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2559 106th St
B- Composite 65.75
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,000

2559 106th St · Toledo, OH 43611
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,656 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 14 Days on market
Built 1924 10,019 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

2-sty traditional on nice double lot. Formal living and dining rooms. 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths. Needs some TLC - but could be very nice home. Renovation financing available!

Key facts

  • Full basement
  • Local amenities
  • 0.23 acre lot

Tags

FULL BASEMENTLARGE FENCED-IN BACKYARDSPACIOUS DETACHED GARAGELOCAL AMENITIES

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage; Driveway; Concrete parking surfaces
  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family house; One and one half levels; No attached units; No common walls
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Built with typical residential construction
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof; Chain link fence

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom (upper); Bedroom (upper); Bedroom (main)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $338 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
  • Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 7.6% in Toledo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
  • Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Ottawa River Elementary School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,193 of 1,584 statewide, top 76%, 321 students, 0% FRL); Woodward High School (math 2% / reading 22%, grade F, #726 of 781 statewide, top 94%, 672 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 72% district-wide (72 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $44k; list at $99k implies a 126% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $99,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.44%
Cap rate
10.38%
Cash-on-cash
14.61%
DSCR
1.65
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$218,592
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4532 290th St 0.14mi 3/1.5 1,538 (-7%) 3mo $185,000 $120 77
2718 Detwiler Dr 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,523 (-8%) 2mo $225,000 $148 70
2532 102nd St 0.16mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,552 (-6%) 6mo $133,000 $86 68
4498 285th St 0.38mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,732 (+5%) 1mo $175,000 $101 67
2540 117th St 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,496 (-10%) 1mo $255,000 $170 67
2240 Ruthanne Dr 0.64mi 3/2.5 1,667 (+1%) 5mo $255,000 $153 63
2350 Ottawa River Rd 0.38mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,550 (-6%) 7mo $228,000 $147 59
5219 302nd St 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,599 (-3%) 2mo $195,000 $122 58
2352 Roseann Dr 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,744 (+5%) 5mo $230,000 $132 57
4815 298th St 0.23mi 3/1.0 1,419 (-14%) 7mo $153,500 $108 56
2938 S 109th St 0.47mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,510 (-9%) 6mo $275,000 $182 52
2826 121st St 0.60mi 3/1.5 1,453 (-12%) 6mo $163,000 $112 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.2%
Equity multiple
1.20×
Total profit
$5,542
Equity at exit
$14,761
10-year hold
IRR
14.6%
Equity multiple
2.19×
Total profit
$32,859
Equity at exit
$8,560

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43611

Home prices YoY
-24.4%
Active inventory
64
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,427 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax from tax record
$229 /mo · $2,753/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$300
Net cashflow
$338

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,000
Max offer price $99,000
Occupancy floor 71%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2924 117th St Toledo, OH 3.0 2.0 1110 $1,350 $1.22 14d 1 0.52mi
2924 117th St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.5 1110 $1,350 $1.22 21d 1 0.52mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,000 Active 14 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,000 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,000 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,000 Active 11 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    remarks 638-char remark
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $99,000 Active 9 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $99,000 Active 6 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,000 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,000 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,000 Active 3 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    remarks 578-char remark
  12. 2026-06-05
    listed $99,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,753 · $229/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,753 · $229/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,124
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$2,753
− Insurance
−$495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,370
− Management
−$1,370
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable income
$2,711
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$651
After-tax cash flow
$3,400/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Toledo City
NCES district ID
3904490
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$32,137
Composite
15.76/100
National rank
#9276
State rank
#634 of 656 in OH

Livability — Toledo

Score
66/100
State rank
#645
US rank
#11442

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Toledo, OH
County
Lucas County · 380,724 people
City population
280,811
Metro
Toledo, OH
Population (ZIP)
18,664
Household income
$62,042
Rent vs Own
28.2% rent · 71.8% own
Severe rent burden
298.0

Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,751 people
By 2030
410,187 · -2.5%
By 2040
384,019 · -8.7%
By 2050
355,125 · -15.6%
By 2075
291,683 · -30.7%
By 2100
233,670 · -44.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 13% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lucas

2024 margin
D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
2008→2024 swing
-18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -79.15%
Current HPI
245.2841
Rent YoY
Metro
Toledo, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+41.6% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Listed $99,000 NORIS
  • 2013-10-16 Sold (Public Records) $43,900 Public Records
  • 2013-10-14 Sold (MLS) $43,900 NORIS
  • 2013-08-14 Listed $43,900 NORIS
  • 2013-07-08 Sold (Public Records) $53,334 Public Records
  • 2000-06-08 Sold (Public Records) $102,000 Public Records
  • 1992-12-07 Sold (Public Records) $69,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,753 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…