatus $199,900 Closed 787-char remark

    Show marketing remark (787 chars)

    Spacious and open 2 story home with a great San Tan Heights location* Private lot with no neighbors behind you*Home backs to a well landscaped green belt and then a huge neighborhood park with acres of grass and trees & with wonderful mountain views*Home features a large eat in kitchen that opens to the great room on the main level and a huge open loft upstairs*Also upstairs is the master bedroom suite in the back of the home and 2 good sized bedrooms facing the front of the home with the multi purpose open loft in between the bedrooms.*Nice low maintenance desert landscaping in the front yard and a big back yard waiting for you to design as you like*This is the lowest priced model like it in all of San Tan Heights and it is ready for immediate occupancy*Very easy to show*

21. 2019-02-28
    soldstatus $199,900

    Show marketing remark (787 chars)

    Spacious and open 2 story home with a great San Tan Heights location* Private lot with no neighbors behind you*Home backs to a well landscaped green belt and then a huge neighborhood park with acres of grass and trees & with wonderful mountain views*Home features a large eat in kitchen that opens to the great room on the main level and a huge open loft upstairs*Also upstairs is the master bedroom suite in the back of the home and 2 good sized bedrooms facing the front of the home with the multi purpose open loft in between the bedrooms.*Nice low maintenance desert landscaping in the front yard and a big back yard waiting for you to design as you like*This is the lowest priced model like it in all of San Tan Heights and it is ready for immediate occupancy*Very easy to show*

22. 2019-02-01
    historical Under Contract Accepting Backups 787-char remark

    Show marketing remark (787 chars)

    Spacious and open 2 story home with a great San Tan Heights location* Private lot with no neighbors behind you*Home backs to a well landscaped green belt and then a huge neighborhood park with acres of grass and trees & with wonderful mountain views*Home features a large eat in kitchen that opens to the great room on the main level and a huge open loft upstairs*Also upstairs is the master bedroom suite in the back of the home and 2 good sized bedrooms facing the front of the home with the multi purpose open loft in between the bedrooms.*Nice low maintenance desert landscaping in the front yard and a big back yard waiting for you to design as you like*This is the lowest priced model like it in all of San Tan Heights and it is ready for immediate occupancy*Very easy to show*

23. 2019-01-27
    price $199,900 787-char remark

    Show marketing remark (787 chars)

    Spacious and open 2 story home with a great San Tan Heights location* Private lot with no neighbors behind you*Home backs to a well landscaped green belt and then a huge neighborhood park with acres of grass and trees & with wonderful mountain views*Home features a large eat in kitchen that opens to the great room on the main level and a huge open loft upstairs*Also upstairs is the master bedroom suite in the back of the home and 2 good sized bedrooms facing the front of the home with the multi purpose open loft in between the bedrooms.*Nice low maintenance desert landscaping in the front yard and a big back yard waiting for you to design as you like*This is the lowest priced model like it in all of San Tan Heights and it is ready for immediate occupancy*Very easy to show*

24. 2019-01-23
    status Active 787-char remark

    Show marketing remark (787 chars)

    Spacious and open 2 story home with a great San Tan Heights location* Private lot with no neighbors behind you*Home backs to a well landscaped green belt and then a huge neighborhood park with acres of grass and trees & with wonderful mountain views*Home features a large eat in kitchen that opens to the great room on the main level and a huge open loft upstairs*Also upstairs is the master bedroom suite in the back of the home and 2 good sized bedrooms facing the front of the home with the multi purpose open loft in between the bedrooms.*Nice low maintenance desert landscaping in the front yard and a big back yard waiting for you to design as you like*This is the lowest priced model like it in all of San Tan Heights and it is ready for immediate occupancy*Very easy to show*

25. 2019-01-16
    historical 787-char remark

    Show marketing remark (787 chars)

    Spacious and open 2 story home with a great San Tan Heights location* Private lot with no neighbors behind you*Home backs to a well landscaped green belt and then a huge neighborhood park with acres of grass and trees & with wonderful mountain views*Home features a large eat in kitchen that opens to the great room on the main level and a huge open loft upstairs*Also upstairs is the master bedroom suite in the back of the home and 2 good sized bedrooms facing the front of the home with the multi purpose open loft in between the bedrooms.*Nice low maintenance desert landscaping in the front yard and a big back yard waiting for you to design as you like*This is the lowest priced model like it in all of San Tan Heights and it is ready for immediate occupancy*Very easy to show*

26. 2018-10-26
    listed $204,900 Active 787-char remark

    Show marketing remark (787 chars)

    Spacious and open 2 story home with a great San Tan Heights location* Private lot with no neighbors behind you*Home backs to a well landscaped green belt and then a huge neighborhood park with acres of grass and trees & with wonderful mountain views*Home features a large eat in kitchen that opens to the great room on the main level and a huge open loft upstairs*Also upstairs is the master bedroom suite in the back of the home and 2 good sized bedrooms facing the front of the home with the multi purpose open loft in between the bedrooms.*Nice low maintenance desert landscaping in the front yard and a big back yard waiting for you to design as you like*This is the lowest priced model like it in all of San Tan Heights and it is ready for immediate occupancy*Very easy to show*

27. 2011-12-12
    historical
28. 2011-12-02
    price $104,850
29. 2011-11-28
    price $104,900
30. 2011-11-02
    listed $107,900 Active
31. 2010-11-02
    historical
32. 2010-09-01
    price $108,900
33. 2010-08-05
    price $111,000
34. 2010-07-17
    listed $116,000 Active
35. 2010-04-30
    soldstatus $82,200 Closed
36. 2010-04-06
    status Pending
37. 2009-11-06
    listed $85,500 Active
38. 2008-09-05
    historical
39. 2008-07-13
    listed $170,000
40. 2007-11-16
    soldstatus $139,500
41. 2007-10-25
    historical
42. 2007-08-06
    listed $139,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,250 · $104/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,310 · $192/mo
• Expected delta: +$1,060/yr (+$88/mo · 84.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $25,153
• − Mortgage interest: −$19,605
• − Property taxes: −$1,250
• − Insurance: −$1,750
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,012
• − Management: −$2,012
• − HOA: −$1,104
• − Depreciation: −$10,182
• Taxable loss: −$12,763
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$3,063
• After-tax cash flow: $-3,195/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Florence Unified School District (4437)
• NCES district ID: 0402920
• Math proficiency: 16% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 24% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $54,426
• Composite: 18.31/100
• National rank: #8950
• State rank: #178 of 249 in AZ

Livability — San Tan Valley

• Score: 54/100
• State rank: #282
• US rank: #24192

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime D+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: San Tan Valley, AZ

Population outlook (Pinal County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 437,574 people
• By 2030: 446,903 · +2.1%
• By 2040: 452,589 · +3.4%
• By 2050: 444,126 · +1.5%
• By 2075: 430,300 · -1.7%
• By 2100: 393,536 · -10.1%

Not yet ingested

• Political lean: —
• Race & ethnicity: —
• Common origin: —
• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 24.94%
• Current HPI: 372.52
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.54%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology	2	$13B
▸Mining / Metals	1	$23B
▸Environmental Services	1	$16B
▸Metals / Steel	1	$14B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$9B
▸Homebuilding	1	$8B

Price history

+150.9% since first listed

27 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-12 Price Changed $350,000 ARMLS
• 2026-04-07 Price Changed $360,000 ARMLS
• 2026-03-15 Price Changed $380,000 ARMLS
• 2026-02-28 Listed $400,000 ARMLS
• 2019-02-28 Sold (Public Records) $199,900 Public Records
• 2019-02-28 Sold (MLS) $199,900 ARMLS
• 2019-02-01 Contingent — ARMLS
• 2019-01-27 Price Changed $199,900 ARMLS
• 2019-01-23 Relisted — ARMLS
• 2019-01-16 Listing Removed — ARMLS
• 2018-10-26 Listed $204,900 ARMLS
• 2011-12-12 Listing Removed — ARMLS
• 2011-12-02 Price Changed $104,850 ARMLS
• 2011-11-28 Price Changed $104,900 ARMLS
• 2011-11-02 Listed $107,900 ARMLS
• 2010-11-02 Listing Removed — ARMLS
• 2010-09-01 Price Changed $108,900 ARMLS
• 2010-08-05 Price Changed $111,000 ARMLS
• 2010-07-17 Listed $116,000 ARMLS
• 2010-04-30 Sold (MLS) $82,200 ARMLS
• 2010-04-06 Pending — ARMLS
• 2009-11-06 Listed $85,500 ARMLS
• 2008-09-05 Listing Removed — ARMLS
• 2008-07-13 Listed $170,000 ARMLS
• 2007-11-16 Sold (MLS) $139,500 ARMLS
• 2007-10-25 Listing Removed — ARMLS
• 2007-08-06 Listed $139,500 ARMLS

Property tax history

-0.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,250 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.