1180 Century Oaks Dr Unit B · Gulfport, MS
Flood risk 2/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.06%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.2/30.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fannie Mae homepath property, may be purchased for as little at 3% down, see homepath.com for details. Nice townhome, good condition, close to the beach, appliances incl washer/dryer, granite counters, Great opportunity. Owner occupant offers only thru 1/10/11.
Key facts
- Gated community
- Community pool
- Beachside boardwalk
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath condo listed at $189k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $30 ($363/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $189k).
- Recommended offer: $172k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 5.2% in Gulfport — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#15 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Gulfport School District (urban): math 41% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #37 of 130 in MS (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Anniston Avenue Elementary School (math 52% / reading 53%, grade C-, #53 of 375 statewide, top 14%, 535 students, 100% FRL); Bayou View Middle School (math 54% / reading 49%, grade C, #27 of 179 statewide, top 16%, 826 students, 100% FRL); Gulfport High School (math 42% / reading 36%, grade F, #54 of 197 statewide, top 28%, 1,728 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 67% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 357 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 93d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,194 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harrison County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 115 days — a 9% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 115 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.69%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $255,111
- List price
- $189,000
- Delta
- -25.91%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1121 Century Oaks Dr Unit C | 0.05mi | 3/3.0 | 1,314 (+14%) | 3mo | $189,000 | $144 | 72 |
| 1085 Township Rd | 0.08mi | 3/2.5 | 1,425 (+23%) | 3mo | $350,000 | $246 | 67 |
| 760 Hunters Glen Ln | 0.17mi | 3/1.5 | 1,000 (-14%) | 2mo | $183,990 | $184 | 62 |
| 1200 Beach Dr #503 | 0.23mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,277 (+10%) | 3mo | $299,000 | $234 | 60 |
| 1321 Foxwood Pl | 1.40mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,162 (+0%) | 1mo | $149,000 | $128 | 57 |
| 1322 Foxwood Pl | 1.42mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,162 (+0%) | 2mo | $120,000 | $103 | 55 |
| 2228 Beach Dr #704 | 1.50mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,164 (+1%) | 2mo | $339,900 | $292 | 53 |
| 654 Tegarden Rd | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,225 (+6%) | 2mo | $221,900 | $181 | 53 |
| 38 30th St | 1.11mi | 3/1.0 | 1,251 (+8%) | 2mo | $135,000 | $108 | 42 |
| 14 Independence Dr #14 | 0.55mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,311 (+13%) | 3mo | $165,000 | $126 | 39 |
| 19 31st St | 0.98mi | 3/1.0 | 1,287 (+11%) | 1mo | $186,500 | $145 | 37 |
| 1325 Harrison Rd | 1.47mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,357 (+17%) | 2mo | $169,900 | $125 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.26% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-26,132
- Equity at exit
- $28,181
- IRR
- -2.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-9,478
- Equity at exit
- $16,341
Cash invested: $52,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39507
- Home prices YoY
- -27.1%
- Rents YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 357
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,900 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$991
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$236 /mo · $2,835/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$165
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$399
- Net cashflow
- $30
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $161 | -5% $96 | +0% $30 | +5% $-35 | +10% $-100 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-120 | -5% $-45 | +0% $30 | +5% $105 | +10% $180 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $125 | -0.5pp $78 | base $30 | +0.5pp $-19 | +1.0pp $-69 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,250
- Closing costs
- $5,670
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1270 Century Oaks Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1158 | $1,950 | $1.68 | 93d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 1131 Century Oaks Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1156 | $1,800 | $1.56 | 93d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 1100 Century Oaks Dr Unit A Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1156 | $2,200 | $1.90 | 93d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 1276 Century Oaks Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1283 | $2,100 | $1.64 | 93d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 1101 Century Oaks Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1330 | $1,700 | $1.28 | 93d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 1229 Century Oaks Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1200 | $2,600 | $2.17 | 70d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 986 Waterford Ln Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,650 | $1.65 | 93d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 229 Milray Ln Gulfport, MS | 2.0 | 2.5 | 889 | $1,795 | $2.02 | 70d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 696 Hunters Glen Ln Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,800 | $1.80 | 70d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 477 Tegarden Rd Unit D Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,300 | $1.00 | 63d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1525 E Pass Rd Gulfport, MS | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1070 | $1,519 | $1.42 | 70d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1114 Washington Ave Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 70d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 980 Courthouse Rd Unit 1605 Gulfport, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1227 | $1,355 | $1.10 | 70d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 3503 Hancock Ave Gulfport, MS | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 70d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 200 Commerce St Gulfport, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 70d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1339 Foxwood Pl Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,375 | $1.25 | 93d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 1400 Mill Rd Gulfport, MS | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1290 | $2,550 | $1.98 | 93d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 1956 E Pass Rd Gulfport, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $950 | $1.06 | 93d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community
- Association with monthly fee of $165Association covers grounds maintenance, management, pest control, pool service, and securityCommunity amenities include pool and proximity to entertainment
Exterior
- Parking
- Assigned parking (1 space)
- Security
- Gated communitySmoke detectors
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerElectricity connectedWater connectedSewer connected
- Home design
- Townhouse (house-style structure)Two levelsEntry level on main floorFacing direction not specified
- Construction
- Built according to public recordsVinyl sidingAsphalt shingle roofSlab foundation
- Exterior features
- Front porchBalconyDog runExterior lightingIn-ground private poolBeach access and Gulf accessCity lot, near beach
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherElectric range / free‑standing electric rangeMicrowaveOvenRefrigerator / free‑standing refrigeratorKitchen islandGranite counters
- Bedrooms
- Bedrooms located across two levels
- Flooring
- Luxury vinylCeramic tile
- Bathrooms
- 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Central heatingCentral air conditioning
- Interior features
- Ceiling fansWalk-in closetsKitchen islandGranite countertopsBlinds and window treatments
- Laundry & utility
- Stacked washer/dryer
HOA detail $165/mo · $1,980/yr condo
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $189,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $189,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $189,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $189,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $189,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $189,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $189,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $189,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $189,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $189,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $189,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $189,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $189,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $189,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $189,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $189,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $189,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $189,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $189,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $189,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $189,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $189,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $189,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $189,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-07-08days on market $189,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $189,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $189,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $189,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-07-04days on market $189,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $189,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $189,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $189,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $189,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $189,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $189,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $189,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $189,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $189,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-23days on market $189,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $189,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $189,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $189,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $189,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $189,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $189,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $189,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $189,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $189,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $189,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $189,000 Active 53 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 2/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 6% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,805
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,587
- − Property taxes
- −$2,835
- − Insurance
- −$945
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,824
- − Management
- −$1,824
- − HOA
- −$1,980
- − Depreciation
- −$5,498
- Taxable loss
- −$2,689
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$645
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,008/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained, turnkey townhome is ready for immediate occupancy and offers a great value for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value ↑
- Both Replace shower curtains — Freshens up the bathroom and improves rental appeal ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gulfport School District
- NCES district ID
- 2801710
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,712
- Composite
- 34.38/100
- National rank
- #5213
- State rank
- #37 of 130 in MS
Livability — Gulfport
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #15
- US rank
- #5010
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gulfport, MS
- County
- Harrison County · 228,444 people
- City population
- 96,188
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,564
- Household income
- $54,657
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 8% of renters
Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 228,444 people
- By 2030
- 241,942 · +5.9%
- By 2040
- 267,531 · +17.1%
- By 2050
- 291,062 · +27.4%
- By 2075
- 346,711 · +51.8%
- By 2100
- 378,165 · +65.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Black 24% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Lithuanian 4% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Harrison
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.9) · D 35.0% · R 63.9% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.9pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -28.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.9 2020: R+25.2 2016: R+30.7 2012: R+26.6 2008: R+26.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -67.48%
- Current HPI
- 181.6606
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.26%
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-5.3% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Relisted — MLSU
- 2026-04-01 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2026-03-30 Listed $189,000 MLSU
- 2025-03-12 Price Changed $219,500 MLSU
- 2024-11-08 Relisted — MLSU
- 2024-11-01 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2024-08-02 Price Changed $229,000 MLSU
- 2024-07-29 Price Changed $232,000 MLSU
- 2024-07-19 Price Changed $237,000 MLSU
- 2024-07-19 Relisted — MLSU
- 2024-07-15 Pending — MLSU
- 2024-07-15 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2024-06-27 Price Changed $225,000 MLSU
- 2024-05-09 Listed $237,000 MLSU
- 2023-08-20 Rental Removed — APPFOLIO
- 2011-01-28 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2010-12-27 Listed $49,900 MLSU
- 2007-01-22 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2006-08-18 Listed $199,500 MLSU
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…