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9300 #127 Atlantic Ave #127
B Composite 70.19
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.8/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$549,000

9300 #127 Atlantic Ave #127 · Margate City, NJ 08402
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 557 sqft · Condo public records · 47 Days on market
Built 1966 $986/sqft · 53% above area $472/mo HOA · 7% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Experience effortless oceanfront living at the highly sought-after Shore Club Condo. This beautiful first-floor 1-bedroom, 1-bath residence offers the perfect blend of comfort, style, and convenience—just steps from the ocean and the heart of Margate's shops and popular restaurants. Thoughtfully designed with a spacious custom walk-in closet, this turnkey home is being offered mostly furnished with quality, like-new pieces. Highlights include a brand-new Crate & Barrel queen bed with a new mattress, an incredible McKenzie kitchen table with coordinating chairs and buffet, and a comfortable new recliner. Recent upgrades, such as a new air conditioner, updated sink, modern lightin

Key facts

  • Beachfront pool
  • $472 HOA
  • Parking

Tags

CUSTOM WALK-IN CLOSETBEACHFRONT POOLDESIGNATED OFF-STREET PARKING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property is listed for sale
  • Financial info:
  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $472

Exterior

  • Parking: One exterior parking space; No garage
  • Security:
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Condo unit in Shore Club; Building has 3–5 stories; Unit is one level
  • Construction:
  • Exterior features: No waterfront; No pets allowed

Interior

  • Kitchen:
  • Bedrooms: Unit has 1 level
  • Flooring:
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating
  • Interior features: Baseboard heating
  • Laundry & utility:

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $549k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $549k).
  • Recommended offer: $533k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 7.4% in Margate City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#149 in NJ, #3,893 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Margate City School District (suburban): math 50% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #113 of 472 in NJ (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.9%/yr); 147 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 672 units permitted in Atlantic County in 2024 (258 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $7,194/mo this rent would consume 71% of the median local household income ($122k/yr) (locally 23% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Atlantic County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $154k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($533k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $320k; list at $549k implies a 72% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $532,530 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.31%
Cap rate
10.34%
Cash-on-cash
14.44%
DSCR
1.64
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$358,720
List price
$549,000
Delta
53.04%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.3%
Equity multiple
1.26×
Total profit
$40,126
Equity at exit
$81,858
10-year hold
IRR
20.0%
Equity multiple
3.12×
Total profit
$326,343
Equity at exit
$47,467

Cash invested: $153,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08402

Rents YoY
8.9%
Active inventory
147
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$7,194 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,879
Tax from tax record
$253 /mo · $3,041/yr
Insurance
$229
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$472
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,511
Net cashflow
$1,424

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,392
Max offer price $549,000
Occupancy floor 75%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$137,250
Closing costs
$16,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9415 Pacific Ave #43 Margate City, NJ 1.0 1.0 430 $6,000 $13.95 43d 1 0.13mi
9500 Amherst Ave Unit B 7 Margate City, NJ 1.0 1.0 630 $15,000 $23.81 21d 1 0.48mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$472 · $5,664/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $549,000 Active 47 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $549,000 Active 46 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $549,000 Active 45 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $549,000 Active 44 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $549,000 Active 43 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $549,000 Active 41 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $549,000 Active 40 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $549,000 Active 38 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $549,000 Active 37 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $549,000 Active 36 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $549,000 Active 35 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $549,000 Active 32 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $549,000 Active 30 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $549,000 Active 29 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $549,000 Active 28 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $549,000 Active 27 DOM
  17. 2026-05-03
    listed $549,000 Active 1210-char remark
  18. 2025-06-09
    soldstatus $320,000
  19. 2015-07-28
    soldstatus $200,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,041 · $253/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$8,356 · $696/mo
Expected delta
+$5,314/yr (+$443/mo · 174.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 48% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$86,330
− Mortgage interest
−$30,753
− Property taxes
−$3,041
− Insurance
−$7,864
− Repairs & maintenance
−$6,906
− Management
−$6,906
− HOA
−$5,664
− Depreciation
−$15,971
Taxable income
$9,225
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,214
After-tax cash flow
$14,870/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Margate City School District
NCES district ID
3409690
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -26.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -28.00%
Median HH income
$67,112
Composite
47.71/100
National rank
#2241
State rank
#113 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Margate City

Score
75/100
State rank
#149
US rank
#3893

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Margate City, NJ
County
Atlantic County · 143,611 people
City population
5,234
Metro
Atlantic City-Hammonton, NJ
Population (ZIP)
5,234
Household income
$121,800
Rent vs Own
10.0% rent · 90.0% own
Severe rent burden
23.0

Population outlook (Atlantic County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
268,948 people
By 2030
264,497 · -1.7%
By 2040
252,261 · -6.2%
By 2050
237,846 · -11.6%
By 2075
210,650 · -21.7%
By 2100
180,234 · -33.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 3% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 9% Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
92% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Atlantic

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 50.7% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-18.1pp toward R · 2008: 15.1pp · 2024: -3.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.0 2020: D+6.7 2016: D+6.2 2012: D+17.2 2008: D+15.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -625.70%
Current HPI
475.1366
Rent YoY
▲ 8.91%
Metro
Atlantic City-Hammonton, NJ
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+174.5% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-03 Listed $549,000 SJSRMLS
  • 2025-06-09 Sold (Public Records) $320,000 Public Records
  • 2015-07-28 Sold (Public Records) $200,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,041 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…