9300 #127 Atlantic Ave #127 · Margate City, NJ
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.48%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.8/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Rent growth +4.7/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$549,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Experience effortless oceanfront living at the highly sought-after Shore Club Condo. This beautiful first-floor 1-bedroom, 1-bath residence offers the perfect blend of comfort, style, and convenience—just steps from the ocean and the heart of Margate's shops and popular restaurants. Thoughtfully designed with a spacious custom walk-in closet, this turnkey home is being offered mostly furnished with quality, like-new pieces. Highlights include a brand-new Crate & Barrel queen bed with a new mattress, an incredible McKenzie kitchen table with coordinating chairs and buffet, and a comfortable new recliner. Recent upgrades, such as a new air conditioner, updated sink, modern lightin
Key facts
- Beachfront pool
- $472 HOA
- Parking
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property is listed for sale
- Financial info:
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $472
Exterior
- Parking: One exterior parking space; No garage
- Security:
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Condo unit in Shore Club; Building has 3–5 stories; Unit is one level
- Construction:
- Exterior features: No waterfront; No pets allowed
Interior
- Kitchen:
- Bedrooms: Unit has 1 level
- Flooring:
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating
- Interior features: Baseboard heating
- Laundry & utility:
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $549k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $549k).
- Recommended offer: $533k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 7.4% in Margate City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#149 in NJ, #3,893 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Margate City School District (suburban): math 50% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #113 of 472 in NJ (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.9%/yr); 147 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 672 units permitted in Atlantic County in 2024 (258 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $7,194/mo this rent would consume 71% of the median local household income ($122k/yr) (locally 23% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Atlantic County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $154k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($533k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $320k; list at $549k implies a 72% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.44%
- DSCR
- 1.64
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $358,720
- List price
- $549,000
- Delta
- 53.04%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.26×
- Total profit
- $40,126
- Equity at exit
- $81,858
- IRR
- 20.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.12×
- Total profit
- $326,343
- Equity at exit
- $47,467
Cash invested: $153,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08402
- Rents YoY
- 8.9%
- Active inventory
- 147
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $7,194 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,879
- Tax from tax record
- −$253 /mo · $3,041/yr
- Insurance
- −$229
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$472
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,511
- Net cashflow
- $1,424
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $137,250
- Closing costs
- $16,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9415 Pacific Ave #43 Margate City, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 430 | $6,000 | $13.95 | 43d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 9500 Amherst Ave Unit B 7 Margate City, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 630 | $15,000 | $23.81 | 21d | 1 | 0.48mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $472 · $5,664/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $549,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $549,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $549,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $549,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $549,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $549,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $549,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $549,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $549,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $549,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $549,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $549,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $549,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $549,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $549,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $549,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-03$549,000 Active 1210-char remark
-
2025-06-09soldstatus $320,000
-
2015-07-28soldstatus $200,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,041 · $253/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,356 · $696/mo
- Expected delta
- +$5,314/yr (+$443/mo · 174.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 48% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $86,330
- − Mortgage interest
- −$30,753
- − Property taxes
- −$3,041
- − Insurance
- −$7,864
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,906
- − Management
- −$6,906
- − HOA
- −$5,664
- − Depreciation
- −$15,971
- Taxable income
- $9,225
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,214
- After-tax cash flow
- $14,870/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Margate City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3409690
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -28.00%
- Median HH income
- $67,112
- Composite
- 47.71/100
- National rank
- #2241
- State rank
- #113 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Margate City
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #149
- US rank
- #3893
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Margate City, NJ
- County
- Atlantic County · 143,611 people
- City population
- 5,234
- Metro
- Atlantic City-Hammonton, NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,234
- Household income
- $121,800
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 23.0
Population outlook (Atlantic County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 268,948 people
- By 2030
- 264,497 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 252,261 · -6.2%
- By 2050
- 237,846 · -11.6%
- By 2075
- 210,650 · -21.7%
- By 2100
- 180,234 · -33.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 3% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 9% Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Atlantic
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 50.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.1pp toward R · 2008: 15.1pp · 2024: -3.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.0 2020: D+6.7 2016: D+6.2 2012: D+17.2 2008: D+15.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -625.70%
- Current HPI
- 475.1366
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.91%
- Metro
- Atlantic City-Hammonton, NJ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+174.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-03 Listed $549,000 SJSRMLS
- 2025-06-09 Sold (Public Records) $320,000 Public Records
- 2015-07-28 Sold (Public Records) $200,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $3,041 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…