239 Pedigo Rd · Tompkinsville, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.5/30.0
- DSCR +8.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$134,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice 2016 doublewide mobile home in the country. This home features 4 bedrooms, 2 baths, large living room, kitchen, dining room combo and laundry. Home has front and back decks, CHA, newer metal covering, setting on 0.58 acres
Key facts
- 0.58 acre lot
- Built 2016
- Listed 152 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $135k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $317 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $119k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 4.3% in Tompkinsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#116 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Monroe County (rural): math 36% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #28 of 165 in KY (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Gamaliel Elementary (math 62% / reading 67%, grade B, #19 of 676 statewide, top 3%, 263 students, 70% FRL); Monroe Co Middle (math 22% / reading 39%, grade F, #143 of 217 statewide, top 67%, 382 students, 72% FRL); Monroe Co High (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #158 of 254 statewide, top 68%, 517 students, 63% FRL).
- Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 153 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 153 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.07%
- DSCR
- 1.45
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.95×
- Total profit
- $-1,728
- Equity at exit
- $20,114
- IRR
- 8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.64×
- Total profit
- $24,286
- Equity at exit
- $11,664
Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 42167
- Home prices YoY
- -10.6%
- Active inventory
- 29
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,438 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$707
- Tax from tax record
- −$56 /mo · $668/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$302
- Net cashflow
- $317
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $393 | -5% $355 | +0% $317 | +5% $279 | +10% $240 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $203 | -5% $260 | +0% $317 | +5% $374 | +10% $430 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $385 | -0.5pp $351 | base $317 | +0.5pp $282 | +1.0pp $246 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,725
- Closing costs
- $4,047
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $134,900 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $134,900 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $134,900 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $134,900 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $134,900 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $134,900 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $134,900 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $134,900 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $134,900 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $134,900 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $134,900 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $134,900 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $134,900 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $134,900 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $134,900 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $134,900 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $134,900 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $134,900 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-01-20$134,900 Active
-
2025-12-10soldstatus $120,000 Closed 227-char remark
Show marketing remark (227 chars)
Nice 2016 doublewide mobile home in the country. This home features 4 bedrooms, 2 baths, large living room, kitchen, dining room combo and laundry. Home has front and back decks, CHA, newer metal covering, setting on 0.58 acres
-
2025-12-10soldstatus $120,000
Show marketing remark (227 chars)
Nice 2016 doublewide mobile home in the country. This home features 4 bedrooms, 2 baths, large living room, kitchen, dining room combo and laundry. Home has front and back decks, CHA, newer metal covering, setting on 0.58 acres
-
2025-10-27historical Active Under Contract 227-char remark
Show marketing remark (227 chars)
Nice 2016 doublewide mobile home in the country. This home features 4 bedrooms, 2 baths, large living room, kitchen, dining room combo and laundry. Home has front and back decks, CHA, newer metal covering, setting on 0.58 acres
-
2025-09-23status Active 227-char remark
Show marketing remark (227 chars)
Nice 2016 doublewide mobile home in the country. This home features 4 bedrooms, 2 baths, large living room, kitchen, dining room combo and laundry. Home has front and back decks, CHA, newer metal covering, setting on 0.58 acres
-
2025-09-23price $129,900 227-char remark
Show marketing remark (227 chars)
Nice 2016 doublewide mobile home in the country. This home features 4 bedrooms, 2 baths, large living room, kitchen, dining room combo and laundry. Home has front and back decks, CHA, newer metal covering, setting on 0.58 acres
-
2025-08-17historical Active Under Contract 227-char remark
Show marketing remark (227 chars)
Nice 2016 doublewide mobile home in the country. This home features 4 bedrooms, 2 baths, large living room, kitchen, dining room combo and laundry. Home has front and back decks, CHA, newer metal covering, setting on 0.58 acres
-
2025-07-25price $125,000 227-char remark
Show marketing remark (227 chars)
Nice 2016 doublewide mobile home in the country. This home features 4 bedrooms, 2 baths, large living room, kitchen, dining room combo and laundry. Home has front and back decks, CHA, newer metal covering, setting on 0.58 acres
-
2025-06-06$139,000 Active 227-char remark
Show marketing remark (227 chars)
Nice 2016 doublewide mobile home in the country. This home features 4 bedrooms, 2 baths, large living room, kitchen, dining room combo and laundry. Home has front and back decks, CHA, newer metal covering, setting on 0.58 acres
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $668 · $56/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,160 · $97/mo
- Expected delta
- +$492/yr (+$41/mo · 73.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,258
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,556
- − Property taxes
- −$668
- − Insurance
- −$674
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,381
- − Management
- −$1,381
- − Depreciation
- −$3,924
- Taxable income
- $1,673
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$402
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,400/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos
This 2016 doublewide mobile home is in good condition with modern updates and a good foundation. It has potential for further improvements to enhance its curb appeal and value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Replace front door — Improves entryway and security
- Both Install new flooring in bathrooms — Modernizes and increases value
- Both Add landscaping around front porch — Enhances curb appeal and value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace front door — Improves entryway and security ↑
- Both Install new flooring in bathrooms — Modernizes and increases value ↑
- Both Add landscaping around front porch — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Monroe County
- NCES district ID
- 2104200
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -16.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,073
- Composite
- 34.3/100
- National rank
- #5241
- State rank
- #28 of 165 in KY
Livability — Tompkinsville
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #116
- US rank
- #5249
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,393
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,011 people
- By 2030
- 9,596 · -4.1%
- By 2040
- 8,766 · -12.4%
- By 2050
- 7,971 · -20.4%
- By 2075
- 6,249 · -37.6%
- By 2100
- 4,466 · -55.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 3% Two or more races 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Guatemala, China
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+77.3) · D 10.8% · R 88.2% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.3pp toward R · 2008: -53.0pp · 2024: -77.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+77.3 2020: R+74.5 2016: R+73.7 2012: R+59.5 2008: R+53.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -27.73%
- Current HPI
- 234.7064
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
-2.9% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-20 Listed $134,900 SCKMLSKY
- 2025-12-10 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
- 2025-12-10 Sold (MLS) $120,000 SCKMLSKY
- 2025-10-27 Contingent — SCKMLSKY
- 2025-09-23 Relisted — SCKMLSKY
- 2025-09-23 Price Changed $129,900 SCKMLSKY
- 2025-08-17 Contingent — SCKMLSKY
- 2025-07-25 Price Changed $125,000 SCKMLSKY
- 2025-06-06 Listed $139,000 SCKMLSKY
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $668 · -0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…