5280 Williamson St · Dearborn, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.2/30.0
- ARV discount +12.7/15.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$210,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
NO LAND CONTRACT!!!
Key facts
- 3,485 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1924
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two stories; Ground-level entry
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Porch; Paved road access
Interior
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Finished basement; Six total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $34 ($404/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $179k (14.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $179k (14.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 4.3% in Dearborn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#84 in MI, #1,904 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D, schools D-.
- Dearborn City School District (urban): math 26% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #325 of 540 in MI (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+13.2%/yr); 102 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,787/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($42k/yr) (locally 2742% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $120k; list at $210k implies a 75% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.69%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $237,157
- List price
- $210,000
- Delta
- -11.45%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5045 Kenilworth St | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,260 (-4%) | 2mo | $140,000 | $111 | 77 |
| 5452 Maple St | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,230 (-6%) | 5mo | $300,000 | $244 | 68 |
| 5210 Maple St | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,464 (+12%) | 1mo | $190,000 | $130 | 66 |
| 5485 Steadman St | 0.42mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,361 (+4%) | 3mo | $208,000 | $153 | 64 |
| 5444 Kenilworth St | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,500 (+15%) | 2mo | $205,000 | $137 | 63 |
| 4757 Roemer St | 0.40mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,384 (+6%) | 10mo | $260,000 | $188 | 57 |
| 5933 Williamson St | 0.41mi | 4/2.0 | 1,192 (-9%) | 9mo | $212,000 | $178 | 55 |
| 4315 Bingham St | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,216 (-7%) | 2mo | $185,000 | $152 | 54 |
| 14401 Wellesley St | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,152 (-12%) | 1mo | $263,000 | $228 | 50 |
| 5439 Hartwell St | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,176 (-10%) | 3mo | $160,000 | $136 | 47 |
| 4564 Chovin St | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 | 1,400 (+7%) | 9mo | $340,000 | $243 | 44 |
| 4400 Lapham St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,432 (+10%) | 8mo | $282,000 | $197 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-22,460
- Equity at exit
- $31,312
- IRR
- 5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.44×
- Total profit
- $26,102
- Equity at exit
- $18,157
Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48126
- Rents YoY
- 13.2%
- Active inventory
- 102
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,787 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,101
- Tax from tax record
- −$189 /mo · $2,267/yr
- Insurance
- −$88
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$375
- Net cashflow
- $34
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,500
- Closing costs
- $6,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5250 Calhoun St Dearborn, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,300 | $0.93 | 24d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 6474 Saint Marys St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1237 | $1,350 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 15630 Middlebury Dr Dearborn, MI | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 983 | $2,190 | $2.23 | 1d | 22 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-05-14status Pending 19-char remark
Show marketing remark (19 chars)
NO LAND CONTRACT!!!
-
2026-05-14status Pending 19-char remark
Show marketing remark (19 chars)
NO LAND CONTRACT!!!
-
2026-05-06$210,000 Active 19-char remark
Show marketing remark (19 chars)
NO LAND CONTRACT!!!
-
2026-05-06$210,000 Active 19-char remark
Show marketing remark (19 chars)
NO LAND CONTRACT!!!
-
2011-01-08historical
-
2011-01-08historical
-
2010-10-30$59,900
-
2010-10-30$59,900
-
2004-07-12soldstatus $120,000
-
2004-04-15soldstatus $120,000
-
2003-12-16$124,900
-
1999-05-13soldstatus $91,000
-
1999-04-12soldstatus $91,000
-
1999-03-15$92,000
-
1993-04-08soldstatus $56,068
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,267 · $189/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,750 · $229/mo
- Expected delta
- +$484/yr (+$40/mo · 21.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,438
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,763
- − Property taxes
- −$2,267
- − Insurance
- −$1,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,715
- − Management
- −$1,715
- − Depreciation
- −$6,109
- Taxable loss
- −$3,181
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$763
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,168/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dearborn City School District
- NCES district ID
- 2611600
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,884
- Composite
- 27.93/100
- National rank
- #6864
- State rank
- #325 of 540 in MI
Livability — Dearborn
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #84
- US rank
- #1904
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dearborn, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 86,476
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 51,997
- Household income
- $42,140
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2742.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 4% Black 3% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Arab 8% Romanian 2% Armenian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 43% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 26% English-only · Arabic 70% Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -266.09%
- Current HPI
- 241.0732
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 13.15%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+274.5% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-14 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-06 Listed $210,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-06 Listed $210,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2011-01-08 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2011-01-08 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2010-10-30 Listed $59,900 REALCOMP
- 2010-10-30 Listed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2004-07-12 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
- 2004-04-15 Sold (MLS) $120,000 REALCOMP
- 2003-12-16 Listed $124,900 REALCOMP
- 1999-05-13 Sold (Public Records) $91,000 Public Records
- 1999-04-12 Sold (MLS) $91,000 REALCOMP
- 1999-03-15 Listed $92,000 REALCOMP
- 1993-04-08 Sold (Public Records) $56,068 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,267 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…