503 East St · Nevada, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.2/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.6/15.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Here's your chance to own a great spot at an affordable price! Can you hear Opportunity knocking!! Here's your chance for that business you have wanted to own, great location in a fast-growing area. Commercial and residential in the immediate area, major highways within minutes. Property is . 33 acres, older frame home that is occupied by owner, been in the family for many years! Home has an attached carport, fenced area for pets, then a detached building that's perfect for a man cave or you decide. This property has a lot of possibilities, so here's your chance to make it yours, with your plans, ideas and visions.
Key facts
- Detached building
- Fenced area for pets
- 0.33 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type: Residential single family; Lot is approximately 0.33 acre (less than 0.5 acre); Topography: level; Soil type: black
- Financial info: Listing accepts cash and other terms
- HOA & community: No homeowner association
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport; Converted garage; Driveway; 2 covered/carport spaces
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Electricity connected; Individual gas meter; Cable available; Not in a municipal utility district
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Not attached to other properties; Built in 1951
- Construction: Frame construction with vinyl siding and wood elements; Composition roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation
- Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Few trees; Acreage lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Other appliance(s)
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (primary bedroom on level 1)
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Wall furnace heating; Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Paneling; Other interior features; One living area; One dining area; Room count of 2
- Laundry & utility: No specific laundry details listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $143 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $172k (13.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $172k (13.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 1.9% in Nevada — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#881 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Community ISD (rural): math 30% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #479 of 826 in TX (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: John & Barbara Roderick El (678 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools average 52% FRL vs 36% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 421 active listings in the ZIP; 19,194 units permitted in Collin County in 2024 (3,988 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Collin County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.06%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $173,264
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 107 Kerens St | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 | 960 (+1%) | 19mo | $109,000 | $114 | 54 |
| 307 Collin St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 | 1,040 (+9%) | 21mo | $189,000 | $182 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.11×
- Total profit
- $117,893
- Equity at exit
- $180,086
- IRR
- 23.2%
- Equity multiple
- 7.07×
- Total profit
- $339,872
- Equity at exit
- $388,362
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75173
- Home prices YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 421
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,721 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax from tax record
- −$85 /mo · $1,022/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$361
- Net cashflow
- $143
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $256 | -5% $199 | +0% $143 | +5% $86 | +10% $30 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $7 | -5% $75 | +0% $143 | +5% $211 | +10% $279 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $244 | -0.5pp $194 | base $143 | +0.5pp $91 | +1.0pp $38 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $199,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $199,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $199,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $199,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $199,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $199,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $199,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $199,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $199,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $199,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $199,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $199,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $199,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-19$199,900 Active
-
2026-04-30historical
-
2026-03-30price $199,900
-
2026-03-07price $219,000
-
2026-03-03price $279,000
-
2026-02-05price $289,000
-
2025-11-14$300,000 Active
-
2025-09-01historical
-
2025-06-03$230,000 Active
-
2022-01-26historical
-
2021-12-30$299,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,022 · $85/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,658 · $305/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,636/yr (+$220/mo · 257.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,653
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$1,022
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,652
- − Management
- −$1,652
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable loss
- −$1,686
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$405
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,119/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Community ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4814850
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $71,841
- Composite
- 31.58/100
- National rank
- #5951
- State rank
- #479 of 826 in TX
Livability — Nevada
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #881
- US rank
- #15880
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Nevada, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,284
Population outlook (Collin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,210,074 people
- By 2030
- 1,358,201 · +12.2%
- By 2040
- 1,654,061 · +36.7%
- By 2050
- 1,937,359 · +60.1%
- By 2075
- 2,567,039 · +112.1%
- By 2100
- 2,952,048 · +144.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 15% Black 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 26%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Spanish 24% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Collin
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.1) · D 43.1% · R 54.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +14.4pp toward D · 2008: -25.6pp · 2024: -11.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.1 2020: R+4.3 2016: R+17.0 2012: R+31.6 2008: R+25.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 10.09%
- Current HPI
- 331.12
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
-33.3% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Listed $199,900 NTREIS
- 2026-04-30 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2026-03-30 Price Changed $199,900 NTREIS
- 2026-03-07 Price Changed $219,000 NTREIS
- 2026-03-03 Price Changed $279,000 NTREIS
- 2026-02-05 Price Changed $289,000 NTREIS
- 2025-11-14 Listed $300,000 NTREIS
- 2025-09-01 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2025-06-03 Listed $230,000 NTREIS
- 2022-01-26 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2021-12-30 Listed $299,900 NTREIS
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,022 · +7.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…