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3435 Cherry Dr
B Composite 74.96
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0

$49,900

3435 Cherry Dr · Beaumont, TX 77703
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,180 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 39 Days on market
Built 1962 $42/sqft · 56% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investors special. There's nothing a little creative vision can't fix. This house is located on a great lot in an established neighborhood. A little TLC can help turn this house into a perfect home! Property is being sold "AS-IS".

Key facts

  • Listed 38 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residential home
  • Construction: Frame construction; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Composition roof; Public-maintained road access

Interior

  • Interior features: One full bathroom

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $415 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.9% vs local median 5.3% in Beaumont — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#739 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, crime F.
  • Beaumont ISD (urban): math 14% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #789 of 826 in TX (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 80 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 343 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($32k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($345 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (5.4% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (5.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.6% of price; flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $48,403 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.31%
Cap rate
17.86%
Cash-on-cash
41.32%
DSCR
2.84
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$113,402
List price
$49,900
Delta
-56.00%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2490 Overbrook Ln 0.49mi 2/1.0 1,170 (-1%) 9mo $79,000 $68 68
4335 Dallas St 0.54mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,200 (+2%) 4mo $55,000 $46 64
4295 Harding Dr 0.45mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,190 (+1%) 18mo $69,000 $58 57
4045 Dallas Ave 0.43mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,083 (-8%) 16mo $49,999 $46 48
2255 Earl St 0.63mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,240 (+5%) 20mo $155,000 $125 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.43% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
45.0%
Equity multiple
3.81×
Total profit
$39,273
Equity at exit
$29,606
10-year hold
IRR
42.6%
Equity multiple
7.84×
Total profit
$95,555
Equity at exit
$52,230

Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77703

Home prices YoY
3.7%
Active inventory
80
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,154 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax from tax record
$148 /mo · $1,773/yr
Insurance
$21
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$242
Net cashflow
$415

Break-even live

Break-even rent $629
Max offer price $49,900
Occupancy floor 59%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $443 -5% $429 +0% $415 +5% $401 +10% $386
Rent -10% $324 -5% $369 +0% $415 +5% $460 +10% $506
Rate -1.0pp $440 -0.5pp $427 base $415 +0.5pp $402 +1.0pp $389

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,475
Closing costs
$1,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 32 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2575 Primrose St Unit 3 Beaumont, TX 2.0 1.0 800 $900 $1.12 24d 1 0.35mi
4325 Woodlawn St Beaumont, TX 2.0 1.0 1150 $1,000 $0.87 15d 1 0.46mi
2450 N Lynwood Dr Beaumont, TX 3.0 1.0 1015 $1,175 $1.16 24d 1 0.64mi
3155 French Rd Beaumont, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 905 $917 $1.01 15d 9 0.65mi
2555 Pierce St Beaumont, TX 3.0 2.0 1364 $1,450 $1.06 24d 1 0.69mi
2550 Pierce St Beaumont, TX 2.0 1.0 1044 $1,050 $1.01 45d 1 0.71mi
2530 Pierce St Beaumont, TX 2.0 1.0 950 $1,000 $1.05 45d 1 0.72mi
2125 Earl St Beaumont, TX 2.0 1.0 785 $900 $1.15 24d 1 0.72mi
2125 Earl St Beaumont, TX 2.0 1.0 785 $995 $1.27 45d 1 0.72mi
2995 Wier Dr Beaumont, TX 3.0 2.0 1446 $1,800 $1.24 15d 1 0.75mi
2270 Johnson St Beaumont, TX 2.0 1.0 700 $800 $1.14 24d 1 0.80mi
4565 Detroit St Beaumont, TX 2.0 1.0 880 $995 $1.13 45d 1 0.80mi
3825 Hyde Park Row Beaumont, TX 3.0 2.0 1271 $1,550 $1.22 45d 1 0.83mi
2023 Delaware St Beaumont, TX 3.0 1.0 1180 $1,300 $1.10 45d 1 0.86mi
2420 Wilson St Beaumont, TX 2.0 1.0 840 $1,200 $1.43 45d 1 0.87mi
3910 Baldwin St Beaumont, TX 3.0 1.0 1220 $1,200 $0.98 24d 1 0.88mi
2570 Sweetgum Ln Beaumont, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 876 $1,599 $1.82 15d 15 0.91mi
2020 Cottonwood St Beaumont, TX 2.0–4.0 1.0 928 $1,123 $1.21 15d 9 1.03mi
5070 Wilshire St Beaumont, TX 2.0 1.0 1042 $1,295 $1.24 15d 1 1.13mi
5080 Helbig Rd Beaumont, TX 2.0–3.0 1.0 775 $450 $0.58 15d 1 1.14mi
4162 Treadway Rd Beaumont, TX 1.0 1.0 722 $975 $1.35 45d 1 1.19mi
4162 Treadway Rd #12 Beaumont, TX 1.0 1.0 722 $950 $1.32 24d 1 1.19mi
4162 Treadway Rd Beaumont, TX 1.0 1.0 722 $975 $1.35 24d 1 1.19mi
1215 Longfellow Dr Beaumont, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 834 $1,545 $1.85 15d 15 1.22mi
3910 Treadway Rd Beaumont, TX 2.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 1019 $1,349 $1.32 15d 10 1.22mi
4164 Treadway Rd #1 Beaumont, TX 1.0 1.0 722 $975 $1.35 45d 1 1.24mi
3255 Charles St Beaumont, TX 3.0 1.0 1396 $1,350 $0.97 45d 1 1.32mi
4695 Collier St #8 Beaumont, TX 2.0 1.5 1121 $1,150 $1.03 45d 1 1.45mi
1160 N 7th St Beaumont, TX 1.0 1.0 700 $600 $0.86 15d 1 1.47mi
2640 Harrison Ave Beaumont, TX 3.0 1.0 1158 $1,295 $1.12 24d 1 1.47mi
5340 Bettes Ln Beaumont, TX 3.0 1.5 1496 $1,575 $1.05 45d 1 1.48mi
5680 Shivers Dr Beaumont, TX 3.0 1.0 1442 $1,500 $1.04 24d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $49,900 Active 39 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $49,900 Active 36 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $49,900 Active 35 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $49,900 Active 34 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $49,900 Active 33 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $49,900 Active 31 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $49,900 Active 30 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $49,900 Active 28 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $49,900 Active 27 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $49,900 Active 26 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $49,900 Active 25 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $49,900 Active 21 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $49,900 Active 20 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $49,900 Active 19 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $49,900 Active 18 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $49,900 Active 17 DOM
  17. 2026-05-13
    listed $49,900 Active 240-char remark
  18. 2016-01-05
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,773 · $148/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,773 · $148/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,844
− Mortgage interest
−$2,795
− Property taxes
−$1,773
− Insurance
−$1,047
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,108
− Management
−$1,108
− Depreciation
−$1,452
Taxable income
$4,562
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,095
After-tax cash flow
$3,882/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Beaumont ISD
NCES district ID
4809670
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$41,683
Composite
15.43/100
National rank
#9316
State rank
#789 of 826 in TX

Livability — Beaumont

Score
64/100
State rank
#739
US rank
#13710

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Beaumont, TX
County
Jefferson County · 203,592 people
City population
125,901
Metro
Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
Population (ZIP)
11,004
Household income
$31,803
Rent vs Own
55.9% rent · 44.1% own
Severe rent burden
657.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
259,015 people
By 2030
260,685 · +0.6%
By 2040
263,309 · +1.7%
By 2050
265,237 · +2.4%
By 2075
270,193 · +4.3%
By 2100
255,628 · -1.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (60%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 60% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 7% White 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 25%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada
Languages at home
70% English-only · Spanish 29% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
Lean R (+8.9) · D 45.1% · R 54.0%
2008→2024 swing
-11.1pp toward R · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: -8.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+8.9 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+0.5 2012: D+1.6 2008: D+2.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.43%
Current HPI
151.9888
Rent YoY
Metro
Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $49,900 BBOR
  • 2016-01-05 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,773 · +9.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…