3333 E 15th St · Plano, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.4/30.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$235,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cute house, has large living room with fireplace. Family room was formerly garage. Four bedrooms, front bedroom makes great study. Kitchen counter tops & dining counter have corian counter tops. Two outdoor storage buildings. Near parks and golf course. Just minutes to I-75 or Geo. Bush Freeway.
Key facts
- Outdoor spa
- Good-sized lot
- Converted garage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type: Residential - Single Family Residence; Lot less than 0.5 acre
- Financial info: Listing terms: Cash; Loan type listed as Treat As Clear
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport with 2 covered/carport spaces; No garage
- Security: Burglar alarm
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Cable available; Asphalt streets with curbs and sidewalks
- Home design: Single family residence; One level; Residential property
- Construction: Built in 1969; Brick and siding construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Chain link and wood fencing; Separate spa/hot tub
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in cabinets; Plumbed for gas in kitchen; Microwave; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on level 1 with built-in cabinets and medicine cabinet; Three additional bedrooms on level 1
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (electric); Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Cathedral ceilings; Cable TV available; High-speed internet available; Two living areas; One dining area; Room count: 8
- Laundry & utility: Utility room with washer hookup; Washer and dryer included; Gas water heater; Separate utility room with drip/dry area and space for freezer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $235k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $48 ($581/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $220k (6.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $220k (6.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 2.8% in Plano — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#8 in TX, #728 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living F.
- Plano ISD (urban): math 52% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #90 of 826 in TX (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Meadows El (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #3,583 of 4,322 statewide, top 86%, 364 students, 88% FRL) — zoned schools average 88% FRL vs 25% district-wide (64 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 20% at this address vs 54% district-wide (-34 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Plano ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.9%/yr); 184 active listings in the ZIP; 38 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 19,194 units permitted in Collin County in 2024 (3,988 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Collin County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.88%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $329,997
- List price
- $235,000
- Delta
- -28.79%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3500 Shorecrest Dr | 0.18mi | 4/2.0 | 1,552 (+9%) | 2mo | $395,900 | $255 | 74 |
| 2713 14th St | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 | 1,368 (-4%) | 5mo | $299,000 | $219 | 67 |
| 3408 Stonecrest Cir | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,338 (-6%) | 2mo | $399,999 | $299 | 66 |
| 3500 Hillridge Dr Unit 3019 | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,487 (+4%) | 4mo | $200,000 | $134 | 66 |
| 1448 Sherrye Dr | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,309 (-8%) | 5mo | $229,000 | $175 | 65 |
| 1757 Crystal Way | 0.48mi | 4/2.0 | 1,516 (+6%) | 3mo | $299,900 | $198 | 62 |
| 2812 E 15th St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,304 (-9%) | 0mo | $229,900 | $176 | 62 |
| 1456 Sherrye Dr | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,244 (-13%) | 6mo | $300,000 | $241 | 57 |
| 3521 18th St | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,331 (-7%) | 5mo | $340,000 | $255 | 57 |
| 2813 E 15th St | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,278 (-10%) | 3mo | $265,000 | $207 | 57 |
| 1700 Hendrick Dr | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,560 (+9%) | 1mo | $299,900 | $192 | 53 |
| 3905 Las Brisas Dr | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,543 (+8%) | 2mo | $425,000 | $275 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-41,383
- Equity at exit
- $35,039
- IRR
- -18.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.14×
- Total profit
- $-56,725
- Equity at exit
- $20,319
Cash invested: $65,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75074
- Rents YoY
- -3.9%
- Active inventory
- 184
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,204 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,232
- Tax from tax record
- −$363 /mo · $4,352/yr
- Insurance
- −$98
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$463
- Net cashflow
- $48
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $181 | -5% $115 | +0% $48 | +5% $-18 | +10% $-85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-126 | -5% $-39 | +0% $48 | +5% $135 | +10% $223 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $167 | -0.5pp $108 | base $48 | +0.5pp $-13 | +1.0pp $-74 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $58,750
- Closing costs
- $7,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 38 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1713 Janice Dr Plano, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1470 | $2,600 | $1.77 | 25d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 1407 Judy Dr Plano, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1252 | $2,000 | $1.60 | 15d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 3500 Hillridge Dr Unit 3533 Plano, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1146 | $1,424 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 3500 Hillridge Dr Unit 3118 Plano, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1146 | $1,373 | $1.20 | 0d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 1729 Sherrye Dr Plano, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1004 | $2,000 | $1.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1370 Rigsbee Dr Plano, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 878 | $1,895 | $2.16 | 44d | 14 | 0.46mi |
| 1370 Rigsbee Dr Plano, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 878 | $1,895 | $2.16 | 4d | 15 | 0.46mi |
| 1370 Rigsbee Dr Plano, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,895 | $1.79 | 25d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 2608 Meandering Way Plano, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1586 | $2,200 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1517 Rockshire Dr Plano, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1408 | $2,049 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 2620 Tilden Dr Plano, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1540 | $2,095 | $1.36 | 25d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 2636 Ezekial Way Plano, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1541 | $2,200 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 2620 Ezekial Way Plano, TX | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1541 | $2,150 | $1.40 | 12d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 3808 Glover Dr Plano, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1541 | $2,450 | $1.59 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 2400 18th St Plano, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1277 | $1,925 | $1.51 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1805 Bristol Cv Plano, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1623 | $2,300 | $1.42 | 16d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1612 Valencia Dr Plano, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1438 | $2,275 | $1.58 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1904 Jupiter Rd Unit 1906 Plano, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1550 | $1,950 | $1.26 | 8d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 2908 Lemmontree Ln Plano, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,369 | $1.48 | 5d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 3003 Lemmontree Ln Plano, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1606 | $2,299 | $1.43 | 18d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2513 Trailridge Dr Plano, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1574 | $2,090 | $1.33 | 4d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 2817 Oleander Dr Plano, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1838 | $2,695 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2029 Willow Ln Plano, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1380 | $2,676 | $1.94 | 0d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2517 Figtree Ln Plano, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1430 | $2,150 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 3316 Santee St Plano, TX | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1771 | $3,000 | $1.69 | 14d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2904 Chancellor Dr Plano, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1452 | $2,300 | $1.58 | 6d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3304 Norris St Plano, TX | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1728 | $3,300 | $1.91 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1811 Mimosa Ln Plano, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1153 | $2,030 | $1.76 | 13d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3201 Wynwood Dr Unit 3234 Plano, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1392 | $2,573 | $1.85 | 0d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 2605 Royal Oaks Dr Plano, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1665 | $2,350 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2913 Monarch Dr Plano, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1532 | $2,300 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 380 Vistacourt Dr Plano, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1154 | $2,362 | $2.05 | 0d | 92 | 1.30mi |
| 2813 Countess Dr Plano, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1870 | $2,500 | $1.34 | 0d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1621 E Park Blvd Plano, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1473 | $2,095 | $1.42 | 12d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1621 E Park Blvd Plano, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1473 | $1,995 | $1.35 | 5d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1345 E 15th St Plano, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1048 | $3,700 | $3.53 | 17d | 8 | 1.45mi |
| 1904 Jasmine Ln Unit 1056384P Plano, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1323 | $5,364 | $4.05 | 0d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 1805 Japonica Ln Plano, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1320 | $1,785 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-16historical Active Option Contract 820-char remark
-
2026-05-11$235,000 Active 820-char remark
-
2013-09-18soldstatus
-
2013-09-10soldstatus Closed 302-char remark
Show marketing remark (302 chars)
Cute house, has large living room with fireplace. Family room was formerly garage. Four bedrooms, front bedroom makes great study. Kitchen counter tops & dining counter have corian counter tops. Two outdoor storage buildings. Near parks and golf course. Just minutes to I-75 or Geo. Bush Freeway.
-
2013-08-14status Pending 302-char remark
Show marketing remark (302 chars)
Cute house, has large living room with fireplace. Family room was formerly garage. Four bedrooms, front bedroom makes great study. Kitchen counter tops & dining counter have corian counter tops. Two outdoor storage buildings. Near parks and golf course. Just minutes to I-75 or Geo. Bush Freeway.
-
2013-07-19$118,000 Active 302-char remark
Show marketing remark (302 chars)
Cute house, has large living room with fireplace. Family room was formerly garage. Four bedrooms, front bedroom makes great study. Kitchen counter tops & dining counter have corian counter tops. Two outdoor storage buildings. Near parks and golf course. Just minutes to I-75 or Geo. Bush Freeway.
-
2002-04-18soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,352 · $363/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,352 · $363/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,450
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,164
- − Property taxes
- −$4,352
- − Insurance
- −$1,175
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,116
- − Management
- −$2,116
- − Depreciation
- −$6,836
- Taxable loss
- −$3,309
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$794
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,375/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Plano ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4835100
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $79,861
- Composite
- 48.54/100
- National rank
- #2115
- State rank
- #90 of 826 in TX
Livability — Plano
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #8
- US rank
- #728
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Plano, TX
- County
- Collin County · 1,159,394 people
- City population
- 288,003
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,831
- Household income
- $88,697
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1848.0
Population outlook (Collin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,210,074 people
- By 2030
- 1,358,201 · +12.2%
- By 2040
- 1,654,061 · +36.7%
- By 2050
- 1,937,359 · +60.1%
- By 2075
- 2,567,039 · +112.1%
- By 2100
- 2,952,048 · +144.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 36% Hispanic / Latino 36% Two or more races 18% Asian 13% Black 11% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 26%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 33% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 52% English-only · Spanish 31% Other Indo-European 7% Arabic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Collin
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.1) · D 43.1% · R 54.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +14.4pp toward D · 2008: -25.6pp · 2024: -11.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.1 2020: R+4.3 2016: R+17.0 2012: R+31.6 2008: R+25.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -264.33%
- Current HPI
- 263.7885
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -3.90%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
+99.2% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2026-06-08 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2026-05-24 Pending — NTREIS
- 2026-05-16 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2026-05-11 Listed $235,000 NTREIS
- 2013-09-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2013-09-10 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2013-08-14 Pending — NTREIS
- 2013-07-19 Listed $118,000 NTREIS
- 2002-04-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2025): $4,352 · -4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…