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4377 S US 33 Hwy
B- Composite 67.86
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,000

4377 S US 33 Hwy · Merriam, IN 46701
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 28 Days on market
Built 1967 0.50 ac lot ↓ 18% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Rough Ranch, Needs complete rehab including new joists in kitchen area. Home is rough, This potential 3 bedroom 2 bath ranch on full basement with 2 car attached garage is situated on a 1/2 acre lot Being sold as/is. Use extreme caution as a portion of the house has no floor/joists. Home has been vacant a long time. One positive the home has a recent complete NEW tear off and reroof. Ideal for a contractor or someone looking to flip. Listing agent does seller representation only, some dimensions are approximate, information is believed accurate but is not guaranteed and should be verified.

Key facts

  • 1/2 acre lot
  • 0.5 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

1/2 ACRE LOT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Single-family site-built home; Single-story
  • Construction: Aluminum siding
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 200 x 100 (0.5 acre)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Total of 6 rooms (bedroom count not specified)
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms, both on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Full unfinished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in the basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $479 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $64k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Central Noble Community School Corporation (rural): math 32% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #207 of 301 in IN (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Central Noble Primary School (249 students, 47% FRL); Central Noble Junior Senior Hs (math 23% / reading 37%, grade F, #307 of 369 statewide, top 83%, 654 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools average 46% FRL vs 31% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 131 units permitted in Noble County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Noble County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $64,025 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.79%
Cap rate
15.13%
Cash-on-cash
31.57%
DSCR
2.40
GRM
4.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$170,496
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4352 S Oak St 0.06mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,287 (+12%) 8mo $189,900 $148 62

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.5%
Equity multiple
2.10×
Total profit
$19,974
Equity at exit
$9,692
10-year hold
IRR
34.1%
Equity multiple
4.12×
Total profit
$56,705
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46701

Home prices YoY
-16.8%
Active inventory
29
Price-to-rent
4.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,161 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$70 /mo · $843/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$244
Net cashflow
$479

Break-even live

Break-even rent $555
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 54%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $516 -5% $497 +0% $479 +5% $460 +10% $442
Rent -10% $387 -5% $433 +0% $479 +5% $525 +10% $571
Rate -1.0pp $512 -0.5pp $495 base $479 +0.5pp $462 +1.0pp $445

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $65,000 Active 28 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $65,000 Active 27 DOM
  3. 2026-06-21
    days on market $65,000 Active 26 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,000 Active 24 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $65,000 Active 23 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $65,000 Active 22 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $65,000 Active 21 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $65,000 Active 19 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $65,000 Active 18 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $65,000 Active 15 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,000 Active 14 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $65,000 Active 13 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $65,000 Active 9 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $65,000 Active 8 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,000 Active 7 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,000 Active 6 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,000 Active 5 DOM
  18. 2026-05-26
    listed $65,000 Active
  19. 2026-03-18
    listed $79,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$843 · $70/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$843 · $70/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,930
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$843
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,114
− Management
−$1,114
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$5,001
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,200
After-tax cash flow
$4,546/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Central Noble Community School Corporation
NCES district ID
1801710
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$48,911
Composite
28.58/100
National rank
#6718
State rank
#207 of 301 in IN

Livability — Merriam

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Merriam, IN
Population (ZIP)
8,186

Population outlook (Noble County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
48,321 people
By 2030
47,945 · -0.8%
By 2040
46,521 · -3.7%
By 2050
44,501 · -7.9%
By 2075
38,962 · -19.4%
By 2100
31,846 · -34.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 13% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Noble

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.4) · D 23.5% · R 74.9% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-36.0pp toward R · 2008: -15.4pp · 2024: -51.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.4 2020: R+49.7 2016: R+49.1 2012: R+33.6 2008: R+15.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -50.57%
Current HPI
250.7517
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-17.7% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $65,000 IRMLS
  • 2026-03-18 Listed $79,000 IRMLS

Property tax history

-2.8%/yr

Latest (2024): $843 · -1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…