35 Compass Pt · Gibson, AR
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.69%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 7.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$42,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
CUTE 3 BEDROOM 1 BATH INVESTOR HOME. QUIET RURAL NEIGHBORHOOD
Key facts
- 4,356 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1989
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual taxes approximately $500
Exterior
- Parking: Parking pad for 1 car
- Utilities: Public water; Electric from cooperative; Natural gas
- Home design: Single-family property; Approximately 1,000 square feet; Approximately 0.1 acre lot (per tax records)
- Construction: Slab/crawl combination foundation
- Exterior features: Metal/vinyl siding; 3-tab shingle roof; Paved road access; Sloped, rural lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range; Refrigerator stays
- Flooring: Wood; Concrete; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central gas heat; Central cooling
- Interior features: Wood, concrete, and laminate floors; Formal living room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $42k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $730 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $42k).
- Recommended offer: $41k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 27.2% vs local median 6.0% in Gibson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#165 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Pulaski County Spec. School District (rural): math 27% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #150 of 238 in AR (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 248 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,006 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $290 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pulaski County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($41k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $18k (30%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 27.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 74.53%
- DSCR
- 4.32
- GRM
- 2.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $114,103
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 Compass Point St | 0.01mi | 3/1.0 | 943 (0%) | 9mo | $65,000 | $69 | 92 |
| 35 Compass Pt | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (+6%) | 1mo | $41,000 | $41 | 89 |
| 28 Compass Point St | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 | 943 (0%) | 23mo | $114,900 | $122 | 78 |
| 12 Waterfront Dr | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 | 1,012 (+7%) | 17mo | $120,500 | $119 | 67 |
| 47 Aloha Cir | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 988 (+5%) | 9mo | $120,000 | $121 | 67 |
| 55 Aloha Cir | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 998 (+6%) | 6mo | $130,000 | $130 | 66 |
| 4 Wiki Wiki Dr | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 988 (+5%) | 20mo | $149,000 | $151 | 63 |
| 2116 Koko Dr | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 | 1,012 (+7%) | 13mo | $132,500 | $131 | 61 |
| 10015 Jacksonville Cato Rd | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 | 1,025 (+9%) | 12mo | $70,000 | $68 | 53 |
| 22 Aloha | 0.34mi | 3/1.5 | 1,080 (+14%) | 14mo | $117,500 | $109 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.81% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 76.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.58×
- Total profit
- $42,085
- Equity at exit
- $6,262
- IRR
- 80.5%
- Equity multiple
- 10.07×
- Total profit
- $106,636
- Equity at exit
- $3,631
Cash invested: $11,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72120
- Rents YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 248
- Price-to-rent
- 2.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,273 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$220
- Tax from tax record
- −$37 /mo · $446/yr
- Insurance
- −$18
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$267
- Net cashflow
- $730
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $754 | -5% $742 | +0% $730 | +5% $719 | +10% $707 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $630 | -5% $680 | +0% $730 | +5% $781 | +10% $831 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $752 | -0.5pp $741 | base $730 | +0.5pp $720 | +1.0pp $708 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $10,500
- Closing costs
- $1,260
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10204 Bamboo Ln Lot 7 Sherwood, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 810 | $1,100 | $1.36 | 15d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 10204 Bamboo Ln Unit 2 Sherwood, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 540 | $800 | $1.48 | 45d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 10204 Bamboo Ln Unit 4 Sherwood, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 810 | $995 | $1.23 | 15d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 67 Aloha Cir Unit A Sherwood, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $995 | $1.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 21 Brookway Ln Sherwood, AR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1024 | $1,195 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 1.18mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-05statusdays on market $42,000 Under Contract 48 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $42,000 Take Backups 47 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $42,000 Take Backups 46 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $42,000 Take Backups 45 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $42,000 Take Backups 44 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $42,000 Take Backups 43 DOM
-
2026-05-21historical Take Backups
-
2026-05-21price $42,000
-
2026-05-20status Price Change
-
2026-04-21historical Take Backups
-
2026-04-09$60,000 New Listing
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $446 · $37/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $446 · $37/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 69% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,271
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,353
- − Property taxes
- −$446
- − Insurance
- −$210
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,222
- − Management
- −$1,222
- − Depreciation
- −$1,222
- Taxable income
- $8,597
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,063
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,702/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pulaski County Spec. School District
- NCES district ID
- 0511850
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,218
- Composite
- 25.67/100
- National rank
- #7394
- State rank
- #150 of 238 in AR
Livability — Gibson
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #165
- US rank
- #13982
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gibson, AR
- County
- Pulaski County · 372,764 people
- City population
- 33,393
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,365
- Household income
- $76,598
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 774.0
Population outlook (Pulaski County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,378 people
- By 2030
- 423,720 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 435,182 · +4.8%
- By 2050
- 440,904 · +6.1%
- By 2075
- 445,521 · +7.3%
- By 2100
- 419,173 · +0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Black 26% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pulaski
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.1) · D 59.8% · R 37.7% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +10.6pp toward D · 2008: 11.6pp · 2024: 22.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.1 2020: D+22.5 2016: D+17.9 2012: D+11.4 2008: D+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -134.93%
- Current HPI
- 198.9456
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.81%
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
-30.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Contingent — CARMLS
- 2026-05-21 Price Changed $42,000 CARMLS
- 2026-05-20 Relisted — CARMLS
- 2026-04-21 Contingent — CARMLS
- 2026-04-09 Listed $60,000 CARMLS
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $446 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…