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5280 Williamson St
D+ Composite 48.93
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.7/15.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$210,000

5280 Williamson St · Dearborn, MI 48126
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,307 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1924 3,485 sqft lot $161/sqft · 46% above area Est $237k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

NO LAND CONTRACT!!!

Key facts

  • 3,485 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1924

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two stories; Ground-level entry
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Porch; Paved road access

Interior

  • Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Finished basement; Six total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $34 ($404/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $179k (14.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $179k (14.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 4.3% in Dearborn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#84 in MI, #1,904 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D, schools D-.
  • Dearborn City School District (urban): math 26% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #325 of 540 in MI (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+13.2%/yr); 102 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,787/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($42k/yr) (locally 2742% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 6 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $120k; list at $210k implies a 75% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $178,651 (14.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
6.49%
Cash-on-cash
0.69%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$237,157
List price
$210,000
Delta
-11.45%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5045 Kenilworth St 0.23mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,260 (-4%) 2mo $140,000 $111 77
5452 Maple St 0.18mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,230 (-6%) 5mo $300,000 $244 68
5210 Maple St 0.18mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,464 (+12%) 1mo $190,000 $130 66
5485 Steadman St 0.42mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,361 (+4%) 3mo $208,000 $153 64
5444 Kenilworth St 0.13mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,500 (+15%) 2mo $205,000 $137 63
4757 Roemer St 0.40mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,384 (+6%) 10mo $260,000 $188 57
5933 Williamson St 0.41mi 4/2.0 1,192 (-9%) 9mo $212,000 $178 55
4315 Bingham St 0.60mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,216 (-7%) 2mo $185,000 $152 54
14401 Wellesley St 0.51mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,152 (-12%) 1mo $263,000 $228 50
5439 Hartwell St 0.57mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,176 (-10%) 3mo $160,000 $136 47
4564 Chovin St 0.71mi 4/2.0 1,400 (+7%) 9mo $340,000 $243 44
4400 Lapham St 0.67mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,432 (+10%) 8mo $282,000 $197 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.0%
Equity multiple
0.62×
Total profit
$-22,460
Equity at exit
$31,312
10-year hold
IRR
5.0%
Equity multiple
1.44×
Total profit
$26,102
Equity at exit
$18,157

Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48126

Rents YoY
13.2%
Active inventory
102
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,787 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,101
Tax from tax record
$189 /mo · $2,267/yr
Insurance
$88
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$375
Net cashflow
$34

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,744
Max offer price $210,000
Occupancy floor 93%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,500
Closing costs
$6,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5250 Calhoun St Dearborn, MI 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,300 $0.93 24d 1 0.33mi
6474 Saint Marys St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1237 $1,350 $1.09 43d 1 1.40mi
15630 Middlebury Dr Dearborn, MI 3.0 1.0–2.5 983 $2,190 $2.23 1d 22 1.42mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    status Pending 19-char remark
    Show marketing remark (19 chars)

    NO LAND CONTRACT!!!

  2. 2026-05-14
    status Pending 19-char remark
    Show marketing remark (19 chars)

    NO LAND CONTRACT!!!

  3. 2026-05-06
    listed $210,000 Active 19-char remark
    Show marketing remark (19 chars)

    NO LAND CONTRACT!!!

  4. 2026-05-06
    listed $210,000 Active 19-char remark
    Show marketing remark (19 chars)

    NO LAND CONTRACT!!!

  5. 2011-01-08
    historical
  6. 2011-01-08
    historical
  7. 2010-10-30
    listed $59,900
  8. 2010-10-30
    listed $59,900
  9. 2004-07-12
    soldstatus $120,000
  10. 2004-04-15
    soldstatus $120,000
  11. 2003-12-16
    listed $124,900
  12. 1999-05-13
    soldstatus $91,000
  13. 1999-04-12
    soldstatus $91,000
  14. 1999-03-15
    listed $92,000
  15. 1993-04-08
    soldstatus $56,068

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,267 · $189/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,750 · $229/mo
Expected delta
+$484/yr (+$40/mo · 21.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,438
− Mortgage interest
−$11,763
− Property taxes
−$2,267
− Insurance
−$1,050
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,715
− Management
−$1,715
− Depreciation
−$6,109
Taxable loss
−$3,181
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$763
After-tax cash flow
$1,168/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dearborn City School District
NCES district ID
2611600
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$46,884
Composite
27.93/100
National rank
#6864
State rank
#325 of 540 in MI

Livability — Dearborn

Score
80/100
State rank
#84
US rank
#1904

Category grades

Amenities D Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety C User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dearborn, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
86,476
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
51,997
Household income
$42,140
Rent vs Own
43.4% rent · 56.6% own
Severe rent burden
2742.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 4% Black 3% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Arab 8% Romanian 2% Armenian 1%
Foreign-born
43% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
26% English-only · Arabic 70% Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -266.09%
Current HPI
241.0732
Rent YoY
▲ 13.15%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+274.5% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-14 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $210,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $210,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-01-08 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2011-01-08 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2010-10-30 Listed $59,900 REALCOMP
  • 2010-10-30 Listed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2004-07-12 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
  • 2004-04-15 Sold (MLS) $120,000 REALCOMP
  • 2003-12-16 Listed $124,900 REALCOMP
  • 1999-05-13 Sold (Public Records) $91,000 Public Records
  • 1999-04-12 Sold (MLS) $91,000 REALCOMP
  • 1999-03-15 Listed $92,000 REALCOMP
  • 1993-04-08 Sold (Public Records) $56,068 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,267 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…