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22216 South Ave
D+ Composite 49.14
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.0/10.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$119,000

22216 South Ave · Florala, AL 36442
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,056 sqft · Manufactured public records · 30 Days on market
Built 2006 0.29 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Clean and move in ready, 3BR 2BA mobile home on 1/3 of an acre. Walk to lake dock and school! Blocks from boat ramp. Owner financing even with bruised credit! Application available. ,

Key facts

  • Included shed
  • 0.29 acre lot
  • Built 2006

Tags

UPDATED EXTERIOR DOORSGENEROUSLY SIZED YARDINCLUDED SHED

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Sewer available; Electricity available; Cable available
  • Home design: Mobile home (single-story)
  • Construction: Clayton manufactured home, model 30IVC2444; Mobile home width 44' and length 24'
  • Exterior features: Metal roof; Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Window AC unit(s)
  • Interior features: High-speed internet; 8 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $119k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $47 ($558/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $95k (19.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $95k (19.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#130 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Covington County (rural): math 27% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #32 of 129 in AL (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 58 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Covington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($823 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (4.0% local appreciation)).
  • Covington County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (4.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($117k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $34k; list at $119k implies a 252% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $95,266 (19.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
6.76%
Cash-on-cash
1.68%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
10.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.97% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.7%
Equity multiple
1.70×
Total profit
$23,477
Equity at exit
$60,141
10-year hold
IRR
13.2%
Equity multiple
3.16×
Total profit
$71,970
Equity at exit
$98,211

Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36442

Home prices YoY
2.2%
Active inventory
58
Price-to-rent
10.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$953 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$624
Tax from tax record
$32 /mo · $389/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$200
Net cashflow
$47

Break-even live

Break-even rent $894
Max offer price $119,000
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $114 -5% $80 +0% $47 +5% $13 +10% $-21
Rent -10% $-29 -5% $9 +0% $47 +5% $84 +10% $122
Rate -1.0pp $106 -0.5pp $77 base $47 +0.5pp $16 +1.0pp $-16

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,750
Closing costs
$3,570
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $119,000 Active 30 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,000 Active 29 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,000 Active 28 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,000 Active 27 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,000 Active 26 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $119,000 Active 24 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $119,000 Active 23 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,000 Active 20 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,000 Active 19 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,000 Active 18 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,000 Active 17 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $119,000 Active 14 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,000 Active 13 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,000 Active 12 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,000 Active 11 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,000 Active 10 DOM
  17. 2026-05-20
    listed $119,000 Active
  18. 2018-04-30
    soldstatus $33,785 183-char remark
    Show marketing remark (183 chars)

    Clean and move in ready, 3BR 2BA mobile home on 1/3 of an acre. Walk to lake dock and school! Blocks from boat ramp. Owner financing even with bruised credit! Application available. ,

  19. 2018-04-30
    soldstatus $33,785 183-char remark
    Show marketing remark (183 chars)

    Clean and move in ready, 3BR 2BA mobile home on 1/3 of an acre. Walk to lake dock and school! Blocks from boat ramp. Owner financing even with bruised credit! Application available. ,

  20. 2017-09-13
    listed $41,900 183-char remark
    Show marketing remark (183 chars)

    Clean and move in ready, 3BR 2BA mobile home on 1/3 of an acre. Walk to lake dock and school! Blocks from boat ramp. Owner financing even with bruised credit! Application available. ,

  21. 2017-09-13
    listed $41,900 183-char remark
    Show marketing remark (183 chars)

    Clean and move in ready, 3BR 2BA mobile home on 1/3 of an acre. Walk to lake dock and school! Blocks from boat ramp. Owner financing even with bruised credit! Application available. ,

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$389 · $32/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$488 · $41/mo
Expected delta
+$99/yr (+$8/mo · 25.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,432
− Mortgage interest
−$6,666
− Property taxes
−$389
− Insurance
−$595
− Repairs & maintenance
−$915
− Management
−$915
− Depreciation
−$3,462
Taxable loss
−$1,509
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$362
After-tax cash flow
$921/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Covington County
NCES district ID
0100930
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$39,213
Composite
32.13/100
National rank
#5797
State rank
#32 of 129 in AL

Livability — Florala

Score
65/100
State rank
#130
US rank
#13167

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A- Health & safety C- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Florala, AL
Population (ZIP)
3,615

Population outlook (Covington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
37,007 people
By 2030
36,401 · -1.6%
By 2040
34,983 · -5.5%
By 2050
33,437 · -9.6%
By 2075
29,753 · -19.6%
By 2100
25,109 · -32.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Black 11% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Covington

2024 margin
Solid R (+72.4) · D 13.6% · R 86.0%
2008→2024 swing
-14.1pp toward R · 2008: -58.3pp · 2024: -72.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+72.4 2020: R+68.1 2016: R+68.5 2012: R+58.3 2008: R+58.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.97%
Current HPI
182.2844
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+184.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $119,000 CAOR
  • 2018-04-30 Sold (MLS) $33,785 WBR
  • 2018-04-30 Sold (MLS) $33,785 MAAR
  • 2017-09-13 Listed $41,900 WBR
  • 2017-09-13 Listed $41,900 MAAR

Property tax history

+5.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $389 · +6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…