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2333 16th St SE #203
B- Composite 68.65
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +9.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,950

2333 16th St SE #203 · Washington, DC 20020
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 810 sqft · Condo public records · 141 Days on market
Built 1966 $539/mo HOA · 29% of rent ↓ 25% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

No Offers can be submitted for seller review until 2/7/26. * * Some images in this listing have been virtually staged and/or digitally altered. * * Spacious 2-bedroom, 1 full bathroom condominium offering approximately 810 square feet, located in the Fairway/16th Street SE corridor. The unit is in fair to average condition and presents a solid opportunity for an owner-occupant or investor looking to renovate and add value. Functional layout with good room sizes and natural light. Property is being sold AS IS, WHERE IS, with the seller making no repairs. Buyer to independently verify all information, including but not limited to taxes, condo fees, square footage, and any association ma

Key facts

  • $539 HOA
  • Built 1966
  • Listed 140 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: In city limits; Directions: W Street SE to Right on 16th Street SE; Finished area: approximately 810 above-grade square feet (estimated)
  • HOA & community: Monthly condo fee of $539; Condo fee covers exterior building maintenance, lawn maintenance, pest control, snow removal, trash, and water; Association amenities: other

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service for major systems
  • Home design: Condominium unit/flat; Garden-style building (1–4 floors); Entry on level 2; Building name: ANACOSTIA
  • Construction: Above-grade structures
  • Exterior features: Pets allowed (case-by-case)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level; One full bathroom total
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning; Electric heating and cooling; Electric hot water
  • Interior features: Estimated living area; Living Room; Kitchen; Basement (other)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookup in the unit

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $245 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 2.5% in Washington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#1 in DC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • District Of Columbia Public Schools (urban): math 33% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #8 of 32 in DC (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Capitol Hill Montessori School At Logan (424 students, 0% FRL); Kramer Ms (203 students, 0% FRL); Anacostia Hs (287 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 65% district-wide (65 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 298 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,737 units permitted in District of Columbia in 2024 (1,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $692 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • District of Columbia County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.9% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 141 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 29% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $87,956 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 141 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.85%
Cap rate
10.03%
Cash-on-cash
13.35%
DSCR
1.59
GRM
4.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.86% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.2%
Equity multiple
1.05×
Total profit
$1,357
Equity at exit
$14,903
10-year hold
IRR
12.4%
Equity multiple
2.05×
Total profit
$29,414
Equity at exit
$8,642

Cash invested: $27,986 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State District of Columbia
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+43
County
— inherits STATE
City Washington
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+43
Rent Stabilization Program; TOPA gives tenants right of first refusal.

ZIP-level market 20020

Rents YoY
3.9%
Active inventory
298
Price-to-rent
4.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,848 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$44 /mo · $525/yr
Insurance
$42
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$539
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$388
Net cashflow
$245

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,538
Max offer price $99,950
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $301 -5% $273 +0% $245 +5% $217 +10% $188
Rent -10% $99 -5% $172 +0% $245 +5% $318 +10% $391
Rate -1.0pp $295 -0.5pp $270 base $245 +0.5pp $219 +1.0pp $193

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,988
Closing costs
$2,998
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1619 Butler St SE Unit 3 Washington, DC 2.0 1.0 700 $1,700 $2.43 26d 1 0.09mi
2341 Green St SE Washington, DC 2.0 1.0 741 $1,225 $1.65 26d 1 0.13mi
1425-1429 Cedar St SE Washington, DC 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 736 $1,651 $2.24 0d 5 0.17mi
1526 V St SE Unit 2 Washington, DC 2.0 1.0 800 $1,700 $2.12 26d 1 0.19mi
1600 Marion Barry Ave SE Unit Basement -B01 Washington, DC 1.0 1.0 550 $1,550 $2.82 26d 1 0.31mi
1516 Marion Barry Ave SE Unit 301 Washington, DC 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,795 $1.63 9d 1 0.32mi
1847 Marion Barry Ave SE Washington, DC 1.0–2.0 1.0 725 $1,525 $2.10 26d 1 0.34mi
1953 19th Pl SE Apt 301 Washington, DC 3.0 1.0 980 $5,301 $5.41 26d 1 0.35mi
1507 Erie St SE Washington, DC 1.0 1.0 1000 $2,800 $2.80 26d 1 0.35mi
1953 19th Pl SE Apt 104 Washington, DC 3.0 1.0 980 $2,800 $2.86 7d 1 0.35mi
1907 Good Hope Ct SE #7 Washington, DC 1.0 1.0 578 $1,500 $2.60 26d 1 0.36mi
1907 Good Hope Ct SE #309 Washington, DC 2.0 1.0 670 $1,595 $2.38 26d 1 0.36mi
1907 Marion Barry Ave SE Washington, DC 2.0 1.0 900 $1,495 $1.66 26d 1 0.36mi
1302 Morris Rd SE Washington, DC 3.0 1.0 750 $2,400 $3.20 26d 1 0.39mi
1721 T St SE Washington, DC 1.0–2.0 1.0 785 $1,980 $2.52 23d 6 0.39mi
1300 Morris Rd SE Washington, DC 2.0 1.0 650 $1,650 $2.54 0d 1 0.39mi
1300 Morris Rd SE Washington, DC 2.0 1.0 650 $1,499 $2.31 26d 1 0.39mi
1737 T St SE Washington, DC 2.0 1.0 800 $2,500 $3.12 5d 1 0.40mi
1300 Dexter Ter SE Washington, DC 2.0 1.5 1100 $2,600 $2.36 26d 1 0.42mi
2228 Martin Luther King Jr Ave SE Washington, DC 1.0 1.0 656 $1,795 $2.73 0d 3 0.42mi
1721 Minnesota Ave SE Washington, DC 3.0 1.0 680 $1,450 $2.13 26d 1 0.49mi
2629 Douglass Rd SE Washington, DC 2.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 888 $1,450 $1.63 3d 13 0.49mi
2300 Good Hope Rd SE Washington, DC 2.0 1.0–2.0 1020 $1,913 $1.88 26d 6 0.51mi
1642 16th St SE #3 Washington, DC 2.0 1.0 870 $2,000 $2.30 21d 1 0.53mi
1720 R St SE Washington, DC 3.0 1.0 750 $2,500 $3.33 26d 1 0.55mi
1622 17th St SE Unit 2001 Washington, DC 2.0 1.0 535 $1,850 $3.46 26d 1 0.57mi
2400 Good Hope Ct SE #204 Washington, DC 1.0 1.0 610 $1,550 $2.54 0d 1 0.57mi
1621 17th Pl SE Apt 3 Washington, DC 1.0 1.0 720 $1,300 $1.81 26d 1 0.58mi
2609 Douglass Rd SE #402 Washington, DC 2.0 2.0 990 $2,200 $2.22 26d 1 0.59mi
1609 17th St SE #202 Washington, DC 2.0 1.0 718 $1,950 $2.72 26d 1 0.59mi
1609 17th St SE #202 Washington, DC 2.0 1.0 718 $1,950 $2.72 16d 1 0.59mi
1601 17th St SE Washington, DC 1.0 1.0 720 $1,650 $2.29 26d 1 0.60mi
1618 18th St SE Unit 1 Washington, DC 2.0 1.0 800 $1,850 $2.31 26d 1 0.61mi
2607 Naylor Rd SE Washington, DC 1.0 1.0 665 $1,275 $1.92 9d 4 0.65mi
1629 Fairlawn Ave SE Unit 3 Washington, DC 2.0 1.0 850 $2,500 $2.94 26d 1 0.66mi
1629 Fairlawn Ave SE Apt 2 Washington, DC 2.0 1.0 850 $2,800 $3.29 13d 1 0.66mi
1925 Minnesota Ave SE Washington, DC 1.0 1.0 600 $1,400 $2.33 26d 1 0.69mi
2439 25th St SE Washington, DC 1.0 1.0 679 $1,293 $1.90 17d 1 0.73mi
2562 Naylor Rd SE Washington, DC 1.0–2.0 1.0 790 $2,075 $2.63 4d 21 0.76mi
2440 S St SE Unit 4 Washington, DC 3.0 1.0 800 $2,450 $3.06 9d 1 0.77mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$539 · $6,468/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $99,950 Active 141 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,950 Active 138 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,950 Active 137 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,950 Active 136 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,950 Active 135 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $99,950 Active 133 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $104,950 Active 129 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $104,950 Active 128 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $104,950 Active 127 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $104,950 Active 124 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $104,950 Active 123 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $104,950 Active 122 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $104,950 Active 121 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $104,950 Active 120 DOM
  15. 2026-05-14
    price $104,950
  16. 2026-04-14
    price $114,950
  17. 2026-03-10
    price $129,950
  18. 2026-01-31
    listed $139,950 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast DC · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$525 · $44/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$568 · $47/mo
Expected delta
+$42/yr (+$4/mo · 8.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 77% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 20% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,175
− Mortgage interest
−$5,599
− Property taxes
−$525
− Insurance
−$1,297
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,774
− Management
−$1,774
− HOA
−$6,468
− Depreciation
−$2,908
Taxable income
$1,830
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$439
After-tax cash flow
$2,498/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
District Of Columbia Public Schools
NCES district ID
1100030
Math proficiency
33% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$67,671
Composite
35.84/100
National rank
#9606
State rank
#8 of 32 in DC

Livability — Washington

Score
73/100
State rank
#1
US rank
#5327

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing C Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Washington, DC
County
District of Columbia · 671,873 people
City population
671,873
Metro
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
Population (ZIP)
53,005
Household income
$54,032
Rent vs Own
69.8% rent · 30.2% own
Severe rent burden
5148.0

Population outlook (District of Columbia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
821,926 people
By 2030
899,517 · +9.4%
By 2040
1,061,162 · +29.1%
By 2050
1,231,493 · +49.8%
By 2075
1,603,312 · +95.1%
By 2100
1,847,141 · +124.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (90%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 90% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% White 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · District of Columbia

2024 margin
Solid D (+86.1) · D 91.2% · R 5.1% · Other 3.8%
2008→2024 swing
+0.1pp no change · 2008: 85.9pp · 2024: 86.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+86.1 2020: D+86.8 2016: D+88.7 2012: D+84.2 2008: D+85.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -415.44%
Current HPI
306.5068
Rent YoY
▲ 3.86%
Metro
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.33%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in DC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-25.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $104,950 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-14 Price Changed $114,950 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-10 Price Changed $129,950 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-01-31 Listed $139,950 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

-4.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $525 · +7.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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