1004 Medford Ave · Brent, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.0/30.0
- ARV discount +11.5/15.0
- DSCR +9.3/10.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Back on market due to buyer's inability to obtain financing! Motivated sellers! Want to own your own home and live just minutes from the white sandy beaches of Pensacola? Look no further! New flooring in the living areas as well as the hall and bedrooms as well as fresh paint. Don't wait to make this house your home and live your best life. Call your favorite real estate agent today to schedule your personal viewing of this home. Sellers believe HVAC is 2019 and believe roof is 2016. All information to be verified by buyer and or buyer's representative.
Key facts
- Fresh paint
- New flooring
- 7,840 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $420 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $141k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 6.6% in Brent — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#484 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
- Escambia (suburban): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #56 of 73 in FL (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 203 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,479 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,789/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($45k/yr) (locally 1458% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Escambia County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $105k; 43% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.01%
- DSCR
- 1.53
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $164,522
- List price
- $149,900
- Delta
- -8.89%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1016 Fremont Ave | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,150 (+1%) | 2mo | $175,000 | $152 | 88 |
| 800 Montclair Rd | 0.30mi | 4/1.0 | 1,158 (+2%) | 4mo | $170,000 | $147 | 80 |
| 1032 Fremont Ave | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,092 (-4%) | 4mo | $107,500 | $98 | 77 |
| 5100 Cranston Ave | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,218 (+7%) | 4mo | $229,500 | $188 | 72 |
| 5107 Burlington Ave | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,085 (-5%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $138 | 69 |
| 922 Monclair Rd | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,012 (-11%) | 3mo | $122,000 | $121 | 69 |
| 5505 Fairview Dr | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,066 (-6%) | 2mo | $160,000 | $150 | 62 |
| 911 Medford Ave | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,279 (+12%) | 2mo | $206,000 | $161 | 60 |
| 4505 Ellysee Way | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,279 (+12%) | 4mo | $182,500 | $143 | 52 |
| 4509 Cherbourg Way | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,040 (-9%) | 2mo | $159,000 | $153 | 51 |
| 4413 Ellysee Way | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,012 (-11%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $89 | 51 |
| 702 Loire Way | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,297 (+14%) | 3mo | $100,000 | $77 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.92% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.14×
- Total profit
- $5,988
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- 14.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.30×
- Total profit
- $54,698
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32505
- Home prices YoY
- -26.5%
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 203
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,789 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$144 /mo · $1,733/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$376
- Net cashflow
- $420
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $505 | -5% $463 | +0% $420 | +5% $378 | +10% $335 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $279 | -5% $349 | +0% $420 | +5% $491 | +10% $561 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $496 | -0.5pp $458 | base $420 | +0.5pp $381 | +1.0pp $342 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 902 Lucerne Ave Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1276 | $1,600 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 918 Montclair Rd Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1012 | $1,500 | $1.48 | 15d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 5180 Burlington Ave Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1184 | $1,650 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 925 Twinbrook Ave Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1105 | $1,750 | $1.58 | 24d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 5877 Tryton Cir Pensacola, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1419 | $1,825 | $1.29 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 3216 Two Sisters Way Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1117 | $1,700 | $1.52 | 24d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 3417 W Fisher St Unit C Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1106 | $1,350 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $149,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $149,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $149,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $149,900 Active 66 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $149,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $149,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $149,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $149,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $149,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $149,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $149,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $149,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $149,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $149,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $149,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-05-15status Active 559-char remark
Show marketing remark (559 chars)
Back on market due to buyer's inability to obtain financing! Motivated sellers! Want to own your own home and live just minutes from the white sandy beaches of Pensacola? Look no further! New flooring in the living areas as well as the hall and bedrooms as well as fresh paint. Don't wait to make this house your home and live your best life. Call your favorite real estate agent today to schedule your personal viewing of this home. Sellers believe HVAC is 2019 and believe roof is 2016. All information to be verified by buyer and or buyer's representative.
-
2026-05-14historical Contingent 559-char remark
Show marketing remark (559 chars)
Back on market due to buyer's inability to obtain financing! Motivated sellers! Want to own your own home and live just minutes from the white sandy beaches of Pensacola? Look no further! New flooring in the living areas as well as the hall and bedrooms as well as fresh paint. Don't wait to make this house your home and live your best life. Call your favorite real estate agent today to schedule your personal viewing of this home. Sellers believe HVAC is 2019 and believe roof is 2016. All information to be verified by buyer and or buyer's representative.
-
2026-04-17status Pending 559-char remark
Show marketing remark (559 chars)
Back on market due to buyer's inability to obtain financing! Motivated sellers! Want to own your own home and live just minutes from the white sandy beaches of Pensacola? Look no further! New flooring in the living areas as well as the hall and bedrooms as well as fresh paint. Don't wait to make this house your home and live your best life. Call your favorite real estate agent today to schedule your personal viewing of this home. Sellers believe HVAC is 2019 and believe roof is 2016. All information to be verified by buyer and or buyer's representative.
-
2026-03-19status Active 559-char remark
Show marketing remark (559 chars)
Back on market due to buyer's inability to obtain financing! Motivated sellers! Want to own your own home and live just minutes from the white sandy beaches of Pensacola? Look no further! New flooring in the living areas as well as the hall and bedrooms as well as fresh paint. Don't wait to make this house your home and live your best life. Call your favorite real estate agent today to schedule your personal viewing of this home. Sellers believe HVAC is 2019 and believe roof is 2016. All information to be verified by buyer and or buyer's representative.
-
2026-01-27status Pending 559-char remark
Show marketing remark (559 chars)
Back on market due to buyer's inability to obtain financing! Motivated sellers! Want to own your own home and live just minutes from the white sandy beaches of Pensacola? Look no further! New flooring in the living areas as well as the hall and bedrooms as well as fresh paint. Don't wait to make this house your home and live your best life. Call your favorite real estate agent today to schedule your personal viewing of this home. Sellers believe HVAC is 2019 and believe roof is 2016. All information to be verified by buyer and or buyer's representative.
-
2026-01-23$149,900 Active 559-char remark
Show marketing remark (559 chars)
Back on market due to buyer's inability to obtain financing! Motivated sellers! Want to own your own home and live just minutes from the white sandy beaches of Pensacola? Look no further! New flooring in the living areas as well as the hall and bedrooms as well as fresh paint. Don't wait to make this house your home and live your best life. Call your favorite real estate agent today to schedule your personal viewing of this home. Sellers believe HVAC is 2019 and believe roof is 2016. All information to be verified by buyer and or buyer's representative.
-
2025-07-14soldstatus $105,000
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2025-07-11soldstatus $105,000 Sold 389-char remark
Show marketing remark (389 chars)
"Shout Out to All Investors!!!" ... and / or Skilled Creative Folks! This 4 Bedroom / 2 Bath Home is in Good Shape, although needs Flooring Throughout. With Some "Polishing Up," this Home Can be Personalized to Meet Your Preferences and to Suit Your Needs. It Just Needs a "Big Hug!" Central HVAC in Place, but Inspection Required to Determine if Operational.
-
2025-07-03status Pending 389-char remark
Show marketing remark (389 chars)
"Shout Out to All Investors!!!" ... and / or Skilled Creative Folks! This 4 Bedroom / 2 Bath Home is in Good Shape, although needs Flooring Throughout. With Some "Polishing Up," this Home Can be Personalized to Meet Your Preferences and to Suit Your Needs. It Just Needs a "Big Hug!" Central HVAC in Place, but Inspection Required to Determine if Operational.
-
2025-06-23status Active 389-char remark
Show marketing remark (389 chars)
"Shout Out to All Investors!!!" ... and / or Skilled Creative Folks! This 4 Bedroom / 2 Bath Home is in Good Shape, although needs Flooring Throughout. With Some "Polishing Up," this Home Can be Personalized to Meet Your Preferences and to Suit Your Needs. It Just Needs a "Big Hug!" Central HVAC in Place, but Inspection Required to Determine if Operational.
-
2025-06-17historical Contingent 389-char remark
Show marketing remark (389 chars)
"Shout Out to All Investors!!!" ... and / or Skilled Creative Folks! This 4 Bedroom / 2 Bath Home is in Good Shape, although needs Flooring Throughout. With Some "Polishing Up," this Home Can be Personalized to Meet Your Preferences and to Suit Your Needs. It Just Needs a "Big Hug!" Central HVAC in Place, but Inspection Required to Determine if Operational.
-
2025-06-06$115,000 Active 389-char remark
Show marketing remark (389 chars)
"Shout Out to All Investors!!!" ... and / or Skilled Creative Folks! This 4 Bedroom / 2 Bath Home is in Good Shape, although needs Flooring Throughout. With Some "Polishing Up," this Home Can be Personalized to Meet Your Preferences and to Suit Your Needs. It Just Needs a "Big Hug!" Central HVAC in Place, but Inspection Required to Determine if Operational.
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2006-11-10soldstatus $96,500
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2006-10-11$99,900
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2006-05-03soldstatus $39,900
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2006-04-01$39,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,733 · $144/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,733 · $144/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,464
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$1,733
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,717
- − Management
- −$1,717
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable income
- $2,790
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$670
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,372/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Escambia
- NCES district ID
- 1200510
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,649
- Composite
- 36.04/100
- National rank
- #4773
- State rank
- #56 of 73 in FL
Livability — Brent
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #484
- US rank
- #8921
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Brent, FL
- County
- Escambia County · 301,722 people
- City population
- 27,543
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,877
- Household income
- $44,783
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1458.0
Population outlook (Escambia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 334,637 people
- By 2030
- 345,779 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 364,828 · +9.0%
- By 2050
- 378,514 · +13.1%
- By 2075
- 403,220 · +20.5%
- By 2100
- 386,125 · +15.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 48% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Escambia
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.5) · D 39.7% · R 59.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.2pp no change · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -19.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.5 2020: R+15.1 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+19.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -74.10%
- Current HPI
- 205.45
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.92%
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+275.7% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Relisted — PARMLS
- 2026-05-14 Contingent — PARMLS
- 2026-04-17 Pending — PARMLS
- 2026-03-19 Relisted — PARMLS
- 2026-01-27 Pending — PARMLS
- 2026-01-23 Listed $149,900 PARMLS
- 2025-07-14 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
- 2025-07-11 Sold (MLS) $105,000 PARMLS
- 2025-07-03 Pending — PARMLS
- 2025-06-23 Relisted — PARMLS
- 2025-06-17 Contingent — PARMLS
- 2025-06-06 Listed $115,000 PARMLS
- 2006-11-10 Sold (MLS) $96,500 PARMLS
- 2006-10-11 Listed $99,900 PARMLS
- 2006-05-03 Sold (MLS) $39,900 PARMLS
- 2006-04-01 Listed $39,900 PARMLS
Property tax history
+17.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,733 · +316.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…