🏷️ Likely Rental
726 E Madison Ave · Springfield, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.8/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fully rented duplex. Both units have 2 bedrooms and 1 bath. Month to month tenants both units are rented for $750 a month. Please give 48 hours notice for all showings. With some cosmetic improvements and tlc these units could easily increase rent revenue.
Key facts
- 6,000 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1913
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $453 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
- Recommended offer: $102k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 4.7% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,108 in OH) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Springfield City School District (urban): math 20% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #616 of 656 in OH (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 144 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 232 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (116 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clark County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $89k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1913 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1913 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.51%
- DSCR
- 1.82
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $158,712
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 376 Stanton Ave | 0.29mi | 4/2.0 | 2,324 (-0%) | 19mo | $108,000 | $46 | 68 |
| 1007 N Limestone St | 0.49mi | 4/2.0 | 2,480 (+6%) | 2mo | $50,000 | $20 | 63 |
| 315 E Madison Ave | 0.34mi | 4/2.0 | 2,116 (-9%) | 7mo | $145,000 | $69 | 61 |
| 224 E Madison Ave | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 | 2,432 (+4%) | 15mo | $165,000 | $68 | 60 |
| 119 E Mccreight Ave | 0.60mi | 4/2.0 | 2,216 (-5%) | 2mo | $225,000 | $102 | 60 |
| 368 E Madison Ave | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,184 (-6%) | 14mo | $111,000 | $51 | 57 |
| 1507 N Limestone St | 0.75mi | 4/1.0 | 2,368 (+2%) | 0mo | $200,000 | $84 | 56 |
| 1108 N Fountain Blvd | 0.67mi | 4/1.5 | 2,324 (-0%) | 10mo | $135,000 | $58 | 56 |
| 614 Mason St | 0.36mi | 4/2.0 | 1,987 (-15%) | 8mo | $165,000 | $83 | 49 |
| 307 E Northern Ave | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 2,043 (-12%) | 3mo | $131,000 | $64 | 47 |
| 956 Park Ave | 0.58mi | 5/1.0 (+1) | 2,480 (+6%) | 11mo | $155,000 | $63 | 42 |
| 1119 Garfield Ave | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,052 (-12%) | 9mo | $220,000 | $107 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.41×
- Total profit
- $11,924
- Equity at exit
- $15,656
- IRR
- 19.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.63×
- Total profit
- $47,798
- Equity at exit
- $9,078
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45503
- Active inventory
- 144
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,557 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax from tax record
- −$182 /mo · $2,187/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$327
- Net cashflow
- $453
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $513 | -5% $483 | +0% $453 | +5% $424 | +10% $394 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $330 | -5% $392 | +0% $453 | +5% $515 | +10% $577 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $506 | -0.5pp $480 | base $453 | +0.5pp $426 | +1.0pp $399 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 401 Section St Springfield, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1612 | $1,850 | $1.15 | 11d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 534 Homeview Ave Springfield, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2660 | $1,200 | $0.45 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2025-11-24status Pending 256-char remark
Show marketing remark (256 chars)
Fully rented duplex. Both units have 2 bedrooms and 1 bath. Month to month tenants both units are rented for $750 a month. Please give 48 hours notice for all showings. With some cosmetic improvements and tlc these units could easily increase rent revenue.
-
2025-10-17$105,000 Active
-
2025-10-16$105,000 Active 256-char remark
Show marketing remark (256 chars)
Fully rented duplex. Both units have 2 bedrooms and 1 bath. Month to month tenants both units are rented for $750 a month. Please give 48 hours notice for all showings. With some cosmetic improvements and tlc these units could easily increase rent revenue.
-
2025-09-27historical
-
2025-09-05price $135,000
-
2025-07-21$164,900 Active
-
2009-12-18historical
-
2009-05-18$62,900
-
2004-07-21soldstatus $89,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,187 · $182/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,187 · $182/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,685
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$2,187
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,495
- − Management
- −$1,495
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable income
- $4,048
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$971
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,471/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Springfield City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3904481
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,541
- Composite
- 19.12/100
- National rank
- #8834
- State rank
- #616 of 656 in OH
Livability — Springfield
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #1108
- US rank
- #22551
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Springfield, OH
- County
- Clark · 134,280 people
- City population
- 33,261
- Metro
- Springfield, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,673
- Household income
- $54,561
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4.7
Population outlook (Clark County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 130,703 people
- By 2030
- 126,952 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 118,344 · -9.5%
- By 2050
- 109,590 · -16.2%
- By 2075
- 89,464 · -31.6%
- By 2100
- 68,810 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Black 9% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clark
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+29.5) · D 34.8% · R 64.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.0pp toward R · 2008: -2.5pp · 2024: -29.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+29.5 2020: R+23.3 2016: R+19.5 2012: R+1.8 2008: R+2.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -211.92%
- Current HPI
- 257.5694
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+18.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2025-11-24 Pending — WRIST
- 2025-10-17 Listed $105,000 Dayton MLS
- 2025-10-16 Listed $105,000 WRIST
- 2025-09-27 Listing Removed — WRIST
- 2025-09-05 Price Changed $135,000 WRIST
- 2025-07-21 Listed $164,900 WRIST
- 2009-12-18 Listing Removed — WRIST
- 2009-05-18 Listed $62,900 WRIST
- 2004-07-21 Sold (Public Records) $89,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,187 · +16.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…