2559 106th St · Toledo, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2-sty traditional on nice double lot. Formal living and dining rooms. 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths. Needs some TLC - but could be very nice home. Renovation financing available!
Key facts
- Full basement
- Local amenities
- 0.23 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage; Driveway; Concrete parking surfaces
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family house; One and one half levels; No attached units; No common walls
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Built with typical residential construction
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Chain link fence
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Bedroom (upper); Bedroom (upper); Bedroom (main)
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $338 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
- Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 7.6% in Toledo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
- Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Ottawa River Elementary School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,193 of 1,584 statewide, top 76%, 321 students, 0% FRL); Woodward High School (math 2% / reading 22%, grade F, #726 of 781 statewide, top 94%, 672 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 72% district-wide (72 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $44k; list at $99k implies a 126% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.44% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.61%
- DSCR
- 1.65
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $218,592
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4532 290th St | 0.14mi | 3/1.5 | 1,538 (-7%) | 3mo | $185,000 | $120 | 77 |
| 2718 Detwiler Dr | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,523 (-8%) | 2mo | $225,000 | $148 | 70 |
| 2532 102nd St | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,552 (-6%) | 6mo | $133,000 | $86 | 68 |
| 4498 285th St | 0.38mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,732 (+5%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $101 | 67 |
| 2540 117th St | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,496 (-10%) | 1mo | $255,000 | $170 | 67 |
| 2240 Ruthanne Dr | 0.64mi | 3/2.5 | 1,667 (+1%) | 5mo | $255,000 | $153 | 63 |
| 2350 Ottawa River Rd | 0.38mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,550 (-6%) | 7mo | $228,000 | $147 | 59 |
| 5219 302nd St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,599 (-3%) | 2mo | $195,000 | $122 | 58 |
| 2352 Roseann Dr | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,744 (+5%) | 5mo | $230,000 | $132 | 57 |
| 4815 298th St | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 1,419 (-14%) | 7mo | $153,500 | $108 | 56 |
| 2938 S 109th St | 0.47mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,510 (-9%) | 6mo | $275,000 | $182 | 52 |
| 2826 121st St | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 | 1,453 (-12%) | 6mo | $163,000 | $112 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.20×
- Total profit
- $5,542
- Equity at exit
- $14,761
- IRR
- 14.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.19×
- Total profit
- $32,859
- Equity at exit
- $8,560
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43611
- Home prices YoY
- -24.4%
- Active inventory
- 64
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,427 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$229 /mo · $2,753/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$300
- Net cashflow
- $338
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2924 117th St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1110 | $1,350 | $1.22 | 14d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2924 117th St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1110 | $1,350 | $1.22 | 21d | 1 | 0.52mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-14remarks 638-char remark
-
2026-06-14days on market $99,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $99,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-05remarks 578-char remark
-
2026-06-05$99,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,753 · $229/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,753 · $229/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,124
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$2,753
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,370
- − Management
- −$1,370
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $2,711
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$651
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,400/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Toledo City
- NCES district ID
- 3904490
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,137
- Composite
- 15.76/100
- National rank
- #9276
- State rank
- #634 of 656 in OH
Livability — Toledo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #645
- US rank
- #11442
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Toledo, OH
- County
- Lucas County · 380,724 people
- City population
- 280,811
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,664
- Household income
- $62,042
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 298.0
Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,751 people
- By 2030
- 410,187 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 384,019 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 355,125 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 291,683 · -30.7%
- By 2100
- 233,670 · -44.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 13% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lucas
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -79.15%
- Current HPI
- 245.2841
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+41.6% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listed $99,000 NORIS
- 2013-10-16 Sold (Public Records) $43,900 Public Records
- 2013-10-14 Sold (MLS) $43,900 NORIS
- 2013-08-14 Listed $43,900 NORIS
- 2013-07-08 Sold (Public Records) $53,334 Public Records
- 2000-06-08 Sold (Public Records) $102,000 Public Records
- 1992-12-07 Sold (Public Records) $69,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,753 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…