10504 Mullikin Dr · Clinton, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 25.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$345,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
* * HGHEST & BEST OFFER DEADLINE OF 5/14 at 7pm! * * SOLID BRICK RAMBLER with space, flexibility, and opportunity in the heart of Clinton! Situated on a corner lot, this 4 Bedroom 3 Bathroom home offers classic charm, hardwood flooring throughout much of the main level, and a layout full of possibilities for homeowners and investors alike. The main level welcomes you with a bright living room featuring a large picture window that fills the space with natural light, hardwood floors, and a fireplace that creates a warm focal point. The adjoining dining area flows directly to the covered rear deck, making it easy to enjoy indoor-outdoor living and entertaining. The kitchen offers ampl
Key facts
- Hardwood flooring
- Second fireplace
- Kitchenette area
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Not in a federal flood zone; Accessibility features listed as other; Pets allowed with no restrictions; Total below-grade area reported; Above-grade and below-grade finished area reported
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport (1 space); Concrete driveway with four driveway spaces; Total of five garage/parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric cooling fuel; Natural gas for heating and hot water; Central air
- Home design: Detached property; Architectural shingle roof; Fee simple ownership; Property in average condition
- Construction: Brick construction; Slab and block foundation; Shed on the property
- Exterior features: Cleared, level lot with front and rear yard; Corner lot; Rear yard; Front yard; Walkout lower level with outside/rear entrance
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven/range; Range hood; Stove; Refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances; Exhaust fan
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level; One bedroom on the lower level
- Flooring: Hardwood floors; Carpet
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms on the main level; One full bathroom on the lower level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating and hot water; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Second kitchen; Attic; Dining area; Dry wall walls and ceilings; Storm and sliding glass doors; Has two wood-burning fireplaces
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer in unit; Laundry located on a lower floor; Water heater included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $345k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $286 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $337k (2.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $337k (2.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 5.3% in Clinton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#304 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Prince George'S County Public Schools (suburban): math 8% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #21 of 24 in MD (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Waldon Woods Elementary (math 4% / reading 11%, grade F, #681 of 860 statewide, top 81%, 529 students, 70% FRL); Stephen Decatur Middle (math 3% / reading 24%, grade F, #198 of 225 statewide, top 88%, 781 students, 70% FRL); Surrattsville High (math 2% / reading 27%, grade F, #185 of 222 statewide, top 85%, 772 students, 60% FRL).
- Market conditions: 124 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 1,481 units permitted in Prince George's County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($126k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Prince George's County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.55%
- DSCR
- 1.16
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $445,500
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6204 Gator Pl | 0.17mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,120 (-0%) | 4mo | $455,000 | $406 | 79 |
| 10505 Mullikin Dr | 0.03mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,125 (0%) | 14mo | $446,000 | $396 | 78 |
| 6206 Clinton Way | 0.32mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,137 (+1%) | 3mo | $465,000 | $409 | 72 |
| 6203 Gator Pl | 0.19mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,120 (-0%) | 19mo | $475,000 | $424 | 66 |
| 6205 Hemlock Way | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,028 (-9%) | 5mo | $330,000 | $321 | 55 |
| 10100 White Ave | 0.40mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 1,242 (+10%) | 4mo | $445,000 | $358 | 52 |
| 6704 Crafton Ln | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 | 1,000 (-11%) | 8mo | $399,999 | $400 | 42 |
| 6117 Armor Dr | 0.46mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 1,242 (+10%) | 16mo | $510,000 | $411 | 39 |
| 6613 Northgate Pkwy | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,200 (+7%) | 14mo | $353,000 | $294 | 37 |
| 6104 Brooke Jane Dr | 0.73mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 1,212 (+8%) | 10mo | $460,000 | $380 | 36 |
| 11302 Penny Ave | 0.66mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,260 (+12%) | 18mo | $390,000 | $310 | 25 |
| 6907 Northgate Pkwy | 0.74mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 1,279 (+14%) | 20mo | $360,000 | $281 | 17 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.61×
- Total profit
- $-37,640
- Equity at exit
- $51,441
- IRR
- -1.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-9,124
- Equity at exit
- $29,829
Cash invested: $96,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 20735
- Active inventory
- 124
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,374 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,809
- Tax from tax record
- −$426 /mo · $5,113/yr
- Insurance
- −$144
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$708
- Net cashflow
- $286
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $481 | -5% $384 | +0% $286 | +5% $188 | +10% $91 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $20 | -5% $153 | +0% $286 | +5% $419 | +10% $553 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $460 | -0.5pp $374 | base $286 | +0.5pp $197 | +1.0pp $106 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $86,250
- Closing costs
- $10,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6004 Clinton Way Clinton, MD | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1028 | $2,850 | $2.77 | 45d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 6907 Fulford St Clinton, MD | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1125 | $3,500 | $3.11 | 20d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 5558 E Boniwood Turn Clinton, MD | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1360 | $3,200 | $2.35 | 4d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 5508 E Boniwood Turn Clinton, MD | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1320 | $2,600 | $1.97 | 14d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 5539 E Boniwood Turn Clinton, MD | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1288 | $2,950 | $2.29 | 45d | 1 | 1.15mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-15status Pending
-
2026-05-15historical
-
2026-05-15price $345,000
-
2026-05-13$299,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,113 · $426/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,113 · $426/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $40,482
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,325
- − Property taxes
- −$5,113
- − Insurance
- −$1,725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,239
- − Management
- −$3,239
- − Depreciation
- −$10,036
- Taxable loss
- −$2,195
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$527
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,959/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Prince George'S County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400510
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $73,967
- Composite
- 16.82/100
- National rank
- #9151
- State rank
- #21 of 24 in MD
Livability — Clinton
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #304
- US rank
- #15951
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Clinton, MD
- County
- Prince Georges County · 919,866 people
- City population
- 37,464
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,464
- Household income
- $126,196
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 334.0
Population outlook (Prince George's County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,005,426 people
- By 2030
- 1,048,416 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 1,123,425 · +11.7%
- By 2050
- 1,183,220 · +17.7%
- By 2075
- 1,306,202 · +29.9%
- By 2100
- 1,408,179 · +40.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 76% Hispanic / Latino 10% White 7% Two or more races 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 9% Tagalog/Filipino 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Prince George's
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+75.2) · D 86.3% · R 11.2% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.3pp toward R · 2008: 78.5pp · 2024: 75.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+75.2 2020: D+80.5 2016: D+81.0 2012: D+80.9 2008: D+78.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -299.23%
- Current HPI
- 251.6263
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+15.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $345,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-15 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-13 Listed $299,900 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $5,113 · +585.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…