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3005 Woodwinds Ct
C- Composite 54.99
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.4/30.0
  • 1% rule +9.0/10.0
  • DSCR +8.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,000

3005 Woodwinds Ct · Kirksville, MO 63501
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 813 sqft · Condo public records · 1463 Days on market
Built 1981 $73/sqft · 22% above area Est $48k · 22% over $125/mo HOA · 15% of rent ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

2 bedroom Condo at Woodwinds with good rental history. Pool, tennis court, carport and storage area. Association fee includes exterior maintenance, Insurance, snow and lawn service, trash and reserve fund. Contact Zach Springer at 660-341-2405 for your showing. Rented thru April 2026 @ $575/month.

Key facts

  • Pool
  • Built 1981
  • Listed 1462 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in Woodwinds of Kirksville subdivision
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with $125 monthly fee

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential condo/townhouse
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Deck; In-ground pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Electric range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $59k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $136 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($828 rent vs $59k).
  • Recommended offer: $52k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 5.2% in Kirksville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#211 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, health & safety B+; Watch: schools C-, crime D, amenities F.
  • Kirksville R-III (town): math 31% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #194 of 324 in MO (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 234 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Adair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $408 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 1463 days — a 12% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $51,920 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 1463 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.40%
Cap rate
9.05%
Cash-on-cash
9.86%
DSCR
1.44
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$48,299
List price
$59,000
Delta
22.16%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
3 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.82% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.6%
Equity multiple
0.94×
Total profit
$-988
Equity at exit
$8,797
10-year hold
IRR
8.0%
Equity multiple
1.60×
Total profit
$9,982
Equity at exit
$5,101

Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63501

Home prices YoY
-31.5%
Rents YoY
2.8%
Active inventory
234
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$828 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$309
Tax from tax record
$59 /mo · $713/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$125
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$174
Net cashflow
$136

Break-even live

Break-even rent $656
Max offer price $59,000
Occupancy floor 79%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,750
Closing costs
$1,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$125 · $1,500/yr
Likely covers
trashexterior maint.pool
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $59,000 Active 1463 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,000 Active 1462 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,000 Active 1461 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,000 Active 1460 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,000 Active 1459 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $59,000 Active 1457 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $59,000 Active 1456 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,000 Active 1453 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,000 Active 1452 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,000 Active 1451 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,000 Active 1450 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $59,000 Active 1447 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,000 Active 1446 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,000 Active 1445 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,000 Active 1444 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,000 Active 1443 DOM
  17. 2026-01-02
    status Active
  18. 2025-01-07
    status Active
  19. 2024-05-23
    price $59,000
  20. 2024-04-02
    status Active
  21. 2023-05-12
    status Active
  22. 2022-11-03
    status Active
  23. 2022-04-22
    listed $62,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$713 · $59/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$713 · $59/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,935
− Mortgage interest
−$3,305
− Property taxes
−$713
− Insurance
−$295
− Repairs & maintenance
−$795
− Management
−$795
− HOA
−$1,500
− Depreciation
−$1,716
Taxable income
$816
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$196
After-tax cash flow
$1,432/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kirksville R-III
NCES district ID
2916740
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$33,570
Composite
31.21/100
National rank
#6037
State rank
#194 of 324 in MO

Livability — Kirksville

Score
67/100
State rank
#211
US rank
#10590

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A Health & safety B+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kirksville, MO
County
Adair County · 21,218 people
City population
21,218
Metro
Kirksville, MO
Population (ZIP)
21,218
Household income
$60,729
Rent vs Own
44.1% rent · 55.9% own
Severe rent burden
702.0

Population outlook (Adair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
25,570 people
By 2030
25,728 · +0.6%
By 2040
25,556 · -0.1%
By 2050
25,811 · +0.9%
By 2075
29,164 · +14.1%
By 2100
31,846 · +24.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Black 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
Languages at home
94% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Adair

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.6) · D 32.6% · R 66.2% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-32.3pp toward R · 2008: -1.3pp · 2024: -33.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.6 2020: R+26.2 2016: R+24.9 2012: R+14.1 2008: R+1.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -77.58%
Current HPI
168.7332
Rent YoY
▲ 2.82%
Metro
Kirksville, MO
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-4.8% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-02 Relisted NECAR
  • 2025-01-07 Relisted NECAR
  • 2024-05-23 Price Changed $59,000 NECAR
  • 2024-04-02 Relisted NECAR
  • 2023-05-12 Relisted NECAR
  • 2022-11-03 Relisted NECAR
  • 2022-04-22 Listed $62,000 NECAR

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $713 · +13.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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