1449 Gordon Ave · Calumet City, IL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$116,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
See the potential in this large ranch home in Calumet City. This home has four bedrooms, 1.5 baths and large living room with a fireplace and huge recreation room that was added later to the home. The home also has a 2 car detached garage with plenty of off-street parking. Large kitchen with a nicely sized dining area. Very close to parks, shopping and interstate transportation. This home is being sold as is and the room sizes are estimated. Make this one yours!
Key facts
- Large ranch home
- Large kitchen
- Huge recreation room
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (garage owned) with 2 garage spaces; total parking for 2 vehicles
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story; Fee simple ownership; Built before 1978 (age ~61–70 years)
- Construction: Vinyl siding and brick exterior
- Exterior features: Lot smaller than 0.25 acre; Lot dimensions: 6271
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (14 x 13)
- Bedrooms: Four bedrooms (all on main level): Master bedroom (14 x 12) with half bath; Bedroom 2 (12 x 12); Bedroom 3 (11 x 10); Bedroom 4 (10 x 10)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom (in master bedroom)
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Seven total rooms; One fireplace in the living room
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $116k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $919 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $116k).
- Recommended offer: $115k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.8% vs local median 8.2% in Calumet City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#330 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, crime D-.
- Thornton Fractional Twp Hsd 215 (suburban): math 9% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #563 of 620 in IL (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 196 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,183/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($55k/yr) (locally 2415% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $805 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.2% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($115k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.87% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 33.82%
- DSCR
- 2.50
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $185,640
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1474 Forest Ave | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (-3%) | 10mo | $165,000 | $110 | 71 |
| 1387 Price Ave | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 | 1,341 (-13%) | 3mo | $93,900 | $70 | 68 |
| 1335 Buffalo Ave | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 | 1,474 (-5%) | 9mo | $164,900 | $112 | 62 |
| 1401 Stanley Blvd | 0.19mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,389 (-10%) | 8mo | $214,900 | $155 | 58 |
| 1354 Stanley Blvd | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 1,326 (-14%) | 8mo | $150,000 | $113 | 58 |
| 1461 Wentworth Ave | 0.34mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,400 (-10%) | 4mo | $130,000 | $93 | 58 |
| 1421 Burnham Ave | 0.16mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,335 (-14%) | 7mo | $141,000 | $106 | 57 |
| 17246 Bernadine St | 0.71mi | 3/2.5 | 1,500 (-3%) | 4mo | $180,000 | $120 | 52 |
| 17002 Chicago Ave | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,400 (-10%) | 7mo | $202,000 | $144 | 50 |
| 12 169th St | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 | 1,667 (+8%) | 7mo | $205,000 | $123 | 49 |
| 877 163rd St | 0.55mi | 3/1.5 | 1,339 (-13%) | 2mo | $189,000 | $141 | 49 |
| 17204 Bernadine St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,340 (-13%) | 1mo | $234,000 | $175 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.17% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.44×
- Total profit
- $46,884
- Equity at exit
- $17,371
- IRR
- 41.4%
- Equity multiple
- 5.53×
- Total profit
- $147,806
- Equity at exit
- $10,073
Cash invested: $32,620 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60409
- Home prices YoY
- -27.6%
- Rents YoY
- 6.2%
- Active inventory
- 196
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,183 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$611
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$146 /mo · $1,748/yr
- Insurance
- −$49
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$458
- Net cashflow
- $919
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,000 | -5% $959 | +0% $919 | +5% $879 | +10% $839 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $747 | -5% $833 | +0% $919 | +5% $1,005 | +10% $1,092 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $978 | -0.5pp $949 | base $919 | +0.5pp $889 | +1.0pp $858 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,125
- Closing costs
- $3,495
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1312 Gordon Ave Calumet City, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1134 | $1,600 | $1.41 | 8d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1539 Wentworth Ave Unit 3W Calumet City, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 13d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 17104 Wentworth Ave Unit 4 Lansing, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 0d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 252 Lawndale St Hammond, IN | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2016 | $2,600 | $1.29 | 2d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 34 Elizabeth St Calumet City, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1246 | $2,400 | $1.93 | 0d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 3 Waltham St Hammond, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,095 | $0.91 | 25d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 7611 Kinsley Pl Munster, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $4,700 | $2.76 | 0d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 7610 Manor Ave Munster, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $4,750 | $2.79 | 0d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $116,500 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $116,500 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $116,500 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $116,500 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $116,500 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $116,500 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $126,500 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $126,500 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $126,500 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $126,500 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $126,500 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-05-13price $126,500
-
2026-04-11$136,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,192
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,526
- − Property taxes
- −$1,748
- − Insurance
- −$582
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,095
- − Management
- −$2,095
- − Depreciation
- −$3,389
- Taxable income
- $9,757
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,342
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,689/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thornton Fractional Twp Hsd 215
- NCES district ID
- 1738940
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,207
- Composite
- 10.27/100
- National rank
- #9793
- State rank
- #563 of 620 in IL
Livability — Calumet City
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #330
- US rank
- #6552
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Calumet City, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- City population
- 35,100
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,100
- Household income
- $55,369
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2415.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 74% Hispanic / Latino 15% White 7% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 14%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -75.01%
- Current HPI
- 197.2137
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.17%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
-7.3% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $126,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-11 Listed $136,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2023): $6,368 · +98.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…