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811 N Prairieville St
B Composite 74.25
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.8/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$75,000

811 N Prairieville St · Athens, TX 75751
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 944 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1953 1.39 ac lot Est $85k · 12% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Discover the perfect blend of comfort and space with this charming property in Athens, TX! Situated on 1.38 acres, this inviting 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a peaceful setting with room to grow. Inside, you’ll find updated flooring that adds a fresh, modern touch, while the recently painted exterior enhances curb appeal and durability. The home comes move-in ready with a refrigerator, washer, and dryer included—making your transition seamless and convenient. Whether you're looking for a quiet retreat or a place with land to enjoy outdoor living, this property delivers both value and opportunity. Don’t miss your chance to own a slice of East Texas with space, updates, and essential appliances already in place!!

Key facts

  • Dryer included
  • 1.38 acres
  • Updated flooring

Tags

1.38 ACRESUPDATED FLOORINGRECENTLY PAINTED EXTERIORREFRIGERATOR INCLUDEDWASHER INCLUDEDDRYER INCLUDED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $451 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
  • Cap rate 13.5% vs local median 2.5% in Athens — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#241 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Athens ISD (town): math 34% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #548 of 826 in TX (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: South Athens El (math 33% / reading 32%, grade F, #2,234 of 4,322 statewide, top 52%, 449 students, 83% FRL); Athens Middle (math 35% / reading 33%, grade F, #892 of 1,662 statewide, top 55%, 682 students, 80% FRL); Athens H S (math 24% / reading 34%, grade F, #1,147 of 1,632 statewide, top 71%, 928 students, 75% FRL) — zoned schools average 80% FRL vs 62% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 188 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 263 units permitted in Henderson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $75,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.65%
Cap rate
13.52%
Cash-on-cash
25.80%
DSCR
2.15
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$84,960
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
811 N Prairieville St 0.00mi 3/1.0 944 (0%) 1mo $75,000 $79 100
306 Broadmore St 0.18mi 3/1.0 912 (-3%) 15mo $65,000 $71 74
212 E Massey St 0.37mi 3/1.0 888 (-6%) 20mo $65,000 $73 56
306 W Scott St 0.45mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,056 (+12%) 2mo $95,000 $90 52
1013 S 3rd St 0.33mi 3/1.0 1,052 (+11%) 22mo $125,000 $119 48
204 Barker St 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,056 (+12%) 14mo $175,000 $166 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.5%
Equity multiple
1.79×
Total profit
$16,625
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
27.8%
Equity multiple
3.46×
Total profit
$51,596
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75751

Home prices YoY
-33.1%
Active inventory
188
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,237 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$101 /mo · $1,212/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$260
Net cashflow
$451

Break-even live

Break-even rent $665
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 58%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
207 W College St Unit 102 Athens, TX 2.0 1.0 900 $865 $0.96 43d 1 0.84mi
625 York St Unit B Athens, TX 2.0 1.0 700 $795 $1.14 43d 1 0.90mi
409 Royal St Apt 5 Athens, TX 2.0 1.0 950 $950 $1.00 43d 1 0.92mi
401 S Carroll St Athens, TX 2.0 1.0 780 $1,020 $1.31 20d 12 0.93mi
215 Wood St Athens, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 762 $1,520 $1.99 13d 4 1.12mi
900 E Corsicana St Athens, TX 2.0 1.0–2.0 767 $1,339 $1.74 13d 6 1.23mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-04-21
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (739 chars)

    Discover the perfect blend of comfort and space with this charming property in Athens, TX! Situated on 1.38 acres, this inviting 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a peaceful setting with room to grow. Inside, you’ll find updated flooring that adds a fresh, modern touch, while the recently painted exterior enhances curb appeal and durability. The home comes move-in ready with a refrigerator, washer, and dryer included—making your transition seamless and convenient. Whether you're looking for a quiet retreat or a place with land to enjoy outdoor living, this property delivers both value and opportunity. Don’t miss your chance to own a slice of East Texas with space, updates, and essential appliances already in place!!

  2. 2026-04-21
    status Pending 739-char remark
    Show marketing remark (739 chars)

    Discover the perfect blend of comfort and space with this charming property in Athens, TX! Situated on 1.38 acres, this inviting 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a peaceful setting with room to grow. Inside, you’ll find updated flooring that adds a fresh, modern touch, while the recently painted exterior enhances curb appeal and durability. The home comes move-in ready with a refrigerator, washer, and dryer included—making your transition seamless and convenient. Whether you're looking for a quiet retreat or a place with land to enjoy outdoor living, this property delivers both value and opportunity. Don’t miss your chance to own a slice of East Texas with space, updates, and essential appliances already in place!!

  3. 2026-04-20
    listed $75,000 Active
  4. 2026-04-18
    listed $75,000 Active 739-char remark
    Show marketing remark (739 chars)

    Discover the perfect blend of comfort and space with this charming property in Athens, TX! Situated on 1.38 acres, this inviting 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a peaceful setting with room to grow. Inside, you’ll find updated flooring that adds a fresh, modern touch, while the recently painted exterior enhances curb appeal and durability. The home comes move-in ready with a refrigerator, washer, and dryer included—making your transition seamless and convenient. Whether you're looking for a quiet retreat or a place with land to enjoy outdoor living, this property delivers both value and opportunity. Don’t miss your chance to own a slice of East Texas with space, updates, and essential appliances already in place!!

  5. 1986-02-01
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,212 · $101/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,372 · $114/mo
Expected delta
+$161/yr (+$13/mo · 13.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,841
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$1,212
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,187
− Management
−$1,187
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$4,496
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,079
After-tax cash flow
$4,339/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Athens ISD
NCES district ID
4808870
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$41,617
Composite
28.73/100
National rank
#6680
State rank
#548 of 826 in TX

Livability — Athens

Score
72/100
State rank
#241
US rank
#5796

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D- Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Athens, TX
County
Henderson County · 34,977 people
City population
18,644
Metro
Athens, TX
Population (ZIP)
18,644
Household income
$70,620
Rent vs Own
34.4% rent · 65.6% own
Severe rent burden
535.0

Population outlook (Henderson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
80,471 people
By 2030
80,608 · +0.2%
By 2040
80,087 · -0.5%
By 2050
78,208 · -2.8%
By 2075
72,423 · -10.0%
By 2100
61,012 · -24.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 18% Black 10% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 22%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Henderson

2024 margin
Solid R (+63.5) · D 18.0% · R 81.4%
2008→2024 swing
-18.8pp toward R · 2008: -44.6pp · 2024: -63.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+63.5 2020: R+60.2 2016: R+60.0 2012: R+54.8 2008: R+44.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -95.19%
Current HPI
192.3973
Rent YoY
Metro
Athens, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-21 Pending HARMLS
  • 2026-04-21 Pending GTAR
  • 2026-04-20 Listed $75,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-04-18 Listed $75,000 GTAR
  • 1986-02-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+6.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,212 · +20.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…