3316 Algonquin Pkwy · Louisville, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$118,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3316 Algonquin Parkway is a 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home with hardwood floors, Large non conforming room upstairs that could be used as a bedroom and an updated bathroom. Nice walk up, full basement and large two car detached garage. Perfect starter home or as an investment property. Convenient location close to expressways, U of L and Park Duvalle . Hurry to see 3316 Algonquin Parkway before it's too late!
Key facts
- Dining room
- 5,201 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located on the south side of Algonquin Parkway just west of Bells Lane/Wilson Rd.
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (2 car); Driveway parking
- Utilities: Electricity connected
- Home design: Traditional single-family home; 2 stories; Built in 1942
- Construction: Brick construction; Shingle roof; Poured concrete foundation; About 1,062 above-grade finished; roughly 400 below-grade finished
- Exterior features: Full chain-link fence; Lot approximately 0.12 acres
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor; Dining area adjacent to the kitchen
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms total; Primary bedroom on the first floor; One first-floor bedroom (other bedroom implied on first floor)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; Primary bathroom on the first floor
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Partially finished basement with outside entry; 7 rooms total; 2 closets; Bonus room on the second floor; Dining room; Living room; Family room
- Laundry & utility: No first-floor laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $118k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $196 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $118k).
- Recommended offer: $116k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 5.0% in Louisville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#333 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D+, schools D-.
- Jefferson County (urban): math 19% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #121 of 165 in KY (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 140 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,836 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (1,558 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,227/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($32k/yr) (locally 1483% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $816 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $100k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.12%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $167,580
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1811 Beech St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,872 (+0%) | 2mo | $168,000 | $90 | 72 |
| 3105 Wilson Ave | 0.14mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,762 (-5%) | 16mo | $198,000 | $112 | 64 |
| 1852 Cypress St | 0.58mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,900 (+2%) | 10mo | $138,000 | $73 | 50 |
| 2710 Allston Ave | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,700 (-9%) | 10mo | $150,000 | $88 | 48 |
| 1824 Cypress St | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 2,000 (+7%) | 10mo | $179,000 | $90 | 44 |
| 2709 Conestoga Ave | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,976 (+6%) | 20mo | $159,523 | $81 | 43 |
| 1623 Cypress St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,856 (-0%) | 19mo | $190,000 | $102 | 41 |
| 1807 Mae Street Kidd Ct | 0.50mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 2,091 (+12%) | 16mo | $183,645 | $88 | 30 |
| 3722 Chauncey Ave | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,638 (-12%) | 19mo | $207,500 | $127 | 26 |
| 3876 Darlene Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,618 (-13%) | 21mo | $225,000 | $139 | 18 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.87% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.87×
- Total profit
- $-4,285
- Equity at exit
- $17,594
- IRR
- 8.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.68×
- Total profit
- $22,348
- Equity at exit
- $10,202
Cash invested: $33,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40211
- Home prices YoY
- -33.4%
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 140
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,227 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$619
- Tax from tax record
- −$105 /mo · $1,260/yr
- Insurance
- −$49
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$258
- Net cashflow
- $196
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $263 | -5% $230 | +0% $196 | +5% $163 | +10% $129 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $99 | -5% $148 | +0% $196 | +5% $245 | +10% $293 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $256 | -0.5pp $226 | base $196 | +0.5pp $166 | +1.0pp $134 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,500
- Closing costs
- $3,540
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1618 S 30th St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1896 | $1,235 | $0.65 | 16d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1115 S 32nd St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1393 | $1,275 | $0.92 | 24d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1115 S 32nd St Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1393 | $1,275 | $0.92 | 22d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3514 Grand Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1450 | $1,295 | $0.89 | 22d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1774 Bolling Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1611 | $1,300 | $0.81 | 11d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 2912 Greenwood Ave Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1362 | $1,150 | $0.84 | 16d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 2825 Greenwood Ave #4 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1440 | $1,250 | $0.87 | 24d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 2825 Greenwood Ave #2 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $995 | $0.77 | 24d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $118,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $118,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $118,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $118,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $118,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-10pricestatusdays on market $118,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $128,000 Active Under Contract 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $128,000 Active Under Contract 7 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $128,000 Active Under Contract 6 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $128,000 Active Under Contract 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02pricestatus $128,000 Active Under Contract 1 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 689-char remark
-
2026-06-02$118,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,260 · $105/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,260 · $105/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,721
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,610
- − Property taxes
- −$1,260
- − Insurance
- −$590
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,178
- − Management
- −$1,178
- − Depreciation
- −$3,433
- Taxable income
- $473
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$113
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,240/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson County
- NCES district ID
- 2102990
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,885
- Composite
- 23.45/100
- National rank
- #7884
- State rank
- #121 of 165 in KY
Livability — Louisville
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #333
- US rank
- #15887
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Louisville, KY
- County
- Jefferson County · 790,184 people
- City population
- 769,292
- Metro
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,407
- Household income
- $31,749
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1483.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 823,112 people
- By 2030
- 849,343 · +3.2%
- By 2040
- 895,696 · +8.8%
- By 2050
- 933,630 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 1,028,262 · +24.9%
- By 2100
- 1,072,675 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 90% White 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+16.6) · D 57.4% · R 40.9% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.5pp toward D · 2008: 12.0pp · 2024: 16.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+16.6 2020: D+20.1 2016: D+13.3 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+12.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -88.22%
- Current HPI
- 176.337
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.87%
- Metro
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
+59.5% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $118,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2022-01-11 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
- 2021-12-23 Sold (MLS) $100,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2021-11-18 Contingent — Metro Search MLS
- 2021-10-03 Relisted — Metro Search MLS
- 2021-09-27 Contingent — Metro Search MLS
- 2021-07-26 Price Changed $100,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2021-07-26 Listed $100,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2012-06-28 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records
- 2012-06-27 Sold (MLS) $47,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2012-04-10 Listed $50,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2011-10-01 Listing Removed — Metro Search MLS
- 2011-04-01 Listed $49,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2009-04-08 Listing Removed — Metro Search MLS
- 2008-10-08 Listed $75,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2008-10-02 Listing Removed — Metro Search MLS
- 2008-03-11 Listed $80,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2007-09-04 Listing Removed — Metro Search MLS
- 2007-06-04 Listed $74,000 Metro Search MLS
Property tax history
+6.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,260 · -1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…